Weekend Thread - Actuals: H&S 25.3, Scary Stories 20.9, TLK 20.2, Dora 17.4, OUATIH 11.6, Racing in Rain 8.1, Kitchen 5.5

[Legion Again]

Are we really doing this? CM Mon-Sun week was 7M, bolstered by Endgame. It collapsed afterward.      

 

TS4’s week was 9.5M. Even if it got 0 expansion (it will get expanded) it would add roughly 2x that for high 430s at least.      

 

The Endgame effect and summer make it totally incomparable on anything but the surface level (similar weekend magnitude, similar cume).

Edited August 12, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[MikeQ]

Aladdin now sits at a terrific 3.86 multiplier - which is, again, mighty impressive in my book given the inflated 3-day opening weekend due to Memorial Day. This weekend's loss of theatres and screens really hurt it, so I don't think it will be able to match or exceed American Sniper or Inside Out on the multiplier front, unless it has an exceptionally healthy Labour Day weekend boost. 

 

Toy Story 4 also just cracked the top 20 multipliers for 70+M Friday openers, with a 3.47 multiplier. It will also finish with an impressive multiplier, when all is said and done - particularly for the fourth instalment and largest opening weekend of the franchise. Toy Story 3 opened almost 10 years ago, and Toy Story 4 will come close to the third film's multiplier.

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
2. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
3. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
4. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
5. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
6. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
7. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.86)^
8. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
9. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
10. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
11. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
12. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
13. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
14. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
15. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
16. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
17. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)
18. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
19. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51)
20. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.47)^
21. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47)
22. Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44)

Peace,

Mike

Edited August 12, 2019 by MikeQ

[dudalb]

20 hours ago, The Panda said:

They can keep John Wick going as long as they keep being entertaining

 

You mean "as long as they keep making money".

 

Studios almost always push a franchise too far as far as quality goes,;but as long as they make money studio does not really care the much about quality.

 

 

[sfran43]

 

[Valonqar]

Kitchen Sink

 

Excellent hold for OUATIH.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

1	1	-	Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw	Uni.	$25,400,000	$25,265,795	$-134,205	-0.5%	4,344	$108,513,780	$108,379,575	2
2	2	-	Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark	LGF	$20,800,000	$20,915,346	$+115,346	+0.6%	3,135	$20,800,000	$20,915,346	1
3	3	-	The Lion King (2019)	BV	$20,000,000	$20,205,322	$+205,322	+1.0%	4,220	$473,103,826	$473,309,148	4
4	4	-	Dora and the Lost City of Gold	Par.	$17,000,000	$17,431,588	$+431,588	+2.5%	3,735	$17,000,000	$17,431,588	1
5	5	-	Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Sony	$11,600,000	$11,652,652	$+52,652	+0.5%	3,507	$100,331,370	$100,384,022	3
6	6	-	The Art of Racing in the Rain	Fox	$8,100,000	$8,137,584	$+37,584	+0.5%	2,765	$8,100,000	$8,137,584	1
7	7	-	The Kitchen (2019)	WB (NL)	$5,510,000	$5,527,410	$+17,410	+0.3%	2,745	$5,510,000	$5,527,410	1
8	8	-	Spider-Man: Far from Home	Sony	$5,300,000	$5,277,572	$-22,428	-0.4%	2,678	$370,972,490	$370,950,062	6
9	9	-	Toy Story 4	BV	$4,400,000	$4,525,439	$+125,439	+2.9%	2,295	$419,578,368	$419,703,807	8
10	10	-	Bring the Soul: The Movie	Trafalgar	$2,296,491	$2,383,604	$+87,113	+3.8%	873	$4,417,649	$4,505,147	1
10	12	+2	The Farewell	A24	$2,217,690	$2,097,213	$-120,477	-5.4%	704	$10,322,121	$10,201,644	5
11	11	-	Brian Banks	BST	$2,145,793	$2,156,272	$+10,479	+0.5%	1,240	$2,145,793	$2,156,272	1
12	13	+1	Yesterday	Uni.	$1,100,000	$1,129,040	$+29,040	+2.6%	866	$70,454,730	$70,483,770	7
13	14	+1	Aladdin (2019)	BV	$819,000	$801,338	$-17,662	-2.2%	615	$352,774,267	$352,756,605	12
14	15	+1	Crawl	Par.	$700,000	$743,685	$+43,685	+6.2%	757	$38,070,074	$38,113,759	5
15	16	+1	The Secret Life of Pets 2	Uni.	$410,000	$408,095	$-1,905	-0.5%	402	$156,578,455	$156,576,550	10
16	18	+2	Maiden	SPC	$254,273	$258,285	$+4,012	+1.6%	173	$1,917,185	$1,921,197	7
17	20	+3	The Peanut Butter Falcon	RAtt.	$205,236	$204,803	$-433	-0.2%	17	$205,236	$204,803	1
18	19	+1	Avengers: Endgame	BV	$197,000	$209,992	$+12,992	+6.6%	237	$857,916,768	$857,929,760	16
19	21	+2	Midsommar	A24	$158,226	$165,374	$+7,148	+4.5%	150	$25,683,440	$25,690,588	6
20	23	+3	Luce	Neon	$144,357	$134,168	$-10,189	-7.1%	24	$317,765	$307,576	2
21	24	+3	John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum	LG/S	$125,000	$129,798	$+4,798	+3.8%	174	$170,462,567	$170,467,365	13
22	27	+5	Them That Follow	1091	$87,750	$85,669	$-2,081	-2.4%	195	$103,970	$101,889	2
23	28	+5	David Crosby: Remember My Name	SPC	$85,498	$82,914	$-2,584	-3.0%	47	$298,037	$295,453	4
24	31	+7	Tel Aviv on Fire	Cohen	$77,591	$70,237	$-7,354	-9.5%	28	$146,158	$138,804	2
26	32	+6	Echo in the Canyon	Greenwich	$69,854	$68,338	$-1,516	-2.2%	60	$3,196,010	$3,194,494	12
27	36	+9	After the Wedding (2019)	SPC	$57,124	$50,264	$-6,860	-12.0%	5	$57,124	$50,264	1
28	34	+6	Stuber	Fox	$57,000	$62,574	$+5,574	+9.8%	110	$22,248,923	$22,254,497	5

