Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[MrGlass2]

Just a little mistake of 28% from Friday estimates, not bad at all.

[RealLyre]

Ad Astra was one of the most boring films I've seen this year and I saw Long Day's Journey into Night and The Souvenir. it's only making what it's making thanks to Brad Pitt.

 

Spoiler

it's not necessarily a bad film it's just not engaging enough to be a box office hit. 
 

Spoiler

unless you have daddy issues

 

 

 

 

[filmlover]

Next weekend will be interesting with how well Joker is doing. I currently have Maleficent at #1 with $37M (Zombieland will debut with around $20M or so for third place).

[TMP]

Just now, filmlover said:

Next weekend will be interesting with how well Joker is doing. I currently have Maleficent at #1 with $37M (Zombieland will debut with around $20M or so for third place).

I thought tracking on Mal2 was soft? Could see them being neck and neck at $32-35m

[Steele131]

20 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Deadline projects 58.7m for Joker for weekend now

 

https://deadline.com/2019/10/gemini-man-will-smith-joker-addams-family-jexi-weekend-box-office-1202757855/

So on Monday actuals will be 62M 😉

[filmlover]

Just now, TMP said:

I thought tracking on Mal2 was soft? Could see them being neck and neck at $32-35m

I thought tracking was in the $40-50M range. Either way I think it's gonna land in the same range Lego Movie 2 did or thereabouts. Not great since it'll still be a big drop from the first, but not a total fiasco like Alice Through the Looking Glass was either.

[cheesypoofs]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Next weekend will be interesting with how well Joker is doing. I currently have Maleficent at #1 with $37M (Zombieland will debut with around $20M or so for third place).

I hope Zombieland surprises with a #1 debut

[TheUndertaker]

21 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Deadline projects 58.7m for Joker for weekend now

 

https://deadline.com/2019/10/gemini-man-will-smith-joker-addams-family-jexi-weekend-box-office-1202757855/

"Even with a $138M Ang Lee-directed Will Smith action film in the market, adult moviegoers are opting for Joker, the DC villain origins film they’ve never seen before, and much of that has to do with literally the Rotten Tomatoes score: Joker‘s 68% certified fresh to Paramount/Skydance Media’s Gemini Man‘s 26% Rotten. The aggregator site is literally telling people to shell out their $15-$20/ticket for one film over the other. "

 

Can't believe they're implying Joker's "meh" RT score is helping it or that people even care about it.

Edited October 12, 2019 by TheUndertaker

[grim22]

I wish we got OS updates. Joker is seeing crazy holds everywhere apart from Japan where theaters are closed

[RealLyre]

2 minutes ago, TMP said:

I thought tracking on Mal2 was soft? Could see them being neck and neck at $32-35m

don't underestimate Micky's Law. Disney hasn't had a single film not open at no.1 this year so far. (not counting Fox movies). 

[filmlover]

1 minute ago, cheesypoofs said:

I hope Zombieland surprises with a #1 debut

I really don't see it at all and will be surprised if it matches the first movie's $24M debut a decade ago. The belated/unwanted sequel curse is coming to claim another one it seems. This really should've arrived no later than 2011/2012 for its greatest chance of succeeding.

[Ryan Reynolds]

Deadline says 90m Once Upon A Time In Hollywood needs 400m to break even. But Gemini Man at 138m only needs 275m to break even.

[sfran43]

 

[RealLyre]

3 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Deadline says 90m Once Upon A Time In Hollywood needs 400m to break even. But Gemini Man at 138m only needs 275m to break even.

Will Smith's back-end deals aren't as big as Dicaprio/Tarantino? 

[harrisonisdead]

4 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

Deadline says 90m Once Upon A Time In Hollywood needs 400m to break even. But Gemini Man at 138m only needs 275m to break even.

Bizarre, $275M would take care of the production costs, but marketing didn't cost $0 and surely Will Smith takes participations?

[Brainbug]

Been very busy in the last weeks, hence ive posted nearly nothing.

 

But ive seen Joker yesterday. I had some very small problems with it, aber for Phoenix alone its one of the best films ive seen this year. I didnt think id like a Joker Performance as much as Ledger ever again, but Phoenix comes extremely, extremely close.

 

So very happy for Jokers success. And obviously its heading for a terriffic 2nd weekend hold.

[charlie Jatinder]

15 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Gitesh and his love for DC. Happy for him, finally a big domestic number. Aquaman, though big, was dubbed more as China affair.

[charlie Jatinder]

A rather mute Saturday for early looks of it. Be careful with your projections.

[Ryan Reynolds]

Early Weekend Estimates (Domestic)
FRI, OCT. 11 – SUN, OCT. 13

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Joker	$60,200,000	-37%	4,374	0	$13,763	$197,928,787	2	Warner Bros.
2	The Addams Family	$33,000,000	—	4,007	—	$8,236	$33,000,000	1	United Artists Releasing
3	Gemini Man	$19,900,000	—	3,642	—	$5,464	$19,900,000	1	Paramount Pictures
4	Abominable	$7,700,000	-35%	3,496	-752	$2,203	$49,501,350	3	Universal Pictures
5	Downton Abbey	$4,900,000	-39%	3,019	-529	$1,623	$82,687,590	4	Focus Features
6	Hustlers	$3,800,000	-41%	2,357	-673	$1,612	$97,965,339	5	STX Entertainment
7	It Chapter Two	$3,400,000	-36%	2,303	-860	$1,476	$207,310,424	6	Warner Bros
8	Judy	$3,300,000	-28%	1,627	169	$2,028	$15,018,851	3	Roadside Attractions / LD Entertainment
9	Jexi	$2,900,000	—	2,332	—	$1,244	$2,900,000	1	Lionsgate / CBS / Entertainment One
10	Ad Astra	$2,000,000	-52%	1,678	-1232	$1,192	$47,088,432	4	20th Century Fox
11	Rambo: Last Blood	$1,500,000	-58%	1,831	-1069	$819	$42,860,586	4	Lionsgate
12	The Lion King	$800,000	17%	1,687	653	$474	$542,402,701	13	Walt Disney Pictures

 

https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-estimates-joker-addams-family-gemini-man/

[Firepower]

Del

Edited October 12, 2019 by Firepower