Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[cookie]

If AF follows:

 

Abominable: $39.6m

Goosebumps 2: $26.3m

Wonder Park: $28.3m

 

Looking good for $25m+ which would be very solid and a long needed win for United Artists.

Edited October 11, 2019 by cookie

[Damianport1]

25 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Deadline still saying around 42m for Joker 2nd weekend 

lol. It will do this by saturday.

[Krissykins]

7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

He's getting $20m from WB to play King Richard and more than that from Netflix to make Bright II

 

 

Christ 😂

[cookie]

If Gemini Man follows:

 

Jack Reacher 2: $27.6m

The Foreigner: $27.1m

Blade Runner 2049: $13.1m

First Man: $23.3m

Ad Astra: $20.3m

Edited October 11, 2019 by cookie

[Jonwo]

For MGM/United Artists, having Addams open well is good given the woes they had with Missing Link and The Hustle. It probably helps The Addams Family is still well known in the US

 

 

[Krissykins]

14 minutes ago, cookie said:

If Gemini Man follows:

 

Jack Reacher 2: $27.6m

The Foreigner: $27.1m

Blade Runner 2049: $13.1m

First Man: $23.3m

Ad Astra: $20.3m

Oooh, not good. The budget alone was $138m. 

11 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

For MGM/United Artists, having Addams open well is good given the woes they had with Missing Link and The Hustle. It probably helps The Addams Family is still well known in the US

 

 

The Hustle ended up doing ok, $95m worldwide. Child’s Play underperformed for them though. 

[Legion Again]

1 hour ago, reddevil19 said:

Will, it's not too late to say yes to Suicide Squad 2

Isn't it though? What he should really be doing is pushing hard for Aladdin 2 and 3.

[charlie Jatinder]

Noon EST. Joker is blowing up. let's start with 19-20mn being safe. At high end, depending on Evenings, may be 22. 

[Legion Again]

Deadline's 25.5 GM, 42 Joker, has Joker doing about 1.5x GM.

 

 

In the end should be more like 3x GM

[titanic2187]

3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Noon EST. Joker is blowing up. let's start with 19-20mn being safe. At high end, depending on Evenings, may be 22. 

What the hell, last week minus preview was only 26m, 22m would mean 15% drop!! 

[Black Panther]

Gotta ask everyone...

 

What is High Strung Free Dance? It is a movie playing near me but i’ve never heard of it

[reddevil19]

1 minute ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Noon EST. Joker is blowing up. let's start with 19-20mn being safe. At high end, depending on Evenings, may be 22. 

You better not be fucking with us! You know what you get when you mess around with box office enthusiasts in a society?

[charlie Jatinder]

Just now, titanic2187 said:

What the hell, last week minus preview was only 26m, 22m would mean 15% drop!! 

Saturday and Sunday over 1st weekend will be a big catch. let's see.

@Taruseth waiting for your Saturday stats.

[Cap]

Y'all left out the biggest news from the DHD Article:

 

Quote

There’s also CBS Films/Lionsgate/eOne’s comedy Jexi from Bad Moms directors Jon Lucas and Scott Moore. That’s expected to tank in the low single digits as CBS Films’ final theatrical release. Previews were around $235K at 1,900 locations. Low exits at 3 stars, a 40% definite recommend and Men over 25 mostly there (47%), followed by 31% females over 25, 14% men under 25 and females under 25 at 8%.

 

[kitik]

5 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

What the hell, last week minus preview was only 26m, 22m would mean 15% drop!! 

 

 

The numbers seem to support the theory that some people stayed away last weekend in the interests of being cautious.

[stephanos13]

What is going on? How are DL, BOP and other predicting around 42M when people in here suggest otherwise?

 

That's quite a big margin. It's not 2-3 million.

[a2k]

Using 20 Fri

20 (+141%)

26 (+30%)

21 (-20%)

= 67 (-30.35%) ; ~205 cume

 

Adding 2.0-2.25x the weekend to it's cume,

205 + 67*2.0 = 339

205 + 67*2.25 = 356

[reddevil19]

Just now, stephanos13 said:

What is going on? How are DL, BOP and other predicting around 42M when people in here suggest otherwise?

 

That's quite a big margin. It's not 2-3 million.

To be fair, should it hold the way Charlie is suggesting, it would be truly insane, so can't really blame them. 42 million would be a decent hold for a comic book movie, and in line with Logan, percentage-wise, for example.

[Eric Atreides]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-the-calm-before-decembers-storm/

 

8-Week Forecast

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Estimated Location Count	Distributor
10/18/2019	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	$40,000,000 – $55,000,000	$40,000,000		$120,000,000		3,700	Disney
10/18/2019	Zombieland 2: Double Tap	$24,000,000 – $34,000,000	$30,000,000		$77,000,000		3,400	Sony / Columbia
10/25/2019	Black and Blue	$6,000,000 – $11,000,000	$8,500,000	-23%	$23,000,000	-28%	2,000	Sony / Screen Gems
10/25/2019	Countdown	$9,000,000 – $14,000,000	$12,000,000	-14%	$28,000,000	-14%	2,500	STX
10/25/2019	The Current War: Director’s Cut	n/a	n/a		n/a		n/a	101 Studios
11/1/2019	Arctic Dogs	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$6,000,000	-14%	$24,500,000			Entertainment Studios
11/1/2019	Harriet	n/a	n/a		n/a			Focus Features
11/1/2019	Motherless Brooklyn	n/a	n/a		n/a			Warner Bros.
11/1/2019	Terminator: Dark Fate	$38,000,000 – $48,000,000	$40,000,000	5%	$89,500,000	5%		Paramount
11/8/2019	Doctor Sleep	$20,000,000 – $30,000,000	$25,000,000		$92,000,000			Warner Bros.
11/8/2019	Last Christmas	$12,000,000 – $17,000,000	$15,000,000		$80,000,000			Universal
11/8/2019	Midway	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$13,000,000		$47,000,000			Lionsgate
11/8/2019	Playing with Fire	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$8,000,000		$33,000,000			Paramount
11/15/2019	Charlie’s Angels (2019)	$25,000,000 – $35,000,000	$29,000,000		$78,000,000			Sony / Columbia
11/15/2019	The Good Liar	n/a	n/a		n/a			Warner Bros.
11/15/2019	Ford v. Ferrari	$25,000,000 – $35,000,000	$32,000,000		$115,000,000			Fox
11/22/2019	21 Bridges	$9,000,000 – $14,000,000	$10,000,000		$34,000,000			STX
11/22/2019	A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	$16,000,000 – $21,000,000	$19,000,000		$105,000,000			Sony / Columbia
11/22/2019	Frozen 2	$115,000,000 – $145,000,000	$125,000,000		$450,000,000			Disney
11/27/2019	Knives Out	$15,000,000 – $20,000,000	$17,500,000		$70,000,000			Lionsgate
11/27/2019	Queen & Slim	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$8,000,000		$30,000,000			Universal
11/29/2019	Dark Waters (Expansion)		n/a		n/a			Focus Features
12/6/2019	Brahms: The Boy 2		n/a		n/a			STX
12/6/2019	PLAYMOBIL: The Movie		n/a		n/a			STX

 

 

[Firepower]

7 minutes ago, kitik said:

The numbers seem to support the theory that some people stayed away last weekend in the interests of being cautious.

or what's much more likely is that WOM is incredible, this movie became real cultural event, people LOVE it.

Edited October 11, 2019 by Firepower