[sfran43]

1	FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW Universal 4,344	$7,069,930 +75.4% / $1,628 $90,183,710 / 8	$10,456,315 +47.9% / $2,407 $100,640,025 / 9	$7,739,550 -26% / $1,782 $108,379,575 / 10	N/A
2	THE LION KING (2019) Buena Vista 4,220	$5,670,473 +35.5% / $1,344 $458,774,299 / 22	$8,227,484 +45.1% / $1,950 $467,001,783 / 23	$6,307,365 -23.3% / $1,495 $473,309,148 / 24	N/A
3	SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK Lionsgate 3,135	$8,781,643 -- / $2,801 $8,781,643 / 1	$6,904,995 -21.4% / $2,203 $15,686,638 / 2	$5,228,708 -24.3% / $1,668 $20,915,346 / 3	N/A
4	DORA AND THE LOST CITY OF GOLD Paramount 3,735	$6,463,828 -- / $1,731 $6,463,828 / 1	$6,000,332 -7.2% / $1,607 $12,464,160 / 2	$4,967,428 -17.2% / $1,330 $17,431,588 / 3	N/A
5	ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD Sony / Columbia 3,507	$3,265,994 +65.4% / $931 $91,997,364 / 15	$4,851,582 +48.5% / $1,383 $96,848,946 / 16	$3,535,076 -27.1% / $1,008 $100,384,022 / 17	N/A
6	THE ART OF RACING IN THE RAIN Fox 2,765	$2,971,423 -- / $1,075 $2,971,423 / 1	$2,973,852 +0.1% / $1,076 $5,945,275 / 2	$2,192,309 -26.3% / $793 $8,137,584 / 3	N/A
7	SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME Sony / Columbia 2,678	$1,488,036 +45.1% / $556 $367,160,526 / 39	$2,175,689 +46.2% / $812 $369,336,215 / 40	$1,613,847 -25.8% / $603 $370,950,062 / 41	N/A
8	THE KITCHEN (2019) Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,745	$1,776,847 -- / $647 $1,776,847 / 1	$2,197,545 +23.7% / $801 $3,974,392 / 2	$1,553,018 -29.3% / $566 $5,527,410 / 3	N/A
9	TOY STORY 4 Buena Vista 2,295	$1,328,054 +29.8% / $579 $416,506,422 / 50	$1,875,933 +41.3% / $817 $418,382,355 / 51	$1,321,452 -29.6% / $576 $419,703,807 / 52	N/A
10	BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE Trafalgar Releasing 873	$711,634 (estimate) -- / $815 $2,833,177 / 3	$990,536 (estimate) +39.2% / $1,135 $3,823,713 / 4	$681,434 (estimate) -31.2% / $781 $4,505,147 / 5	N/A
11	THE FAREWELL  A24 704	$605,536 +121.6% / $860 $8,709,967 / 29	$877,380 +44.9% / $1,246 $9,587,347 / 30	$614,297 -30% / $873 $10,201,644 / 31	N/A
12	BRIAN BANKS Bleecker Street 1,240	$760,933 -- / $614 $760,933 / 1	$801,802 +5.4% / $647 $1,562,735 / 2	$593,537 -26% / $479 $2,156,272 / 3	N/A
-	YESTERDAY Universal 866	$338,840 +26.6% / $391 $69,693,570 / 43	$499,375 +47.4% / $577 $70,192,945 / 44	$290,825 -41.8% / $336 $70,483,770 / 45	N/A
-	ALADDIN (2019) Buena Vista 615	$227,660 -18.8% / $370 $352,182,927 / 78	$351,264 +54.3% / $571 $352,534,191 / 79	$222,414 -36.7% / $362 $352,756,605 / 80	N/A
-	CRAWL  Paramount 757	$235,017 +31.5% / $310 $37,605,091 / 29	$325,614 +38.5% / $430 $37,930,705 / 30	$183,054 -43.8% / $242 $38,113,759 / 31	N/A
-	THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2 Universal 402	$117,560 -23.6% / $292 $156,286,015 / 64	$169,665 +44.3% / $422 $156,455,680 / 65	$120,870 -28.8% / $301 $156,576,550 / 66	N/A
-	ANNABELLE COMES HOME Warner Bros. (New Line) 346	$85,108 +20.9% / $246 $72,212,395 / 45	$113,829 +33.7% / $329 $72,326,224 / 46	$74,619 -34.4% / $216 $72,400,843 / 47	N/A
