Weekend Thread: Estimates - Angel Has Fallen $21.25M | Good Boys $11.75M | Overcomer $8.20M | The Lion King $8.15M | H&S $8.14M - & $101.8M in China

[Legion Again]

12 minutes ago, a2k said:

More if there are markets to come.

According to IMDB Australia, Italy, France, Germany, Brazil, Japan and various smaller markets are still to come.

[Maxmoser3]

Not a terrible weekend at the box office when you consider the new releases debuted solid,and the holdovers were solid as well! 

 

Angel Has Fallen debuted better than expected $21.2 million estimate. That’s well ahead of the debuts of August action bombs such as The Expendables 3 and Mile 22. The debut is on-par with both London Has Fallen and The Hitman’s Bodyguard. Angel should fly alright for a late summer film and perform close to London.

 

Good Boys 2nd weekend hold was quite better than the holds Of Sausage Party and slightly under Blockers. However, with the lack of comedies and late summer holding power Good Boys should make around $60 million.

 

 Overcomer’s debut was less than War Room’s debut. However it should play well on Labor Day and so on. 

 

Ready Or Not debuted fine but should be unfortunately knocked out by IT Chapter 2 in a week. 

 

Holdovers nice to see Once Upon A Time In Hollywood do below 35% drops. $135 million domestic is coming soon.

 

Scary Stories holding up great for a horror film it’s played excellent for a horror film that I figured would debut like Winchester back in February 2018, and should gross a above $60 million. 

 

Next weekend looks to be quite dead, so it looks to be Angel Has Fallen could be the winner once again with possibly a mid-teen first place lead, while Don’t Let Go will play typical for Blumhouse’s smaller titles as that would do $2-$3 million. 

[PDC1987]

4 hours ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Another flop weekend, at least the music Industry is being salved this week. 

Her album is plummeting 50% in 1st week sales from its predecessor, 450,000 of its projected 550,000 first week sales came on the first day and just like with Reputation there is no hit single in sight to sustain the album after week 1.

[Mr Terrific]

I am a Taylor Swift apologist. 

[sfran43]

 

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

4 hours ago, PDC1987 said:

Her album is plummeting 50% in 1st week sales from its predecessor, 450,000 of its projected 550,000 first week sales came on the first day and just like with Reputation there is no hit single in sight to sustain the album after week 1.

Well she has Cats coming up so...

[charlie Jatinder]

I was expecting $2.25mn weekend from Spidey before the news broke on Tuesday. Clearly the news cost film in late legs & 400mn mark.

[Legion Again]

5 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I was expecting $2.25mn weekend from Spidey before the news broke on Tuesday. Clearly the news cost film in late legs & 400mn mark.

If they can announce a fix in next 5 days it’ll be more than made up with the Labor Day extended cut  

[MikeQ]

Summer RT Update:

 

Only two more wide-release films to be released in the summer movie season according to BOM, which will make for a total of 48 wide-release films this summer. The current updated summer list with 46 films breaks down at 21 ‘Fresh’ films and 25 ‘Rotten’ films - a similar breakdown to the previous summers I have tracked (every summer has somewhat more ‘Rotten’ than ‘Fresh’ films, like clockwork so far). Only Toy Story 4 and Booksmart hit the elusive 8+ average rating this summer.

 

2019 — 46 wide-release films (*SO FAR*)

• 21 fresh, 25 rotten
• 80% or higher: 14 films
• 8.0+ rating: 2 films (Toy Story 4, Booksmart)

