Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[Firepower]

Sunday actuals from Asgardians?

[charlie Jatinder]

16.75

[a2k]

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

16.75

Edit: Charlie has updated to 17

 

23.8% Sun drop vs 30% estimated.

56.4 weekend (-41.4%); 194.1 cume

 

Edited October 14, 2019 by a2k

[RealLyre]

2 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

16.75

that would make 2nd weekend around $56.05M~ right behind Deadpool's 2nd w/e of 56.4M which finished at 363M. 

 

Joker could have a shot at 350M 

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, RealLyre said:

that would make 2nd weekend around $56.05M~ right behind Deadpool's 2nd w/e of 56.4M which finished at 363M. 

 

Joker could have a shot at 350M 

DP1's 2nd weekend of 56.4 took the cume to 236.9 and it added 126.2 after that.

JOKER needs to add 156 odd after a 56.1 weekend to hit 350. Tough but 325-335 is possible imo.

Edited October 14, 2019 by a2k

[MrGlass2]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

DP2's 2nd weekend of 56.4 took the cume to 236.9 and it added 126.2 after that.

JOKER needs to add 156 odd after a 56.1 weekend to hit 350. Tough but 325-335 is possible imo.

And DP2 had very nice drops of -40% for a month following a disappointing second weekend, so it won't be easy to match.

[Brainbug]

Deadpool 2 also had the advantage of summer weekdays, its weekends were way more deflated than Jokers will be. Percentage-wise, i think Venom should be a better comparison than Deadpool 2.

[a2k]

12 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

And DP2 had very nice drops of -40% for a month following a disappointing second weekend, so it won't be easy to match.

 

3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Deadpool 2 also had the advantage of summer weekdays, its weekends were way more deflated than Jokers will be. Percentage-wise, i think Venom should be a better comparison than Deadpool 2.

was a typo in my post. meant DP1.

 

and that had even better legs so will be very tough for Joker to make it to 350 as even matching these legs takes it to around 325-330. 3rd weekend onward for DP1...

Feb 26–28	1	$31,115,195	-44.9%	3,856	+134	$8,069	$285,254,204	3
Mar 4–6	3	$16,725,929	-46.2%	3,624	-232	$4,615	$311,484,061	4
Mar 11–13	3	$10,942,304	-34.6%	3,331	-293	$3,285	$328,219,729	5
Mar 18–20	5	$8,011,984	-26.8%	2,924	-407	$2,740	$340,953,367	6
Mar 25–27	7	$4,897,941	-38.9%	2,336	-588	$2,097	$349,371,907	7
Apr 1–3	10	$3,456,595	-29.4%	1,968	-368	$1,756	$355,065,529	8
Apr 8–10	11	$2,085,290	-39.7%	1,435	-533	$1,453	$358,410,029	9

Edited October 14, 2019 by a2k

[PKMLover]

17 minutes ago, a2k said:

 

was a typo in my post. meant DP1.

 

and that had even better legs so will be very tough for Joker to make it to 350 as even matching these legs takes it to around 325-330. 3rd weekend onward for DP1...

Feb 26–28	1	$31,115,195	-44.9%	3,856	+134	$8,069	$285,254,204	3
Mar 4–6	3	$16,725,929	-46.2%	3,624	-232	$4,615	$311,484,061	4
Mar 11–13	3	$10,942,304	-34.6%	3,331	-293	$3,285	$328,219,729	5
Mar 18–20	5	$8,011,984	-26.8%	2,924	-407	$2,740	$340,953,367	6
Mar 25–27	7	$4,897,941	-38.9%	2,336	-588	$2,097	$349,371,907	7
Apr 1–3	10	$3,456,595	-29.4%	1,968	-368	$1,756	$355,065,529	8
Apr 8–10	11	$2,085,290	-39.7%	1,435	-533	$1,453	$358,410,029	9

So the OS total gross needs to be 575 to make it hits 900 total? 

[a2k]

9 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

So the OS total gross needs to be 575 to make it hits 900 total? 

Seems that way and 575+ OS is far more likely than 350 dom imo.

Is on 351 OS after adding 199 in the last 7 days. So adding 225-250 more OS for 575-600 wouldn't surprise me at all looking at holds in some major markets. Even if it does 300-325 dom am banking on 900 ww.

[charlie Jatinder]

I think 330-350 Domestic is easily possible.

Overseas quite easily 625-650. 950 is floor.

 

[Noctis]

20 minutes ago, a2k said:

Seems that way and 575+ OS is far more likely than 350 dom imo.

Is on 351 OS after adding 199 in the last 7 days. So adding 225-250 more OS for 575-600 wouldn't surprise me at all looking at holds in some major markets. Even if it does 300-325 dom am banking on 900 ww.

There's no way it's missing $575m after its performance the last 10 days. It'll be around $470m OS by next Sunday coming off a likely $75m weekend so hitting $600m with holidays coming up as well shouldn't be a problem at all.

 

 

[AndyK]

1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

Deadpool 2 also had the advantage of summer weekdays, its weekends were way more deflated than Jokers will be. Percentage-wise, i think Venom should be a better comparison than Deadpool 2.

Venom is a bad comparison, it's much closer to Wonder Woman,

 

 

 

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

19 hours ago, grim22 said:

Definitely one of the least expected Billies

That would be Aladdin.

[Firepower]

I don't understand argument about summer weekdays. Joker had great weekdays, mostly above Deadpool 1 & 2, percentage wise on the level of WW and even better than that in some days. If Joker continues to remain strong in weekdays and have strong weekend holds, summer weekdays argument is useless. We'll see how it goes in the next few weeks, but if it remains strong, it can go higher than 350.

Edited October 14, 2019 by Firepower

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

16.75

17.

[Sunny Max]

45 minutes ago, a2k said:

Seems that way and 575+ OS is far more likely than 350 dom imo.

Is on 351 OS after adding 199 in the last 7 days. So adding 225-250 more OS for 575-600 wouldn't surprise me at all looking at holds in some major markets. Even if it does 300-325 dom am banking on 900 ww.

that's minimum 575-600 OS  .. the way movie is holding in big markets is something extra-ordinary .. Europe & Latin sustain in next 2 weeks ensure $600 M+ OS minimum .. i would say $650 M OS is also very much possible 

 

not sure about domestic .. but $300 to $330 M .

 

Global total $950 M & $1 B is in play 

[a2k]

Joker could do 13-17x it's prod budget (55-70m) globally using 900-950 ww.

IT1 did 20x (700m ww on 35m).

Jumanji2017 did ~11x.

[PKMLover]

Apply 40% drop for both weekdays and weekends in next 3 weeks:

After next weekend:

Dom: 250

OS: 471

Total = 721 (pass IT1)

After next 2 weekends:

Dom: 285

OS: 542

Total = 827 (pass Deadpool1) highest R rated movie Worldwide

After next 3 weekends:

Dom: 306

OS: 585

Total = 891 (pass Venom !!)

Edited October 14, 2019 by PKMLover

[Sunny Max]

10 minutes ago, a2k said:

Joker could do 13-17x it's prod budget (55-70m) globally using 900-950 ww.

IT1 did 20x (700m ww on 35m).

Jumanji2017 did ~11x.

What a success of #Joker .. 

 

but look at IT1 ..