-	AVENGERS: ENDGAME Buena Vista 237	$56,272 +16.3% / $237 $857,776,040 / 106	$86,232 +53.2% / $364 $857,862,272 / 107	$67,488 -21.7% / $285 $857,929,760 / 108	N/A
-	THE PEANUT BUTTER FALCON Roadside Attractions 17	$69,208 -- / $4,071 $69,208 / 1	$78,086 +12.8% / $4,593 $147,294 / 2	$57,509 -26.4% / $3,383 $204,803 / 3	N/A
-	MIDSOMMAR A24 150	$47,555 -2.6% / $317 $25,572,769 / 38	$65,367 +37.5% / $436 $25,638,136 / 39	$52,452 -19.8% / $350 $25,690,588 / 40	N/A
-	ROCKETMAN  Paramount 181	$41,745 +8.1% / $231 $95,792,662 / 71	$65,791 +57.6% / $363 $95,858,453 / 72	$41,187 -37.4% / $228 $95,899,640 / 73	N/A
-	JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 - PARABELLUM Lionsgate/Summit 174	$37,422 +20.5% / $215 $170,374,989 / 85	$56,910 +52.1% / $327 $170,431,899 / 86	$35,466 -37.7% / $204 $170,467,365 / 87	N/A
-	MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL Sony / Columbia 159	$32,597 +54.3% / $205 $79,321,776 / 57	$48,811 +49.7% / $307 $79,370,587 / 58	$34,854 -28.6% / $219 $79,405,441 / 59	N/A
-	LUCE Neon 24	$44,032 +416.3% / $1,835 $217,440 / 8	$55,825 +26.8% / $2,326 $273,265 / 9	$34,311 -38.5% / $1,430 $307,576 / 10	N/A
-	THE BRAVEST Sony / Columbia 150	$37,542 -- / $250 $37,542 / 1	$38,554 +2.7% / $257 $76,096 / 2	$34,279 -11.1% / $229 $110,375 / 3	N/A
-	THEM THAT FOLLOW 1091 195	$31,301 +3469.1% / $161 $47,521 / 8	$30,426 -2.8% / $156 $77,947 / 9	$23,942 -21.3% / $123 $101,889 / 10	N/A
-	GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS Warner Bros. 121	$16,527 -3.4% / $137 $110,294,818 / 71	$28,921 +75% / $239 $110,323,739 / 72	$22,633 -21.7% / $187 $110,346,372 / 73	N/A
-	TEL AVIV ON FIRE Cohen Media Group 28	$15,423 +228.4% / $551 $83,990 / 8	$34,379 +122.9% / $1,228 $118,369 / 9	$20,435 -40.6% / $730 $138,804 / 10	N/A
-	THE LAST BLACK MAN IN SAN FRANCISCO A24 52	$15,432 -19.8% / $297 $4,364,882 / 64	$21,750 +40.9% / $418 $4,386,632 / 65	$17,698 -18.6% / $340 $4,404,330 / 66	N/A
-	ECHO IN THE CANYON Greenwich 60	$19,315 +37.4% / $322 $3,145,471 / 78	$31,912 +65.2% / $532 $3,177,383 / 79	$17,111 -46.4% / $285 $3,194,494 / 80	N/A
-	STUBER Fox 110	$21,699 -61.8% / $197 $22,213,622 / 29	$25,964 +19.7% / $236 $22,239,586 / 30	$14,911 -42.6% / $136 $22,254,497 / 31	N/A
-	PAVAROTTI CBS Films 48	$11,018 -- / $230 $4,499,958 / 64	$18,948 +72% / $395 $4,518,906 / 65	$14,646 -22.7% / $305 $4,533,552 / 66	N/A
-	ECCO Citadel Film Group 155	$16,895 -- / $109 $16,895 / 1	$16,895 -- / $109 $33,790 / 2	$14,415 -14.7% / $93 $48,205 / 3	N/A
-	WILD ROSE  Neon 38	$9,156 -4.2% / $241 $1,559,171 / 50	$13,459 +47% / $354 $1,572,630 / 51	$13,729 +2% / $361 $1,586,359 / 52	N/A
-	MARIANNE & LEONARD: WORDS OF LOVE Roadside Attractions 63	$8,580 -48.8% / $136 $758,646 / 36	$14,443 +68.3% / $229 $773,089 / 37	$13,562 -6.1% / $215 $786,651 / 38	N/A
-	POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU Warner Bros. 113	$11,842 -16.6% / $105 $144,052,425 / 92	$16,951 +43.1% / $150 $144,069,376 / 93	$11,486 -32.2% / $102 $144,080,862 / 94	N/A