2019 Summer Films RT Watch (Wide-Release — May/June/July/August)

1. Toy Story 4 — 97% — 8.4 rating
2. Booksmart — 97% — 8.3 rating
3. John Wick: Chapter 3 — 90% — 7.5 rating
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home — 90% — 7.4 rating
5. Blinded by the Light — 90% — 7.4 rating
6. Rocketman — 89% — 7.6 rating
7. Ready for Not — 87% — 7.2 rating
8. Once Upon a Time In Hollywood — 85% — 7.8 rating
9. Midsommar — 83% — 7.5 rating
10. Dora and the Lost City of Gold — 83% — 6.4 rating
11. Long Shot — 81% — 7.1 rating
12. Crawl — 81% — 6.4 rating
13. Late Night — 80% — 6.8 rating
14. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark — 80% — 6.6 rating
15. Good Boys — 78% — 6.5 rating
16. The Angry Birds Movie 2 — 74% — 5.8 rating
17. Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw — 67% — 6.1 rating
18. Pokémon Detective Pikachu — 67% — 6.0 rating
19. Annabelle Comes Home — 65% — 5.8 rating
20. Child’s Play — 64% — 5.8 rating
21. Yesterday — 63% — 6.4 rating
22. Secret Life of Pets 2 — 59% — 5.8 rating
23. Brian Banks — 58% — 5.9 rating
24. Aladdin — 57% — 5.9 rating
25. Brightburn — 57% — 5.6 rating
26. Ma — 54% — 5.6 rating
27. The Lion King — 53% — 6.0 rating
28. Tolkien — 51% — 5.8 rating
29. The Sun Is Also a Star — 51% — 5.7 rating
30. 47 Meters Down: Uncaged — 50% — 4.7 rating
31. A Dog’s Journey — 49% — 5.2 rating
32. Where’d You Go, Bernadette — 47% — 5.6 rating
33. Stuber — 43% — 5.1 rating
34. The Art of Racing in the Rain — 42% — 5.1 rating
35. Godzilla: King of the Monsters — 41% — 5.2 rating
36. Angel Has Fallen — 40% — 5.0 rating
37. Overcomer — 38% — 5.1 rating
38. Poms — 34% — 4.8 rating
39. Shaft — 32% — 4.6 rating
40. Anna — 31% — 4.5 rating
41. The Intruder — 30% — 4.2 rating
42. UglyDolls — 27% — 4.4 rating
43. Dark Phoenix — 23% — 4.6 rating
44. The Kitchen — 22% — 4.5 rating
45. Men in Black International — 22% — 4.5 rating
46. The Hustle — 14% — 3.9 rating

 

Previous summers:

 

2018 — 45 wide-release films

• 22 fresh, 23 rotten
• 80% or higher: 13 films
• 8.0+ rating: 3 films (BlacKkKlansman, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, and Hereditary)

2017 — 42 wide-release films

• 18 fresh, 24 rotten
• 80% or higher: 14 films
• 8.0+ rating: 4 films (Dunkirk, The Big Sick, War for the Planet of the Apes, Baby Driver)

2016 — 42 wide-release films

• 20 fresh, 22 rotten
• 80% or higher: 9 films
• 8.0+ rating: 1 film (Kubo and the Two Strings)

Peace,

Mike

[dxmatrixdt]

what is up with Rocketman 3.5m away from 100m?

[JimiQ]

1 hour ago, 2010s Painkiller Race said:

what is up with Rocketman 3.5m away from 100m?

Sadly no double features with dora

[dxmatrixdt]

1 minute ago, JimiQ said:

Sadly no double features with dora

none?

[La Binoche]

13 hours ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Another flop weekend, at least the music Industry is being salved this week. 

No hits on the album. No one cares outside of her core devoted fanbase. Pretty soon she'll be to old for whatever it is she's doing in that gif, and with no talent to fall back on she'll be over. 

[charlie Jatinder]

 

Rank	Title	Locs	Gross	% Change	PTA
1	Angel Has Fallen	3,286	5,560,000	28%	1,692
2	Good Boys	3,353	3,420,000	27%	1,020
3	Lion King, The	3,300	2,400,000	28%	727
4	Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw	3,312	2,350,000	33%	710
5	Overcomer	1,723	2,270,000	19%	1,317
6	Ready Or Not	2,855	2,190,000	31%	767
7	Angry Birds Movie 2, The	3,869	1,920,000	30%	496
8	Dora And The Lost City Of Gold	2,843	1,670,000	23%	587
9	Scary Stories To Tell In The Dark	2,927	1,590,000	37%	543
10	Once Upon A Time In Hollywood	2,209	1,430,000	30%	647
11	47 Meters Down: Uncaged	2,883	1,080,000	37%	375
12	Peanut Butter Falcon, The	984	850,000	27%	864
13	Art Of Racing In The Rain, The	2,040	620,000	28%	304
14	Blinded By The Light	2,307	530,000	36%	230
15	My Neighbor Totoro - Studio Ghibli (2019)	735	480,000	-	653

 

Edited August 26, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

Edited August 26, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[Kjtc]

5 hours ago, La Binoche said:

No hits on the album. No one cares outside of her core devoted fanbase. Pretty soon she'll be to old for whatever it is she's doing in that gif, and with no talent to fall back on she'll be over. 

