IT: CHAPTER TWO WEEKEND THREAD | 91M DOM, 94M OS, 185M WW | Read first post for rules

[RealLyre]

49 minutes ago, a2k said:

IT1's breakdown for comparision

 

13.5

36.9 [50.4 od, 3.7 * 13.5]

45.0 (+22%)

28.0 (-38%)

= 123.4 ow, 9.1 * 13.5

 

EDIT: 10.5 previews for IT2 ( @sfran43's post below)

 

If it matches IT1's multis gets 39 od and 96 ow but that would be tough IMO.

if Charlie's 30M true friday is accurate then with IT 1 breakdown

 

10.5

30 (40.5 OD)

36.6 (+22%)

22.7 (-38%) 

~99.8M 

 

but I think IT II will have worse Sat & Sun holds so more closer 90M 

 

[baumer]

I guess I was one of those guys to overestimate what chapter two would do. I guess the first one just hit the Zeitgeist and for me to expect the second one to do the same kind of business was probably kind of myopic on my part. I hope it can clear 600 million worldwide.

[Eric Duncan]

@Kenny

 

Your Winona-ing confuses me. First you give it to me for saying 90M is the likely number here, then you're giving it to filmlover for saying the film will be more backloaded, therefore giving this film a chance at 100M. So you're wtfing over me saying it will be more frontloaded than the first movie, but you're also wtfing over someone else saying it will be more backloaded than the first movie.

 

At least try to be consistent dude.

[Krissykins]

20 minutes ago, Eric! said:

It's alright I guess. Would probably indicate 90M or so.

Let’s not get ahead of ourselves and describe the second biggest opening weekend in history for any horror movie as: “alright, I guess”. 

 

 

[Krissykins]

Halloween had a 9.9x multiplier from previews last year. 

[filmlover]

10 minutes ago, baumer said:

I guess I was one of those guys to overestimate what chapter two would do. I guess the first one just hit the Zeitgeist and for me to expect the second one to do the same kind of business was probably kind of myopic on my part. I hope it can clear 600 million worldwide.

I think the fact this one's likely gonna make around 75% of the first one considering it really didn't have any of the variables going for it that led the first to massively overperform is really impressive on its own. The first IT had one of the best marketing campaigns of any movie this decade imo.

[fmpro]

13 minutes ago, baumer said:

I guess I was one of those guys to overestimate what chapter two would do. I guess the first one just hit the Zeitgeist and for me to expect the second one to do the same kind of business was probably kind of myopic on my part. I hope it can clear 600 million worldwide.

Im more 500-550. Still awesome. 230-250DOM and 250-300 mill OS

 

Long runtime could scare people away from thursday and into the weekend

[baumer]

3 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Im more 500-550. Still awesome. 230-250DOM and 250-300 mill OS

 

Long runtime could scare people away from thursday and into the weekend

 

Your opinion is sound.

 

I'm just hoping lol

[Ethan Hunt]

Anyone looking for a creative outlet should consider CAYOM. A fun game we do on the forums here. we're in the midst of Y6 but Y7 will be coming soon! please come join if you're interested 

 

 

 

 

 

[seduh]

Its not getting to $100. It's heading for a $90 OW, good but not amazing, i was hoping it could increase on IT1 (at least on OW). It will finish with $220

[Alex SciChannel]

Is this a plausible way It Chapter 2 can reach a $100M+ 3 day opening?

 

$10.5M

$30.5M ($41M wit prev)

$36.6M (+20%)

$22.5M (-38.5%)

~$100.1M

[TwoMisfits]

Just to caution on Charlie's numbers...I think he stopped tracking "day of" OW numbers (using presales into the day to predict the day) by the beginning of August...aka - prior to the launch of the Regal subscription plans.  Regal won't release its initial subscriber base except to say "better than expected"...but whatever that number is, that base (if planning to see the movie) is going to significantly prebuy for a movie like this if they are going...so, his "going into the day presale numbers" might skew slightly higher (with walk ups now slightly lower), leading to his math calculation skewing too high...

 

I hope I'm wrong...I'd like to see a $100M OW opener...but I think we need to be cautious for now...

Edited September 6, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

We live in an Age where a $90m OW for a Rated R Horror Movie is 'not amazing', lol.

[YM!]

50 minutes ago, Eric! said:

@Kenny

 

Your Winona-ing confuses me. First you give it to me for saying 90M is the likely number here, then you're giving it to filmlover for saying the film will be more backloaded, therefore giving this film a chance at 100M. So you're wtfing over me saying it will be more frontloaded than the first movie, but you're also wtfing over someone else saying it will be more backloaded than the first movie.

 

At least try to be consistent dude.

It doesn’t matter, Kenny is a banned fanatic alt.

[Eric Duncan]

Just now, YourMother the Edgelord said:

It doesn’t matter, Kenny is a banned fanatic alt.

ok

[YM!]

All I care is that IT2 does $200M DOM, we need a non Disney win.

[Brainbug]

Great start.

[reddevil19]

40 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Im more 500-550. Still awesome. 230-250DOM and 250-300 mill OS

 

Long runtime could scare people away from thursday and into the weekend

I'm curious about its OS numbers probably more than its domestic ones (I feel like that's been the case with a lot of movies recently). It's a long movie, doesn't have the same buzz as the first one, but it's dreadful in cinemas at the moment. Like, I have zero interest in anything out atm and this is the first movie in a long while that has a blockbuster-ish feel about it. Will that help with it being more back-loaded, perhaps?

[a2k]

59 minutes ago, baumer said:

I guess I was one of those guys to overestimate what chapter two would do. I guess the first one just hit the Zeitgeist and for me to expect the second one to do the same kind of business was probably kind of myopic on my part. I hope it can clear 600 million worldwide.

was with you on that (even if a bit conservative in comparison). felt that being a self-evident concluding chapter unlike say deadpool2, it would manage to match the predecessor's over-performing ow. could fall about 20% or a tad more from IT's ow and honestly am somewhat deflated regarding that. hoping it can do 100 ow and 2.5x off that.

[Poseidon]

3 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

good numbers coming up for IT 2 in morning. 30+ true Friday seems very good.

That's a very brave statement that early in the day.