Valonqar Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 you speak truth. managing expectations isn't fun but it's the best way to deal with boxoffice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 9, 2019 Author Share Posted October 9, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 9, 2019 Author Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porthos Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 @Thanos Legion I know you were speculating over the weekend that Downton Abbey might have a shot at 100m DOM after all. Any further thoughts on that as these dailies are coming in? I reckon it needs strong mid to late legs, so that's a given. Just wanted to see if you had any other updated thoughts now that the weekend and Tue numbers are in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 14 minutes ago, sfran43 said: Jesus Christ. That's insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted October 9, 2019 Author Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 1 Joker (2019) WB $13,908,626 +43% - 4,374 $3,180 $119,813,012 5 2 3 Abominable Uni. $1,321,100 +77% -33% 4,248 $311 $39,822,810 12 3 2 Downton Abbey Focus $1,314,425 +39% -43% 3,548 $370 $75,876,365 19 4 5 Hustlers STX $994,393 +76% -39% 3,030 $328 $92,975,198 26 5 4 Judy RAtt. $935,000 +64% +90% 1,458 $641 $10,562,241 12 6 7 Ad Astra Fox $632,881 +68% -54% 2,910 $217 $44,307,220 19 7 6 It: Chapter Two WB (NL) $589,193 +50% -44% 3,163 $186 $203,150,205 33 8 8 Rambo: Last Blood LGF $549,285 +68% -53% 2,900 $189 $40,749,605 19 9 9 War (2019) Yash $265,000 +83% - 305 $869 $2,524,917 7 10 10 Good Boys Uni. $132,240 +44% -48% 1,006 $131 $82,256,845 54 11 12 My People, My Country CMC $108,694 +66% -60% 68 $1,598 $1,727,639 8 12 - Angel has Fallen LGF $98,640 +51% -54% 831 $119 $68,464,355 47 - 11 The Lion King (2019) BV $95,047 +31% -45% 1,034 $92 $541,448,890 82 - - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Uni. $76,350 +30% -32% 682 $112 $173,244,630 68 - - Overcomer Affirm $68,812 +43% -44% 672 $102 $34,038,869 47 - - Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark LGF $54,982 +40% -25% 577 $95 $67,606,893 61 - - Dora and the Lost City of Gold Par. $41,580 +33% -40% 481 $86 $60,076,005 61 - - Toy Story 4 BV $23,578 +27% +67% 243 $97 $433,356,638 110 - - 47 Meters Down: Uncaged ENTMP $9,959 +32% -34% 145 $69 $22,129,498 54 - - Ready or Not FoxS $8,995 +30% -53% 125 $72 $28,635,274 49 - - The Art of Racing in the Rain Fox $8,702 +50% -25% 103 $84 $26,263,881 61 - - Lucy in the Sky FoxS $7,406 +19% - 37 $200 $67,702 5 - - The Farewell A24 $7,042 +57% -33% 40 $176 $17,570,904 89 - - Chhichhore FIP $5,700 +120% -64% 33 $173 $1,998,590 33 - - Aladdin (2019) BV $5,595 +27% -29% 105 $53 $355,476,505 138 - - The Goldfinch WB $5,573 +9% -82% 86 $65 $5,270,014 26 - - Out of Liberty Purd. $5,522 +65% -18% 25 $221 $226,068 26 - - The Fighting Preacher Purd. $3,871 +14% -14% 24 $161 $862,439 77 - - Blinded By the Light WB $2,601 +13% -51% 75 $35 $11,895,561 54 - - Where'd You Go, Bernadette UAR $642 -10% -82% 18 $36 $9,196,880 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 14 minutes ago, Porthos said: @Thanos Legion I know you were speculating over the weekend that Downton Abbey might have a shot at 100m DOM after all. Any further thoughts on that as these dailies are coming in? I reckon it needs strong mid to late legs, so that's a given. Just wanted to see if you had any other updated thoughts now that the weekend and Tue numbers are in. Hmm, good question. The weekend actual cume of 73.617 had it on track for roughly 97M by my spreadsheet. BOP's weekend forecast from yesterday forecasted a cume through this Sun of 82.3M, which would be a 57% hold on the Mon-Sun week. So far this Mon+Tues we've got 2.26M, a 57% hold from 3.98M last Mon+Tues, so that seems pretty reasonable to me. I think that puts it on track for more like 95M, but with one of these next two weekends showing a surprising hold it would be right on the edge again. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 (edited) I hate to hype up too soon but Joker BO is crazy good. its BO so far is running 10% ahead of Monday at AMC!!So even if it over indexes at AMC today its going to have a great Monday to Wednesday Drop. 9m+ wednesday would be crazy good. let us see where things are tonight. I started tracking cinemark only mid day yesterday and so I don’t have any monday to Wednesday comparisons. But it’s doing good there as well in isolation. Drop today will be most critical for its legs. If it pulls a rabbit out it locks up 300m. Edited October 9, 2019 by keysersoze123 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porthos Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 9 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Hmm, good question. The weekend actual cume of 73.617 had it on track for roughly 97M by my spreadsheet. BOP's weekend forecast from yesterday forecasted a cume through this Sun of 82.3M, which would be a 57% hold on the Mon-Sun week. So far this Mon+Tues we've got 2.26M, a 57% hold from 3.98M last Mon+Tues, so that seems pretty reasonable to me. I think that puts it on track for more like 95M, but with one of these next two weekends showing a surprising hold it would be right on the edge again. Since it's a smaller distributor, any chance at a late run expansion? Getting to the time of year where there probably isn't much room for expansion as the holidays start. But if its close to 100m as Thanksgiving window comes around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Joker has the entire month to itself. Audiences are clearly loving it by and large, so we’re almost certainly looking at a play towards $300 million. Wonder how many theaters will re-jig their screen plans over the weekend when Gemini Man plays to relatively empty PLF screens whilst they’re turning away crowds for Joker? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 Warner Bros. should seriously consider releasing their new Batman films on the first weekend of October. They would dominate the month! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, JB33 said: Warner Bros. should seriously consider releasing their new Batman films on the first weekend of October. They would dominate the month! They should move Suicide Squad 2 up to October 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 minute ago, TMP said: They should move Suicide Squad 2 up to October 2020 I can dig that. August ain't bad either for it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 6 minutes ago, JB33 said: August ain't bad either for it though Too close to Spider-Man and Mission 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, TMP said: Too close to Spider-Man and Mission 7 ?? I was referring to SS 2, not Batman. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TMP Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 10 minutes ago, JB33 said: ?? I was referring to SS 2, not Batman. So was I, SS2 is out 3 weeks after Spidey and 2 weeks after MI7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 37 minutes ago, TMP said: So was I, SS2 is out 3 weeks after Spidey and 2 weeks after MI7 My bad. I was thinking it opened August 2020 and you wanted it to move back to October 2020. You mean you'd advocate for it to move all the way forward from August 2021 to October 2020. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 1 hour ago, Porthos said: Since it's a smaller distributor, any chance at a late run expansion? Getting to the time of year where there probably isn't much room for expansion as the holidays start. But if its close to 100m as Thanksgiving window comes around... Don't see much history of expansions for Focus Features around this time of year. Boxtrolls got something over Thanksgiving, but it's animation. That said, they've never had a movie near the 100 line. I'm confident they'll try to push it over if it's close enough, but I'd guess that means "within 1.5M or so on its own," and it'll need to run well to be in that range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Lehnsherr Posted October 9, 2019 Share Posted October 9, 2019 If you're complaining about Charlie,'s attitude idk how you survived when a certain other numbers provider was around. Anyhow Joker amazing numbers yet again. Just shows audiences are gonna see any type of film as long as it's a comic book film no matter the tone or subject matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB33 Posted October 10, 2019 Share Posted October 10, 2019 1 minute ago, Darth Lehnsherr said: If you're complaining about Charlie,'s attitude idk how you survived when a certain other numbers provider was around. Anyhow Joker amazing numbers yet again. Just shows audiences are gonna see any type of film as long as it's a comic book film no matter the tone or subject matter. Oh a lot of the newbies here would have loathed @EmpireCity, for sure. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