I’m not even a fan, but the fact that her album already has the best selling week of the year after one day and will be the biggest opening since the last time she put out an album proves she’s continuing to operate on a completely different level than the rest of the industry. The only person who can move more units than her is Adele.

 

Given that she’s written everything she’s ever released, as well as big hits for other artists, it’s ridiculous to claim she has no talent to fall back on.  She could retire from performing and still have a massive career as a songwriter for other artists. 

[narniadis]

Thanks Charlie! Looks like most will be close but down if these hold. 

[CJohn]

@MCKillswitch123 mad weekend at the box office here with a few hot takes:

 

https://www.ica-ip.pt/fotos/downloads/ranking_fds_22_a_25_agosto_2019_44075d63acaee6eda.pdf

 

- 6 movies above 20.000 tickets sold, that is the power of August;

- Biggest OW for a Portuguese movie since Pátio das Cantigas, and it missed a ton of theaters. Fantastic start for Variações which is fast turning into a word of mouth sensation/must see event everyone is talking about. It was also 2nd on Thursday but it jumped ahead over the weekend. I think it opened above the Amália movie which is just insane, the real music God has arrived;

- Angel Has Fallen also massive, biggest OW of the franchise here slightly beating London Has Fallen's start;

- Lion King is so so close to Avatar now, it should pass it by September 4;

- Good Boys truly shows there is no point on even releasing movies commercially if Cinemas NOS isn't involved, what an absolute disaster, an embarassement of an OW. The lowest I can remember from the big 6 studios. I have really no words to describe how bad it is. Ready Or Not did 3 times more. Kneel before the Portuguese media king, Universal, accept defeat (either that or just leave, but this is not sustainable).

 

 

Edited August 26, 2019 by CJohn

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

15 hours ago, PDC1987 said:

Her album is plummeting 50% in 1st week sales from its predecessor, 450,000 of its projected 550,000 first week sales came on the first day and just like with Reputation there is no hit single in sight to sustain the album after week 1.

 

As expected, a bunch of bullshit. I'm not sure if you know how to read a text, but Billboard is expecting 700k from her first week, not 550k. While HDD has it between 725k-825k which would put is as the second biggest album of year on the OW alone.

 

http://hitsdailydouble.com/news&id=317667&title=NEW-RELEASE%3A-EARLY-READS-ON-LOVER

 

I know that you're a desperate Madonna stan who can't stand the fact that Taylor has managed to show more longevity than this woman despite relying on talent instead of image, but you don't need to go that low trying to paint an OW of 800k+ when everyone is struggling to sell it on total as a bad thing, especially when it's a seventh album. The only one on Taylor's level these days is Adele.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

1 hour ago, Kjtc said:

I’m not even a fan, but the fact that her album already has the best selling week of the year after one day and will be the biggest opening since the last time she put out an album proves she’s continuing to operate on a completely different level than the rest of the industry. The only person who can move more units than her is Adele.

 

Given that she’s written everything she’s ever released, as well as big hits for other artists, it’s ridiculous to claim she has no talent to fall back on.  She could retire from performing and still have a massive career as a songwriter for other artists. 

 

This user is a troll who spend his days here dragging every single celebrity. Taylor already wrote and produced an album by her own and got critical acclamation for it, she's the only one in the mainstream who wrote every single song she ever released, to not mention the fact that she has the highest Metacritic Score among Pop stars.

 

And I'm laughing so hard at them trying to put a 700k-800k OW as a bad thing when the Industry has completely collapsed and not even the main Pop girls of the moment (Billie Ellish, Ariana Grande) can sell HALF of it, this shows how high is her level.