Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[sfran43]

I'm thinking the same after this week and weekend's hold

 

 

[CJohn]

1 minute ago, Eric Addams said:

Again, nostalgia is a hell of a drug. The first 90s movie was huge back in the day (adjusts to almost 245M), and the kids who saw it now have kids of their own. Also helps, at least here in the States, the first movie and Family Values air every year on cable in October, so the property gets new fans every year.

 

Welcome to a world where only things people recognize make money

The movie looked so so cheap that I thought even nostalgia couldn't save it.

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

This is an insane OS performance. It had 152 OS ow and in the following 7 days has added ~199 more.

 

If it adds 200 more in rest of the run OS (same as last week) and 130 more Dom (for low-320s finish), will get to 544 + 200 + 130 = 874 ww

[narniadis]

9 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

😳🤯🤯🤣🤣

Love it!! Definitely makes a case for 850m+ 

[La Binoche]

5 minutes ago, Eric Addams said:

Again, nostalgia is a hell of a drug. The first 90s movie was huge back in the day (adjusts to almost 245M), and the kids who saw it now have kids of their own. Also helps, at least here in the States, the first movie and Family Values air every year on cable in October, so the property gets new fans every year.

 

Welcome to a world where only things people recognize make money

It's also a fun concept with lovable characters. The brand has value. They should have done it justice. 

Also, Addams Family Values > Addams Family 

[Eric Duncan]

Still a shame Abominable opened so low. Between It 2 and Maleficent 2 we could have had 7 consecutive weeks of a 30M+ opener, which would have been insane. Still mad impressive, but we were on the verge of greatness. Ah well

[grim22]

4 minutes ago, a2k said:

This is an insane OS performance. It had 152 OS ow and in the following 7 days has added ~199 more.

 

If it adds 200 more in rest of the run OS (same as last week) and 130 more Dom (for low-320s finish), will get to 544 + 200 + 130 = 874 ww

Yeah. 900s finish looks likely. Not even gas to get to 1B which would have been crazy. Definitely one of the least expected Billies

[sfran43]

 

Edited October 13, 2019 by sfran43

[TwoMisfits]

30 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Nostalgia is a hell of a drug.

So are $4 tickets...every non-Disney kid movie that went the discount route overperformed this year...and the ones that didn't, well, didn't...

 

See Abominable vs Addams Family for the latest example...having seen Addams Family, I'm sure Abonimable is better, but not better enough for me to spend full price for that vs sale price for AF...

 

PS - The great spring example was Wonder Park vs Missing Link...

Edited October 13, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[TMP]

2 minutes ago, Eric Addams said:

Still a shame Abominable opened so low. Between It 2 and Maleficent 2 we could have had 7 consecutive weeks of a 30M+ opener, which would have been insane. Still mad impressive, but we were on the verge of greatness. Ah well

[Scubasteve716]

I don’t know too much about how the international markets work but another $125 mil domestic and $250 international seems like the low end and that puts it at $920 million

 

Especially if it gets Oscar noms I see WB pushing it to 1bil

[StarWarsMemer]

$300M week-to-week? 33.3% drops would add approximately $600M, which might result in passing Aquaman and becoming the biggest DC movie. WHAT. THE. FUCK

[Johnny Tran]

Aquaman is better than a lot superhero movies.  Most of these aren't reinventing the wheel.  Black Panther,  Thor, Aquaman all have very similar plots and it's a plot that predates most forms of entertainment.  

 

Wan brought a vision to his that is far superior to most. Its visually stunning. 

[Napoleon]

Don't know why people are surprised by Joker's performance. Batman v Superman, Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman and Aquaman were all big commercial hits. DC characters are way more popular with audiences than people here admit. If WB continues to hire the right filmmakers who understand what connects with the DC audience they'll make money. Trying to have a MCU movie with Justice League and Shazam was a big mistake, and they're repeating it with the Suicide Squad sequel, but at least they continue to be diverse and Birds of Prey and Wonder Woman 1984 seem to be faithful to the DC spirit.

