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JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

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10 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

Think about it guys, I said the budget is probably far lower, if I thought it was bad I wouldn't say that.

Thank you for confirming that $900M on a $55M budget isn't so bad, even if it is obviously a huge disappointment for DC.

Edited by MrGlass2
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6 hours ago, RJ 95 said:

keysersoze, how high do you think Joker can make in domestic market ?

With normal legs from now on Joker should finish with 640m OS with 42% drop also there are school breaks, halloween holiday and few more holiday in Japan. Japan in Saturday also still overperform that 45m become realistic now also Germany overperform with 10 more. 

Do you think 340 domestic still possible ?

It has slowed down this weekend. Movies have recovered after a meh weekend. But it needs better holds to beat BvS and Suicide squad domestic. Otherwise it ends in 310-320 region. Last week I thought 350 can happen. Anyway its all gravy at this point. This has been an extraordinary run WW.

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52 minutes ago, Xftg123 said:

Is there a chance the movie will get a re-release during awards season or no?

There were some re-expansion that got ASIB some 30m OS gross when the award season kicked off in the early-start 2019. 

 

Same goes to Gravity in 2014, the movie further added about 25m upon its award recognition.

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13 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

That's the problem with R rated movies. They exhaust their audience faster than PG-13. 

I still don't know exact drops in Europe, only in Italy but it's drop in Asia like in SK, Japan, HK, India, and Indo still excellent even some better than avg CBM movie. In country like SK it drop 50% this week but that's normal for CBM movie, also in Japan only 15% drop.

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Right now, if it continues to drop steeply, it could miss 300 DOM - hopefully it holds better domestically next weekend, as there's no direct competition. Terminator is opening in foreign markets, though, and it's mainly going to be internationally-driven, so I can see some steeper international drops for Joker, even if it recovers domestically. So I'm not really sold on 600 internationally. 

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8 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

Right now, if it continues to drop steeply, it could miss 300 DOM - hopefully it holds better domestically next weekend, as there's no direct competition. Terminator is opening in foreign markets, though, and it's mainly going to be internationally-driven, so I can see some steeper international drops for Joker, even if it recovers domestically. So I'm not really sold on 600 internationally. 

Terminator will probably open below Joker's 4th weekend in most international markets except for some Asian countries were Terminator is still big.

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28 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

Right now, if it continues to drop steeply, it could miss 300 DOM - hopefully it holds better domestically next weekend, as there's no direct competition. Terminator is opening in foreign markets, though, and it's mainly going to be internationally-driven, so I can see some steeper international drops for Joker, even if it recovers domestically. So I'm not really sold on 600 internationally. 

Possibly this weekend 70m+ OS, so 470m after this weekend. It can just drop 50% each week and it will still get 600. I personally think 625 already locked.

 

One of the thing that will make me doubt it if it get <65m weekend OS.

 

Edited by RJ 95
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13 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Terminator will probably open below Joker's 4th weekend in most international markets except for some Asian countries were Terminator is still big.

Genyishit did 350 OS and only a third was China. I think it can still do 300+ - obviously not huge, but a big enough impact to hit Joker's legs. This weekend hold will obviously tell us more, but I don't think it's impossible for an R-rated drama to just hit a wall, having exhausted its audience and curiosity factor, thus dropping 55%+ continuously from here on.

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1 minute ago, Sunny Max said:

#Joker grossed approx $1.7 M on 3rd Saturday at Japanese box office, looking to be #1 for the 3rd weekend in a row 

 

2 days weekend looking to $3.5 To $3.7 M . will beat Constantine tomorrow most probably 

 

 

 

 

Nice, that box office blog which track Japan box office multiplier seems work. Thanks man.

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1 hour ago, reddevil19 said:

Right now, if it continues to drop steeply, it could miss 300 DOM - hopefully it holds better domestically next weekend, as there's no direct competition. Terminator is opening in foreign markets, though, and it's mainly going to be internationally-driven, so I can see some steeper international drops for Joker, even if it recovers domestically. So I'm not really sold on 600 internationally. 

Suicide Squad made another $61m after the third weekend where SS made $20.8m, of course SS has summer weekdays, but even in the weekdays Joker has bigger than SS Weekdays (this week), with a much bigger third weekend ( between $28m- $30m), $300m Domestic  100% guaranteed to Joker.

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Japan - Sunday

It's already 9.30 pm in Japan as 99% of box office already counted and Joker will end this day with just 3% drop from yesterday.

Also with admission alone it only drop 35% from first weekend. I just don't know what to say about this. After this weekend its total probably in 24-25.5m range. 

 

All of you know that Japan box office is all about legs but Joker already opened with a big number for solo superhero movie. Then it also develop legs that I don't think I've ever seen in recent SH. Probably early Spidey or Batman '89. I mean Joker already 5x it's opening weekend and possibly will end with 7x or 8x it's OW.

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14 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

Japan - Sunday

It's already 9.30 pm in Japan as 99% of box office already counted and Joker will end this day with just 3% drop from yesterday.

Also with admission alone it only drop 35% from first weekend. I just don't know what to say about this. After this weekend its total probably in 24-25.5m range. 

 

All of you know that Japan box office is all about legs but Joker already opened with a big number for solo superhero movie. Then it also develop legs that I don't think I've ever seen in recent SH. Probably early Spidey or Batman '89. I mean Joker already 5x it's opening weekend and possibly will end with 7x or 8x it's OW.

 

Jimmy Fallon Reaction GIF by The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon

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1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

It was fun while it lasted but I think we should accept the truth that Joker most likely won't be the first R movie to cross 1B. It made 77M OS this weekend and unless I'm mistaken that's a pretty steep drop. :(

38% drop from last week

Still lower than domestic's drop of 48%. This has further diluted domestic contribution to one-third, which is quite insane considering non-china grossing here. 

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