[Krissykins]

I just realised Men in Black Internationals gross and loss is probably very similar to Ghostbusters (domestic share $50m lower and minus China, where GB didn’t release, it’s worldwide gross is $25m lower) where’s all the non stop media attention and attacks on this one then? 

 

Trolls suck. 

[tawasal]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

TS4 will easily win with 440+ 🤣

 

1 hour ago, MikeQ said:

Toy Story 4 just made $4.53M this weekend for a nearly $420M total - even without any Labour Day boost there is no way it only ends with $427-429M, that's only another 7-9M. 

 

Peace,

Mike

 

CM fan been biased, what do you expect. 

[tawasal]

52 minutes ago, MikeQ said:

Aladdin now sits at a terrific 3.86 multiplier - which is, again, mighty impressive in my book given the inflated 3-day opening weekend due to Memorial Day. This weekend's loss of theatres and screens really hurt it, so I don't think it will be able to match or exceed American Sniper or Inside Out on the multiplier front, unless it has an exceptionally healthy Labour Day weekend boost. 

 

Toy Story 4 also just cracked the top 20 multipliers for 70+M Friday openers, with a 3.47 multiplier. It will also finish with an impressive multiplier, when all is said and done - particularly for the fourth instalment and largest opening weekend of the franchise. Toy Story 3 opened almost 10 years ago, and Toy Story 4 will come close to the third film's multiplier.