[La Binoche]

It's nice to see great actors rewarded again. 

[La Binoche]

3 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Don't know why people are surprised by Joker's performance. Batman v Superman, Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman and Aquaman were all big commercial hits. DC characters are way more popular with audiences than people here admit. If WB continues to hire the right filmmakers who understand what connects with the DC audience they'll make money. Trying to have a MCU movie with Justice League and Shazam was a big mistake, and they're repeating it with the Suicide Squad sequel, but at least they continue to be diverse and Birds of Prey and Wonder Woman 1984 seem to be faithful to the DC spirit.

Because it's a bleak drama with no action that feels more like Christine (drama with Rebecca Hall, not the Stephen King movie) than a comic book blockbuster. 

[john2000]

8 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Don't know why people are surprised by Joker's performance. Batman v Superman, Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman and Aquaman were all big commercial hits. DC characters are way more popular with audiences than people here admit. If WB continues to hire the right filmmakers who understand what connects with the DC audience they'll make money. Trying to have a MCU movie with Justice League and Shazam was a big mistake, and they're repeating it with the Suicide Squad sequel, but at least they continue to be diverse and Birds of Prey and Wonder Woman 1984 seem to be faithful to the DC spirit.

noone said that dc characters arent popular ,what people here are saying which i agree , is that dc character are not more popular than marvels ,not anymore

 

 

ps ww and aquaman both were like mcu movies same goes with shazam , as for justice it tried to hard the secret of mcu mighty success is not the tone of their films

Edited October 13, 2019 by john2000

[titanic2187]

3 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Don't know why people are surprised by Joker's performance. Batman v Superman, Suicide Squad, Wonder Woman and Aquaman were all big commercial hits. DC characters are way more popular with audiences than people here admit. If WB continues to hire the right filmmakers who understand what connects with the DC audience they'll make money. Trying to have a MCU movie with Justice League and Shazam was a big mistake, and they're repeating it with the Suicide Squad sequel, but at least they continue to be diverse and Birds of Prey and Wonder Woman 1984 seem to be faithful to the DC spirit.

Try to produce a 55m mid-budget without single scene of CGI fight and zero visual effect spectacle, with highly stylished disturbing imagery non-stop for 2 hours.,

 

This is financially risky even for DC brand which clearly losing its ground to MCU in the past decade. The opening may not a surprise but subsequent strong hold is what make people shocked because SH genre don't hold that well, and a psyco-drama don't gross that much.   

[sfran43]

