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Eric Duncan

IT: CHAPTER TWO WEEKEND THREAD | 91M DOM, 94M OS, 185M WW | Read first post for rules

By Eric Duncan, in Numbers and Data

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Jonwo Global Phenomenon

Jonwo

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Steele131 said:

Maybe not the right thread but what are we all predicting Doctor Sleep to do?

I think if WB ramps the marketing, probably a $30-50m OW, being the sequel to The Shining makes it more of interest compared to Pet Semetary which was a new adaptation of the book.

Edited by Jonwo
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JB33 Blockbuster

JB33

Posted
Posted

If it sticks that's a surprisingly strong OD multi for It Chapter Two. If it follows the same pattern as It then it should clear $100M for the weekend comfortably. If it has a softer Sunday drop we could see $110M. Have to see what Saturday looks like.

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted

 

(xposted with  TROS thread)

 

I wonder if this was as an actual trailer or as pre-show entertainment (where they have special ads and promos and the like).

 

Anyone see the Saga Reel on the big screen this weekend at any of their movies?

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Porthos Global Phenomenon

Porthos

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, Porthos said:

 

(xposted with  TROS thread)

 

I wonder if this was as an actual trailer or as pre-show entertainment (where they have special ads and promos and the like).

 

Anyone see the Saga Reel on the big screen this weekend at any of their movies?

Checking about, it does appear to be super random.  So I have no idea which theaters are showing it and which aren't.

 

(for what it's worth Chris Argyropoulos works in Lucasfilm Publicity, so he would know) 

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Waffles Cult Classic

Waffles

Posted
Posted

Fifth Update: Say goodbye to 400 million domestic. Highlighted in red was the week they announced that Spider-Man was leaving the MCU (the specific date was August 20). Homecoming (holding like a champ) has held noticeably better than Far From Home in the later weeks, partly due to the higher theater count. In terms of theater averages they are actually pretty even. 

 

 
MV5BNTk4ODQ1MzgzNl5BMl5BanBnXkFtZTgwMTMy MV5BMGZlNTY1ZWUtYTMzNC00ZjUyLWE0MjQtMTMx

Spider-Man: Homecoming

Spider-Man: Far From Home
WK 0 - $92,483,850
7-4-19 / 2
4634
-
$92,483,850
WK 1 $163,070,134
7-13-17 / 1
4348
-
$163,070,134 		$136,745,455
7-11-19 / 1
4634
+47.9%
$229,229,305
WK 2 $66,631,267
7-20-17 / 2
4348
-59.1%
$229,701,581 		$69,430,107
7-18-19 / 1
4634  
-49.2%
$298,659,412
WK 3 $35,205,224
7-27-17 / 3
4130
-47.2%
$264,906,805 		$33,595,858
7-25-19 / 2
4415 
-51.6.%
$332,255,270
WK 4 $21,200,971
8-3-17 / 5
3625
-39.8%
$286,107,776 		$20,318,665
8-1-19 / 3
3851
-39.5%
$352,573,925
WK 5 $14,245,918
8-10-17 / 5
3116
-32.8%
$300,353,694 		$13,098,565
8-8-19 / 3
3446
-35.5%
$365,672,490
WK 6 $9,447,687
8-17-17 / 7
2607
-33.7%
$309,801,381 		$8,202,055
8-15-19 / 7
2678
-37.4%
$373,874,545
WK 7 $6,316,701
8-24-17 / 7
2341
-33.1%
$316,118,082 		$4,194,462
8-22-19 / 12
1515
-48.9%
$378,069,007
WK 8 $4,283,464
8-31-17 / 7
2122
-32.2%
$320,401,546 		$2,383,581
8-29-19 / 15
1008
-43.2%
$380,452,588
WEEK 9
Fri $812,869
+150.1% / +0.5%
$321,214,415 / 57 		$1,146,126
+1399.8% / +146.7%
$381,598,714 / 60
Sat $1,428,527
+75.7% / +21.3%
$322,642,942 / 58 		$1,551,418
+35.4% / +110.2%
$383,150,132 / 61
Sun $1,442,793
+1% / +73%
$324,085,735 / 59 		$1,606,189
+3.5% / +234.7%
$384,756,321 / 62
Mon $1,035,187
-28.3% / +218.5%
$325,120,922 / 60 		$1,342,554
-16.4% / +645%
$386,098,875 / 63
Tue $248,359
-76% / -49.9%
$325,369,281 / 61 		$405,889
-69.8% / +51.5%
$386,504,764 / 64
Wed $177,324
-28.6% / -44.1%
$325,546,605 / 62 		$242,798
-40.2% / +37.5%
$386,747,562 / 65
Thu $141,189
-20.4% / -56.5%
$325,687,794 / 63 		$135,284
-44.3% / +77%
$386,882,846 / 66
WK 9 $5,286,248
9-7-17 / 7
2036
+23.4%
$325,687,794 		$6,430,258
9-5-19 / 11
3162
+170%
$386,882,846
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Legion Again Global Phenomenon

Legion Again

Posted
Posted (edited)

Preview: True Friday and True Friday: True FSS for the 5 biggest R-rated horror of the last half dozen years —  

It 1 x2.73, x2.98

Halloween x3.3, x2.7

Us x2.91, x2.96

Nun x3.09, x2.90

Conjuring  x4.12, x2.82

 

So, Conjuring’s preview:OD really just shows how much smaller previews were in 2013. Despite that, the true IM looks pretty normal. Those are all schoolweeks iirc, but It 1 and Nun are the exact same calendarwise and the most recent.    

 

So with a 33M True fri, It 2 True FSS should be from 33*2.7-33*2.9 or so, 89-96, for a 99.5-107 Weekend. Maybe can go even higher if the long runtime does shift business’s into the weekend (curse you small sample size).

Edited by Thanos Legion
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keysersoze123 Global Phenomenon

keysersoze123

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, eddyxx said:

True Friday is without the previews. 

Thank you. I wonder why we suddenly start reporting True Friday numbers. We always bundled them with previews. With 33m true friday it could potentially hit 110m OW. I looked at late shows in NYC and major Plexes in SF/LA and its playing phenomenally including late night shows. it seems to be driven by walk ins than huge PS which bodes well for total run.

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Inceptionzq Box Office Gold

Inceptionzq

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Thank you. I wonder why we suddenly start reporting True Friday numbers. We always bundled them with previews. With 33m true friday it could potentially hit 110m OW. I looked at late shows in NYC and major Plexes in SF/LA and its playing phenomenally including late night shows. it seems to be driven by walk ins than huge PS which bodes well for total run.

Denver is also looking amazing for the late night showings. The walkups are huge.

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MikeQ Box Office Gold

MikeQ

Posted
Posted (edited)

If 'It: Chapter 2' hits $100+ million for the weekend, I am incredibly impressed. Back-to-back $100+ million opening films? This is blockbuster status for a horror franchise. Really cool.

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited by MikeQ
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Old Spice Sleeper Hit

Old Spice

Posted
Posted

Just got out of a screening In Salt Lake (absolutely loved it... funny, terrifying, and without a doubt, one of the most emotional horror films I've ever seen) and the evening walk ups were HUGE. I actually thought about taking a picture because there was literally a line out the door, and I can't recall that ever happening before. I think the WOM on this is going to be great. 

 

9/10 and I can't wait to see what Andy M does on his next picture. 🏃‍♂️

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