Weekend Thread: Downton Abbey 31M, Ad Astra 19.2M Rambo 19M, It2 17.2M, Hustlers 17M

[John Marston]

1 minute ago, Eric! said:

Last thing

 

STX’s Hustlers and New Line’s It Chapter Two will fight over fourth with around $16M a piece. That’s a -52% second hold for the Jennifer Lopez stripper pic and a third weekend decline of -60% for the Andy Muschietti-directed Stephen King sequel.

That could kill off 200m for It 2 if that holds 

[RealLyre]

that Ad Astra budget 

 

is this going to be another flop for Disney? 

[JB33]

Geez, two monster weekend drops in a row for It Chapter Two.

[cookie]

10 minutes ago, DAJK said:

https://deadline.com/2019/09/downton-abbey-rambo-last-blood-ad-astra-hustlers-weekend-box-office-1202739525/

 

14.5M Friday (Abby) 33M 3-day

 

That Friday includes the 4.3M from 2 previews, so 10.2M True Friday. Not sure if it'll reach 33M based off that, but high 20s looks good. 

A strong enough Saturday could push it over methinks. True Friday is equal with Sully.

[DAJK]

2 minutes ago, cookie said:

A strong enough Saturday could push it over methinks. True Friday is equal with Sully.

true but larger preview #s could indicate frontloading

[dxmatrixdt]

i'm gonna believe that those Downtown Abbey #s are not real and if they are real they are not affecting the other films in the rest of the box office.  

[TwoMisfits]

3 minutes ago, belligerent talking robot said:

i'm gonna believe that those Downtown Abbey #s are not real and if they are real they are not affecting the other films in the rest of the box office.  

The power of the aged 50+ movie going block...never underestimate them:)...

[a2k]

IT2 did "around 5m" Friday according to Deadline which is a +188% bump.

 

Even 4.75 would be a solid +174% compared to IT1's +134% 2nd Friday.

 

If so we may have to put the Fri the 13th theory from last week to rest  (IT2 did +220% compared to IT1's +166%) as IT2's having another massive Fri bump in comparison.

[RealLyre]

2 hours ago, Damianport1 said:

I think thats really solid for Ad Astra comparing to the expectations going it. First Man got 1.1. And u cant imagine why Ad Astra would be more frontloaded. Whats the min. it can get with 1.5? Is 20M locked? give me some other films that got 1.5M

from this year
Angel has fallen 1.5M/21M
Dora 1.25M/17.4M
Yesterday 1.25M/17M
Ma 1.4M/18.1M
Rocketman 1.75M/25M
Hellboy 1.38M/12M 

What Men Want 1.25M/18.2M
 

 

based on deadline's early numbers 20M isn't looking that good but I wouldn't rule it out just yet

[John Marston]

Guess the Ad Astra trailer being in front of every movie released in the last few months didn’t help it too much 

[SnokesLegs]

51 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Not that it matters but I wonder why Downton is released by Focus and not by Universal themselves?

Focus is just the arm of Universal that produced the film. The film still opens with the main Universal logo.

[DAJK]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Guess the Ad Astra trailer being in front of every movie released in the last few months didn’t help it too much 

It's doing better than it could have. 7M Friday, 19M weekend is a bit higher than many people had it earlier this week. 

[Legion Again]

Early Deadline is early. Aside from DA which seems to be overperforming but could be frontloaded, everything is pretty close to what was expected.

[Damianport1]

If Ad Astra follows First Man/Arrival on sat and sun then it will make 19.5M from 7.1M Firday. But hopefully the friday number goes up a bit.

[RealLyre]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

It's doing better than it could have. 7M Friday, 19M weekend is a bit higher than many people had it earlier this week. 

First Man had a smaller budget and opened with 16M. Ad Astra also seems like it has worse audience reception so legs probably won't be better than First Man's. I'm afraid Astra will be seen as much of a financial disappointment.  

[Krissykins]

24 minutes ago, John Marston said:

That could kill off 200m for It 2 if that holds 

22 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Geez, two monster weekend drops in a row for It Chapter Two.

New to tracking horror films? None the less horror sequels lol

[Krissykins]

Anyway, fantastic breakout for Downton Abbey. 
 

Meh to Middling for the other two new releases. Rambo coming last would be a bit of a bust. 

[a2k]

Rambo'08 did 2.35x - 18.2 ow and 42.7 dom.

Last Blood could have a similar ow but previews and sequelitis could front-load it even more if that's possible.

Fortunately for it the prod budget is under 50m (Deadline).

[a2k]

DA and Hustlers giving back to back ~33 ows. Good surprise. Hoping Abominable delivers similarly. Pro.BO has it at 20-25 in the latest forecast.

[tonytr87]

16 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

First Man had a smaller budget and opened with 16M. Ad Astra also seems like it has worse audience reception so legs probably won't be better than First Man's. I'm afraid Astra will be seen as much of a financial disappointment.  

 

It's midday Friday. We don't really know that yet.