charlie Jatinder Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 (edited) 2 hours ago, Bruce said: Can we expect that the total gross will pass Spectre? Skyfall 7 days 37.33M. Final 103M. 2.76x Spectre 7 days 41.4M. Final 95M. 2.3x. NTTD will most likely be 31M. May be 2.2-2.4x if WoM isn't problamatic, i.e. 68-74M. Edited October 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 $30M four days? Best in pandemic? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Just now, Gavin Feng said: $30M four days? Best in pandemic? Yes. Yes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burgess Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 57 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Skyfall 7 days 37.33M. Final 103M. 2.76x Spectre 7 days 41.4M. Final 95M. 2.3x. NTTD will most likely be 31M. May be 2.2-2.4x if WoM isn't problamatic, i.e. 68-74M. Considering Spectre opened on a Monday, I can't see NTTD having a lower multi. It's opening week was inflated alot more than Skyfall and NTTD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Chicago said: Considering Spectre opened on a Monday, I can't see NTTD having a lower multi. It's opening week was inflated alot more than Skyfall and NTTD 7 days comparison should work. I don't think it would inflate things. Each film would have an equal opportunity to make money in the first 7 days, unless there was some holiday for Spectre. The problem is comparing 7 days to normal OWs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Menor said: 7 days comparison should work. I don't think it would inflate things. Each film would have an equal opportunity to make money in the first 7 days, unless there was some holiday for Spectre. The problem is comparing 7 days to normal OWs. Spectre however had 7 days of holidays or weekend. But there's factor of way big release size than Spectre due to lack of competition. Spectre 41M would be close to capacity giving it some spillover affect while NTTD 31 would have a lot of spare capacity, so very low spillover. Edited October 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dale Cooper Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Spectre however had 7 days of holidays or weekend. But there's factor of way big release size than Spectre due to lack of competition. Spectre 41M would be close to capacity giving it some spillover affect while NTTD 31 would have a lot of spare capacity, so very low spillover. Wasn't the reason Spectre was close to capacity exactly because it had holidays though? It wouldn't have gotten as much without the holiday nor would it have been as close to capacity and yet it would have had better legs, so that line of reasoning doesn't really work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heretic Posted October 2, 2021 Author Share Posted October 2, 2021 (edited) 20 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Spectre however had 7 days of holidays or weekend. But there's factor of way big release size than Spectre due to lack of competition. Spectre 41M would be close to capacity giving it some spillover affect while NTTD 31 would have a lot of spare capacity, so very low spillover. Perhaps, but all shows around me tonight are sold out. Vue Westfield where I went yesterday is sold out virtually all seats until gone 10pm. 16 shows between 6pm and 10pm. It’s going nuts today. Definitely not a ‘LOT’ of spare capacity. Ofcourse Thursday did due to it being a normal workday, and also Friday. Full capacity days in the UK would top £10m, which Spectre did not come close to. Edited October 2, 2021 by Heretic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Heretic said: Full capacity days in the UK would top £10m, which Spectre did not come close to. Spectre wasn't 3D. Has quite low ATP compared to other films of that year like TFA, JW, etc in other European markets. I suppose UK would be same. I think on 11k+ shows a day, capacity would be 15M+. Edited October 2, 2021 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 30 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Spectre however had 7 days of holidays or weekend. But there's factor of way big release size than Spectre due to lack of competition. Spectre 41M would be close to capacity giving it some spillover affect while NTTD 31 would have a lot of spare capacity, so very low spillover. I think holiday is a bigger factor. Though if Skyfall didn't have holiday-inflated 7 days, I can't see NTTD matching that with the huge release, finale factor, and weaker reception. Maybe like 2.4-2.5. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Menor said: I think holiday is a bigger factor. Though if Skyfall didn't have holiday-inflated 7 days, I can't see NTTD matching that with the huge release, finale factor, and weaker reception. Maybe like 2.4-2.5. How do you know NTTD has weaker reception in UK !!! They do love bond. Even Spectre which had weaker reviews did extremely well. I try not to predict UK legs. Its a beast on its own. They are way more leggy than US. Cannot predict 7 day legs for a thursday opener. Its better to project from its 4 day weekend like any previous 4 day openers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 12 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said: How do you know NTTD has weaker reception in UK !!! They do love bond. Even Spectre which had weaker reviews did extremely well. I try not to predict UK legs. Its a beast on its own. They are way more leggy than US. Cannot predict 7 day legs for a thursday opener. Its better to project from its 4 day weekend like any previous 4 day openers. Based on what I've seen it seems like reception is good but weaker than Skyfall. Maybe I'm wrong but it looks that way to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 21 minutes ago, Menor said: Based on what I've seen it seems like reception is good but weaker than Skyfall. Maybe I'm wrong but it looks that way to me. Dont go by RT scores. Most of the negative reviews are from US critics. That has no relevance to UK BO. As I said Spectre did great with meh reviews. No reason a Craig finale will do worse. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krissykins Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 According to ITV, 40% of presales for opening day at Odeon were made by people who haven’t been back to the cinema yet since the pandemic began. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
solaris Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 Skyfall was lightning in a bottle in the UK. Bond 50th anniversary, London 2012 Olympics, Adele at the peak of her popularity, glowing reviews and a general sense that this was a return to form for the franchise after QoS. I'm not sure if we'll ever see anything quite like that in the UK again. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 (edited) No Time to Die is a better Bond movie than Skyfall but worst movie overall imo. Edited October 2, 2021 by efialtes76 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhilipJ2001 Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 3 hours ago, Krissykins said: According to ITV, 40% of presales for opening day at Odeon were made by people who haven’t been back to the cinema yet since the pandemic began. this is fantastic news. hopefully will kickstart the box office for other titles like Dune, Venom, etc today is looking huge. hard to estimate but i'd say conservatively £6.5m+ and hopefully over £7m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 15 minutes ago, PhilipJ2001 said: this is fantastic news. hopefully will kickstart the box office for other titles like Dune, Venom, etc today is looking huge. hard to estimate but i'd say conservatively £6.5m+ and hopefully over £7m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted October 2, 2021 Share Posted October 2, 2021 This is really good for cinemas. Person I went to see it with hadn't been to the cinema since pre-pandemic either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