 

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

1. Avatar (2009) — 77.0 million (9.73)
2. Finding Nemo (2003) — 70.3 million (4.84)
3. Zootopia (2016) — 75.1 million (4.55)
4. Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)
5. Inside Out (2015) — 90.4 million (3.94)
6. American Sniper (2015) — 89.3 million (3.92)
7. Aladdin (2019) — 91.5 million (3.86)^
8. Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) — 248.0 million (3.78)
9. Toy Story 3 (2010) — 110.3 million (3.76)
10. The Incredibles (2004) — 70.5 million (3.71)
11. Despicable Me 3 (2017) — 72.4 million (3.65)
12. Finding Dory (2016) — 135.1 million (3.60)
13. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (2012) — 84.6 million (3.58)
14. The Secret Life of Pets (2016) — 104.4 million (3.53)
15. The Jungle Book (2016) — 103.3 million (3.53)
16. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 94.3 million (3.53)
17. Harry Potter and the Sorceror’s Stone (2001) — 90.3 million (3.52)
18. Spider-Man (2002) — 114.8 million (3.52)
19. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (2013) — 73.6 million (3.51)
20. Toy Story 4 (2019) — 120.9 million (3.47)^
21. Black Panther (2018) — 202.0 million (3.47)
22. Skyfall (2012) — 88.4 million (3.44)

Peace,

Mike

And it seems like no one is going to touch that 9.73x multiplier number. Damn not even Cameron will do that again. 

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, tawasal said:

 

 

CM fan been biased, what do you expect. 

Haha, fair. I can actually remember predicting 440 for CM at about this point in the run since I was hoping the Endgame boost would be sustained. If only 😢  

 

Still a great finish, of course.

[tawasal]

8 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Haha, fair. I can actually remember predicting 440 for CM at about this point in the run since I was hoping the Endgame boost would be sustained. If only 😢  

 

Still a great finish, of course.

As a Pixar fan too as well as CM fan, it's a win win situation. It seems like CM will finish 5th for the year domestically after Episode 9, finishes with a little over 700m domestically. 

[Legion Again]

53 minutes ago, tawasal said:

As a Pixar fan too as well as CM fan, it's a win win situation. It seems like CM will finish 5th for the year domestically after Episode 9, finishes with a little over 700m domestically. 

Endgame

TLK/F2/TROS

TS4   

 

Looks like 6th for CM to me.

 

[Krissykins]

2 hours ago, MikeQ said:

Best Multipliers Ever for $70+ Million Opening Films (Friday Openers):

 

Wonder Woman (2017) — 103.3 million (4.00)

 

Peace,

Mike

Thanks for sharing this! 

 

Wonder Woman had a truly impressive leggy run. I love that.

 

Best ever legs for a film opening to more than $100m. 

 

Incredible. 

[tawasal]

38 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Endgame

TLK/F2/TROS

TS4   

 

Looks like 6th for CM to me.

 

I completely forgot about F2, but that's not as sure as TROS. 

[Inceptionzq]

41 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Endgame

TLK/F2/TROS

TS4   

 

Looks like 6th for CM to me.

 

I think TRoS will be in a different ballpark than F2 and TLK 

 

[JimiQ]

Let's watch Dora crawl to $70m mark (4x multi)

[Legion Again]

I just realized that if you look at adjusted PTA of true FSS, the record OWs of the 2010s have seen a pretty mild rise from the record OWs of the 1980s.    

 

Not too surprising I guess, but that 500M OW is coming sooner than a lot of people realize.

Edited August 13, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[charlie Jatinder]

11 hours ago, tawasal said:

Captain Marvel had 420m at week 9 with similar 4.2m weekend. And TS4 is at 419.7m at week 8 with 4.5m weekend. This race is tight but I think TS4 is going to win it with 427m-429m, with no major release until IT2. 

Captain Marvel at that time was boosted by Endgame; fell right outta cliff from next weekend. Not happening for TS4. With Labor Day weekend expansion pending; and Incredibles 2 being the best comp,

I2 did $4.98mn in 8th weekend, to $25mn afterwards, TS4 shall be able to do $22.5mn Approx. A better placement of Labor day weekend may lead to $23-25mn as well. So I don't see it going below $440mn, with all the chance for $450mn.