Heretic Posted December 13, 2017 Author Share Posted December 13, 2017 Midnights looking busy. Of course it won't top TFA's record £2.4m midnight gross, but I expect it should at least be able to hit £1.5m. TFA's opening breakdown: Thu - £9.7m (£7.3m exc midnight) Fri - £7m Sat - £8.71m Sun - £8.58m Opening £34m. For TLJ, I can see something like: Thu - £7.5m (£1.6m midnight, £5.9m day) Fri - £6m Sat - £7.2m Sun - £6.6m Opening £27.3m. Down 20% from TFA. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 14, 2017 Author Share Posted December 14, 2017 I think I'll revise my prediction down to £6.5-7m OD. It's very busy, but no where near as crazy as TFA was, which had sellouts off the chart. I feel like TLJ could have its business more evenly spread over the 4 days. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted December 14, 2017 Share Posted December 14, 2017 TLJ OD over JL OW in Uk? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 6 hours ago, Heretic said: I think I'll revise my prediction down to £6.5-7m OD. It's very busy, but no where near as crazy as TFA was, which had sellouts off the chart. I feel like TLJ could have its business more evenly spread over the 4 days. A drop was always likely, TFA was the first Star Wars film in a decade and had the original cast. TLJ being a sequel and also the third Star Wars film since TFA means the novelty worn off a little. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 6 hours ago, fabiopazzo2 said: TLJ OD over JL OW in Uk? It'll be close enough 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 2 hours ago, Rth Ragnarok said: It'll be close enough So around £7m OD? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 What was the exchange rate when TFA opened in 2015? I think today's ER is horrible compared to 2015. This will greatly affect the drop from TFA. A 20%+ drop in local currency will become a 30%+ drop in US dollars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 40 minutes ago, Heretic said: So around £7m OD? It will pass JL OWe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 7 minutes ago, Rth Ragnarok said: It will pass JL OWe What's your estimate? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 The real question is, how close to Paddington 2 OW did it get? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 hour ago, UserHN said: What's your estimate? around 8 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fabiopazzo2 Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 1 hour ago, Rth Ragnarok said: It will pass JL OWe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 (edited) 2 hours ago, UserHN said: What was the exchange rate when TFA opened in 2015? I think today's ER is horrible compared to 2015. This will greatly affect the drop from TFA. A 20%+ drop in local currency will become a 30%+ drop in US dollars. TFA did 123.2m Pounds which meant $183.7m applying ER's release date. With today ER, it would mean $164.5m. So the ER is about a 10% worse than when TFA was released. If TLJ drops a 20% in Pounds, as you say (98.6m Pounds), that would mean $131.7m, more than $50m drop (nearly the 30% you are saying). Edited December 15, 2017 by peludo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 3 hours ago, Rth Ragnarok said: around 8 Oh damn. Didin't think it'd go that high. Even higher than my initial prediction. Excellent start! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Thought the official UK number would be out by now. Clearly a monster opening day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 $10.2m OD, around £7.65m. 3rd biggest ever. £26-28m 4-day ($34.5-37m) likely range right now. Will be interesting to see how much it drops today. @Rth Ragnarok do we know what the midnight figure was? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 8 minutes ago, Heretic said: $10.2m OD, around £7.65m. 3rd biggest ever. £26-28m 4-day ($34.5-37m) likely range right now. Will be interesting to see how much it drops today. @Rth Ragnarok do we know what the midnight figure was? I'm assuming TFA and DH2 are the only ones with bigger ODs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted December 15, 2017 Author Share Posted December 15, 2017 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Noctis said: I'm assuming TFA and DH2 are the only ones with bigger ODs? Mhmm. TFA biggest OD, DH2 still holds biggest Friday by far with £9.5m. Edited December 15, 2017 by Heretic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rthmessiah Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 6 hours ago, Heretic said: $10.2m OD, around £7.65m. 3rd biggest ever. £26-28m 4-day ($34.5-37m) likely range right now. Will be interesting to see how much it drops today. @Rth Ragnarok do we know what the midnight figure was? Not sure yet on Midnight, Drop similar to TFA around -32% (TFA -28%) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted December 16, 2017 Share Posted December 16, 2017 It'll be interesting if TLJ Friday-Sunday can outgross Beauty and the Beast's Fri-Sun which was £19.7m, I think TJL will do it but I imagine it'll only by £0.5-1m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
