IT: CHAPTER TWO WEEKEND THREAD | 91M DOM, 94M OS, 185M WW | Read first post for rules

[charlie Jatinder]

weather forecast for tonight

 

[Porthos]

18 minutes ago, TMP said:

https://deadline.com/2019/09/it-chapter-two-opening-weekend-box-office-birds-of-prey-teaser-1202713529/

Quote

Quote

New Line’s It: Chapter Two is seeing an estimated gross tonight per sources between $10M-$11M. If those figures remain on track, the sequel will be the second biggest preview for a horror movie and September release after, of course, 2017’s It which rang up $13.5M.

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

It: Chapter 2 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [4:00pm - 5:00pm]

 

Final Adjusted Comps #1 (probably lol - use at own risk)

	Time	%		Sold Since Mid Day	Total Sold		Sellouts / Shows	Seats Left / Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
Pika	3:30-4:00	181.46		447	3096		0/112	7172/10268	30.15%		10.34m
Aladdin	5:00-5:30	144.05		809	3900		0/117	9953/13853	28.15%		10.08m
KotM	3:20-4:00	195.21		492	2878		0/129	12885/15763	18.26%		12.30m
TS4	4:30-5:30	83.78		1228	6706		2/156	10656/17362	38.62%		10.05m
TLK	4:30-5:45	51.18		1800	10977		7/289	17020/27997	39.21%		11.77m
H&S	5:40-6:15	182.87		1064	3072		0/128	11254/14326	21.44%		10.60m
It 2 (adj)	4:00-5:00	n/a		1066	5618		0/236	16587/22205	25.30%		n/a

 

        

[Eric Atreides]

9 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

weather forecast for tonight

 

Is that...good? Bad? A metaphor of a perfect storm? I don't get it

Edited September 6, 2019 by Eric!

[filmlover]

Its overall multiplier for the weekend is certainly gonna be interesting. A nearly 3 hour long movie (and over that once you factor trailers in) isn't really something you can show up for in the spur of the moment.

[FlashMaster659]

15 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

        

The system works yet again 😎

[Eric Atreides]

7 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Its overall multiplier for the weekend is certainly gonna be interesting. A nearly 3 hour long movie (and over that once you factor trailers in) isn't really something you can show up for in the spur of the moment.

I get people are busy and all, but I don't think the runtime will be that big of a deal to people, especially since, at least in my area, there are plenty of showtimes for people to choose from.

[Porthos]

6 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

The system works yet again 😎

We'll see what the number actually is when it rolls in tomorrow.

(Especially since I bumped up my personal call from 11m to 11.25m, if with a +/- .4m range )

 

I'm more laughing that the Tracking thread predicted the Deadline range exactly.  

 

 

[Krissykins]

Ooh the buzz tracking thread was spot on. 

 

I dont think it’s great that the sequel decreased in previews. Still headed for the second biggest horror opening of all time though. Insane. 

 

Cant wait to see it tonight 😱

[a2k]

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

Its overall multiplier for the weekend is certainly gonna be interesting. A nearly 3 hour long movie (and over that once you factor trailers in) isn't really something you can show up for in the spur of the moment.

9.1x multi for IT1. I doubt IT2 can cross 8x being a sequel and a long movie.

[Krissykins]

12 minutes ago, a2k said:

9.1x multi for IT1. I doubt IT2 can cross 8x being a sequel and a long movie.

So a $88m opening tops? 

 

Hopefully previews increase then. 

[lorddemaxus]

22 minutes ago, a2k said:

9.1x multi for IT1. I doubt IT2 can cross 8x being a sequel and a long movie.

A long movie could easily mean people waiting to watch it over the weekend instead of Thursday (especially since it doesn't have the finale hype films like Endgame Deathly Hallows Part 2 had). Don't see how it being longer would decrease the multi especially considering that the movie is getting a load of showtimes. I think it can reach 9x.

Edited September 6, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[Legion Again]

22 minutes ago, a2k said:

9.1x multi for IT1. I doubt IT2 can cross 8x being a sequel and a long movie.

 

Just now, lorddemaxus said:

A long movie could easily mean people waiting to watch it over the weekend. Don't see how it being longer would decrease the multi especially considering that the movie is getting a load of showtimes. I think it can reach 9x.

I was also thinking that the nearly 3 hours might drive business toward Sat+Sun. It’s hard to draw many conclusions from Endgame’s OW in that regard (since... 60M previews, 100M true single days, etc) but it makes intuitive sense to me.    

 

I’m guessing x8.5ish, we’ll have to see what the audience metrics are like but anecdotally it seem to be getting solid reception.

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

A long movie could easily mean people waiting to watch it over the weekend instead of Thursday (especially since it doesn't have the finale hype films like Endgame Deathly Hallows Part 2 had). Don't see how it being longer would decrease the multi especially considering that the movie is getting a load of showtimes. I think it can reach 9x.

 

Just now, Thanos Legion said:

 

I was also thinking that the nearly 3 hours might drive business toward Sat+Sun. It’s hard to draw many conclusions from Endgame’s OW in that regard (since... 60M previews, 100M true single days, etc) but it makes intuitive sense to me.    

 

I’m guessing x8.5ish, we’ll have to see what the audience metrics are like but anecdotally it seem to be getting solid reception.

you still have to account for sequelitis. rare for a sequel to a 9x movie doing 8x+ unless the release date change is conducive to higher multis.

[Krissykins]

29 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

A long movie could easily mean people waiting to watch it over the weekend instead of Thursday (especially since it doesn't have the finale hype films like Endgame Deathly Hallows Part 2 had). Don't see how it being longer would decrease the multi especially considering that the movie is getting a load of showtimes. I think it can reach 9x.

I wouldn’t expect a sequel to match the internal weekend multiplier of the predecessor. They’re more frontloaded by nature.  

[lorddemaxus]

14 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

I wouldn’t expect a sequel to match the internal weekend multiplier of the predecessor. They’re more frontloaded by nature.  

I still think it's doing better than 8x. Also, both the last two Furious movie (I think Furious 7 is the only movie with a 9x that also had a sequel so that undermines a2k's very rare point) had a 9x. 

Edited September 6, 2019 by lorddemaxus

[Avatree]

before these numbers I would have said it won't hit 100m. but 10m is great start.

[FantasticBeasts]

It's so sad to see what BOT has ended up being. Just 2 pages in such a weeknd. All this ridiculous moderation and censorship got us here. 

[Wonder Midget]

Will WOM be good? The first movie, with kids as the heroes,had a great deal of charm. This one might not be as appealing because the characters may not be as appealing.

[Porthos]

29 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

It's so sad to see what BOT has ended up being. Just 2 pages in such a weeknd. All this ridiculous moderation and censorship got us here. 

People not yet returning from a dead month plus at the box office is what "got us here".

 

It's often like this during and right after a slow period.

 

(won't deign to comment on the rest of your post)

[Litio]

Not sure IT 2 is doing "only" $10m-$11m at previews. Based on reports, it is looking higher and Deadline's previews guesses are usually conservative.