1	1	Joker (2019)	WB	$55,000,000	-42.8%	4,374	-	$12,574	$192,728,787	$55	2
2	N	The Addams Family (2019)	UAR	$30,298,000	-	4,007	-	$7,561	$30,298,000	-	1
3	N	Gemini Man	Par.	$20,500,000	-	3,642	-	$5,629	$20,500,000	$138	1
4	2	Abominable	Uni.	$6,170,000	-48.2%	3,496	-752	$1,765	$47,971,350	$75	3
5	3	Downton Abbey	Focus	$4,900,000	-38.7%	3,019	-529	$1,623	$82,687,590	-	4
6	4	Hustlers	STX	$3,850,000	-39.8%	2,357	-673	$1,633	$98,015,339	$20	5
7	6	Judy	RAtt.	$3,255,353	-29.2%	1,627	+169	$2,001	$14,974,204	-	3
8	5	It: Chapter Two	WB (NL)	$3,225,000	-39.4%	2,303	-860	$1,400	$207,135,424	-	6
9	N	Jexi	LGF	$3,100,000	-	2,332	-	$1,329	$3,100,000	-	1
10	7	Ad Astra	Fox	$1,947,000	-53.5%	1,678	-1,232	$1,160	$47,035,432	-	4
11	8	Rambo: Last Blood	LGF	$1,550,000	-56.9%	1,831	-1,069	$847	$42,910,586	$50	4
12	12	The Lion King (2019)	BV	$679,000	-0.9%	1,687	+653	$402	$542,281,701	$260	13
13	N	Parasite (2019)	Neon	$376,264	-	3	-	$125,421	$376,264	-	1
14	10	Good Boys	Uni.	$309,000	-65.3%	374	-632	$826	$82,723,810	$20	9
15	27	Pain and Glory	SPC	$289,147	+89.4%	23	+19	$12,572	$574,571	-	2
16	15	The Peanut Butter Falcon	RAtt.	$278,567	-41.8%	304	-319	$916	$19,513,573	-	10
17	19	Linda Ronstadt: The Sound of My Voice	Greenwich	$262,080	-9.6%	168	-36	$1,560	$3,231,298	-	6
18	13	Angel has Fallen	LGF	$260,000	-53.1%	288	-543	$903	$68,832,475	$40	8
19	14	Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw	Uni.	$182,000	-66.9%	301	-381	$605	$173,532,350	$200	11
20	22	Toy Story 4	BV	$169,000	-27.0%	189	-54	$894	$433,569,980	-	17
21	16	Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark	LGF	$150,000	-68.2%	346	-231	$434	$67,826,254	$25	10
22	18	Dora and the Lost City of Gold	Par.	$145,000	-58.0%	224	-257	$647	$60,292,920	$49	10
23	33	Where's My Roy Cohn?	SPC	$101,815	+27.6%	57	+31	$1,786	$361,474	-	4
24	37	Lucy in the Sky	FoxS	$73,000	+35.0%	198	+161	$369	$154,612	-	2
25	24	Brittany Runs a Marathon	Amazon	$66,679	-65.8%	110	-238	$606	$7,030,973	-	8
26	31	47 Meters Down: Uncaged	ENTMP	$45,000	-53.7%	97	-48	$464	$22,190,738	$12	9
27	39	The Art of Racing in the Rain	Fox	$44,000	-10.8%	89	-14	$494	$26,321,008	-	10
28	41	The Farewell	A24	$34,160	-10.3%	39	-1	$876	$17,623,487	-	14
29	38	Aladdin (2019)	BV	$34,000	-36.2%	73	-32	$466	$355,521,548	$183	21
30	36	Official Secrets	IFC	$33,841	-38.6%	43	-57	$787	$1,882,911	-	7
31	35	First Love	WGUSA	$33,010	-41.6%	40	-	$825	$159,309	-	3
32	34	Ready or Not	FoxS	$26,000	-56.1%	52	-73	$500	$28,674,387	$6	8
33	45	Monos	Neon	$23,400	-26.8%	50	+5	$468	$330,647	-	5
34	48	Miles Davis: Birth of Cool	Abr.	$17,171	-34.9%	16	-1	$1,073	$516,836	-	8
35	50	Honeyland	Neon	$9,300	-47.0%	24	-7	$388	$673,589	-	12
36	N	The Dead Center	Arrow	$6,451	-	10	-	$645	$6,451	-	1
37	N	Gift	Mats.	$5,126	-	2	-	$2,563	$5,126	-	1
38	61	Tel Aviv on Fire	Cohen	$3,338	-56.6%	8	-1	$417	$492,497	-	11
39	85	Desolation Center	Mats.	$1,633	+4.3%	7	-3	$233	$24,197	-	5
40	56	Britt-Marie Was Here	Cohen	$1,410	-87.2%	3	-8	$470	$32,324	-	4
41	100	Free Trip to Egypt	INDEP	$850	+74.9%	2	+1	$425	$49,557	-	20

[Ororo Munroe]

15 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

Aquaman is better than a lot superhero movies.  Most of these aren't reinventing the wheel.  Black Panther,  Thor, Aquaman all have very similar plots and it's a plot that predates most forms of entertainment.  

 

Wan brought a vision to his that is far superior to most. Its visually stunning. 

If you ignore the quality of the storytelling, sure. It has a great third act that takes it from mediocre to good but that's largely due to spectacle.