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JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

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3 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

This is insane. Joker grew from the 1st weekend (+7% in 2nd we) in Greece . WOW!!!

Yep 

 

that a record of most commercial exposures has not been formally formulated in Greece. Especially some with a second four-day record. And yet, the Joker 's additional 145,735 tickets to its already solemn premiere (7% above the October 3-6 weekend ) can only get one spot on the all-time list. And certainly in the top spot of the current decade, well above 107.133 in the second four days of "Revenge: The Last Act" (followed by 104,531 in "Skyfall" ).

 

Extra-ordinary ... 

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Greece :-

 

Joker total admissions till 2nd weekend are 415,473 ..  (2nd weekend 7%+). will cross AEG (537,690) in weekdays . 😮 

 

insane level hold in Greece ..

 

 

 

 

The most successful films in 2019
No. visitors Movie
1 537690 Avengers - Endgame
2 291219 The Lion King
3 226488 Once upon a time in Hollywood
4 225139 The Favorite
5 202622 Captain Marvel
6 188791 Spider-Man - Far From Home
7 188584 Green Book - A special friendship
8th 177504 A Toy Story - Everything stops at no command
9 163132 The Mule
10 153956 Aladdin

 

 

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5 minutes ago, Marathon said:

Very impressive hold in my market as well: only a 4.4% drop despite a big opening (55 672 admissions). In fact, if you compare the "pure" weekends - no previews included - it actually increased by 6.2%! All bets are off for this movie.

Solid hold .. 

 

so AEG (341,470) & TLK (326,802) are in danger ..

 

The most successful films in 2019
No. visitors Movie
1 341470 Avengers - Endgame
2 326802 The Lion King
FLfin_small.png 286214 Ricky Rapper 7
4 222537 Pets 2
5 203797 Once upon a time in Hollywood
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Good holds here in Norway too -28% from first weekend. It's already equal with Captain Marvel and FFH totals after 2nd weekend. Will reach number 3 so far this year behind TLK and Endgame. It wont reach those two, but still, crushing FFH and Captain Marvel is insane.

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5 hours ago, Sunny Max said:

Greece :-

 

Joker total admissions till 2nd weekend are 415,473 ..  (2nd weekend 7%+). will cross AEG (537,690) in weekdays . 😮 

 

insane level hold in Greece ..

 

 

 

 

The most successful films in 2019
No. visitors Movie
1 537690 Avengers - Endgame
2 291219 The Lion King
3 226488 Once upon a time in Hollywood
4 225139 The Favorite
5 202622 Captain Marvel
6 188791 Spider-Man - Far From Home
7 188584 Green Book - A special friendship
8th 177504 A Toy Story - Everything stops at no command
9 163132 The Mule
10 153956 Aladdin

 

 

Wow that's crazy.

 

Is it set to surpass EG in any other markets?

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8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Running some back of the envelope numbers, I think this gets to 890M. Anything beyond that will need both great legs as well as pure luck including things like awards recognition, a couple of expansions and Terminator not doing particularly well.

Same, for me when I try to use OS number and with avg drop around 40-45%, it will get 597 million overseas.

I don't calculate for domestic but I assume it will get into at least 325 

So for me at least 325 + 597 = 922 million

 

The thing is when I predict overseas number , I always off by 10 percent each midweek or weekend, so yeah with market like Germany and France we still don't know how good week to week drop it will get.

At least 900 million is almost locked barring >45% drop in Europe.

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Clearly the first week was impressive throughout, but that can still be attributed to curiosity, with the WOM being "check this out". Now, considering the type of movie it is, repeat viewings probably won't be as high, so once that factor dies down, even if the people seeing it enjoyed it, the movie will start dropping steeper. 

Of course, that could be complete BS, and it continues to hold to the same levels, but I don't think we should be surprised if it starts dropping 45% or more. Even so, it should still be able to do around the same numbers as Venom, maybe closer to 900, which is simply insane. I would be thrilled with a billion, but... just want to keep my own expectations in check. 850 million to a billion isn't a small jump, with no new markets, is all I'm saying.

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Overseas number for this movie really depend on how legs develop in Europe. With other superhero movie, Europe maybe only take 20-30 % of oversea grosses but with this movie nearly 60% of them come from Europe. Last 2 days hold in SK and Japan seems good. 

So if weekly drop in Europe change from 30-40% to > 45%. It will have massive difference.

Still it will get 550m overseas even with 45% drop.

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