Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

[Ms Lady Hawk]

11 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yikes. Last few pages are real gloomy.

 

1. The sales have not crashed or it is not Solo. They are holding really well but not Endgame level. That's it. Many folks were comparing EG day 1 sales and coming to conclusion it will/can be 300+, but we all knew that day 1 was sorta heavily hyped for sales.

 

2. That said, I do think it will be frontloaded. I am currently thinking ~210-230M OW off ~$50M previews. Full run may be $530-600M.

 

You know such a FLOP.

Would you say 50 million preview has over 50% chance of happening? I think a movie doing that amount in previews during these pandemic times is absolutely incredible. If the numbers are huge, this may snowball and maybe blunt the  frontloadedness some are seeing in the presales. People love to jump on the latest craze and there are some who will go to the movies just to see what all the hub-bub is about. 

[XXR vs XXR]

26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yikes. Last few pages are real gloomy.

 

1. The sales have not crashed or it is not Solo. They are holding really well but not Endgame level. That's it. Many folks were comparing EG day 1 sales and coming to conclusion it will/can be 300+, but we all knew that day 1 was sorta heavily hyped for sales.

 

2. That said, I do think it will be frontloaded. I am currently thinking ~210-230M OW off ~$50M previews. Full run may be $530-600M.

 

You know such a FLOP.

 

That OW IM would be lower than all Disney SW films. I just can't see it. The MCU is more GA friendly than SW even with a ton of hype. Maybe legs can be that short off of a huge opening, but not a OW IM that low. 

Edited December 6, 2021 by Multiverse of XXR

[Legion Again]

Ironically I think IM could perhaps go that low, but legs that low just don’t make sense (although, omicron, maybe… )

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Ironically I think IM could perhaps go that low, but legs that low just don’t make sense (although, omicron, maybe… )

I mean you do have access to my projection. Make changes as you think there may be 

[YM!]

I could see that low of an IM. The MCU films this year have been getting more frontloaded as of late and it depends on how much families return back in full force.

[XXR vs XXR]

1 minute ago, YourMother said:

I could see that low of an IM. The MCU films this year have been getting more frontloaded as of late and it depends on how much families return back in full force.

BW had a relatively low IM (still above 6) but it also had PA to deal with. Eternals and Shang-Chi did not have low IM’s (SC 8.5, Eternals 7.5).

[TwoMisfits]

6 minutes ago, Multiverse of XXR said:

BW had a relatively low IM (still above 6) but it also had PA to deal with. Eternals and Shang-Chi did not have low IM’s (SC 8.5, Eternals 7.5).

 

BUT, all of those had abnormally low preview numbers for an MCU film...I mean, it's one thing to get an 8IM on a low double digits preview...it's another thing to get than IM with previews triple that...

 

And as mentioned, the Thursday being a 3pm start, with many theaters holding Fridays' start to 1pm shows means Thursday is practically the same as a weekend day, which will also bump down IM...

 

As for me, I admit this has been my optimistic-all-year movie, BUT I'm not certain right not in my sky high optimism and have backed off what I think this movie can do...I still hope it goes as high or higher than I expected a few months ago, but I would not be surprised if the brain is right for the overall weekend and like Cap, I have currently fallen into the under $200M OW club and won't be leaving, even seeing these presales...Demos have to prove me wrong, and they haven't yet (in a major way) this fall...

 

It's the most uncertain about a movie I've been all fall, and you all know I've been pretty certain about a bunch of movies, even when I was against the board grain.  Today, you could tell me you see $140M or $280M for Spidey, and I'd nod my head and say "sure, that's possible"...about all I'm certain on is that it's over $100M and less than $300M, so maybe I need to pick one of those Deadline-type ranges and run with it...

 

[nguyenkhoi282]

I'm at a point where i see OW projections of 2xx and go like "eh, okay, unimpressed".

Then look back and be like 👀

overhyping is a serious condition dammit

[Legion Again]

31 minutes ago, YourMother said:

I could see that low of an IM. The MCU films this year have been getting more frontloaded as of late and it depends on how much families return back in full force.

Don’t really buy this. The 3 films you’re talking about were:

PA

Solid IM

worst in franchise reception and still 7.5

 

[Knights of Ren]

Just watched the Raimi films this weekend to start my prep for this movie.  They aged like fine wine, if only they made movies like that now a days. 

[Darth Lehnsherr]

Yeah I'm on my Spider-Man watch and finished the first Raimi film. So glad Green Goblin is back and from that special they did with the actors it'll be fitting if Norman is the main villain again.

[Anduin]

When is the review for this?

[Legion Again]

11 minutes ago, Anduin said:

When is the review for this?

Dec 13th, review and social media embargo both drop right after the premiere.

[Gavin Feng]

korean trailer

 

 

[XXR vs XXR]

1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:

korean trailer

 

 

Better than the last one for the domestic market. 

[LPLC]

Everything above $450M (my initials projections) would be great for me.

[Legion Again]

Anything above I2 is fine

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Anything above Last duel is fine 👀

 

[Legion Again]

Just now, john2000 said:

 

Fine for 5th  weekend I guess

[XXR vs XXR]

15 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Everything above $450M (my initials projections) would be great for me.

 

2 minutes ago, Product Driven Legion said:

Anything above I2 is fine

Anything over Avenger’s 1 is decent