Weekend Thread: Weekend Estimates - Jokah 55, Addams 30.3, Gemini 20.5, Abominable 6.2, Downton 4.9 | Parasite generates 125.4K PTA (highest since La La Land)

[a2k]

Joker will outgross WB's next two grosses for the year combined

12	It: Chapter Two	WB (NL)	$445.6	$207.1	46.5%	$238.5	53.5%
13	Pokemon Detective Pikachu	WB	$431.6	$144.1	33.4%	$287.5	66.6%

 

(IT2 should get to 450)

 

Incidentally, AEG pulls that off too  (Edit: So far....Frozen2 will change that)

1	Avengers: Endgame	BV	$2,796.3	$858.4	30.7%	$1,937.9	69.3%
2	The Lion King (2019)	BV	$1,647.0	$542.3	32.9%	$1,104.7	67.1%
4	Captain Marvel	BV	$1,128.3	$426.8	37.8%	$701.4	62.2%

 

If you remove China for each, then Joker will outgross PDP, Shazam and KOTM combined -

PDP 332

Shazam 320.5

KOTM 250.5 (this is something...)

= 903

Edited October 14, 2019 by a2k

[Hatebox]

Jeez, I had no idea Captain Marvel made that much. Talk about brand armor. 

[Chucky]

3 hours ago, reddevil19 said:

Bay can plan an action scene. He just can't film and have it edited properly, all because he has the mindset of a 13-year-old. And you finishing that sentence with "kid" doesn't make you look as tough as you might think. 

And no, those movies didn't make Shia a draw. They made him more visible to other filmmakers, who either mistakenly thought he would be a box office draw, or actually thought he could act. Which I agree with - he can act. But he had nothing to work with in those movies, especially after the first, being reduced to incoherent noises and screams for the most part. But, again, I can't blame him, just like I can't blame Wahlberg for 4 and 5 (he is also good with the right material). It's all on the horrid scripts and incoherence both in story-telling and visuals.

Noone is trying to look tough behind a screen but claiming your opinion is correct just screams arrogance. I guess you just didnt understand who the target audience was for the earlier bayformer movies were. The film connected to young teens and Shia LaBeouf did do a good job with what he had bringing comedy and relatability to his role, people found him funny and theres no way a turd of a film like Eagle Eye could have touched 100m domestically if Shia wasnt atleast some kind of a draw after these movies despite going down a different path soon after. 

 

And you can say Bay cannot film an action scene all you wanted but those with experience in the industry seem to all disagree

Edited October 14, 2019 by Chucky

[AndyK]

3 hours ago, a2k said:

 

was a typo in my post. meant DP1.

 

and that had even better legs so will be very tough for Joker to make it to 350 as even matching these legs takes it to around 325-330. 3rd weekend onward for DP1...

Feb 26–28	1	$31,115,195	-44.9%	3,856	+134	$8,069	$285,254,204	3
Mar 4–6	3	$16,725,929	-46.2%	3,624	-232	$4,615	$311,484,061	4
Mar 11–13	3	$10,942,304	-34.6%	3,331	-293	$3,285	$328,219,729	5
Mar 18–20	5	$8,011,984	-26.8%	2,924	-407	$2,740	$340,953,367	6
Mar 25–27	7	$4,897,941	-38.9%	2,336	-588	$2,097	$349,371,907	7
Apr 1–3	10	$3,456,595	-29.4%	1,968	-368	$1,756	$355,065,529	8
Apr 8–10	11	$2,085,290	-39.7%	1,435	-533	$1,453	$358,410,029	9

DP1s run was front loaded, Joker is currently following Wonder Womans curve very closely.

 

It should overtake DP around day 22 if it keeps on track.

[alfred8]

Weekend in Italy has been scary good for Joker

1st weekend (Oct. 04-06): 1.32M + 2.43M +2.1M = 5.84M
2nd weekend (Oct. 11-13): 1.21M + 2.21M + 2.1M = 5.51M (-5%)

Total gross stands now at 17.09M (it opened on Oct. 03, so it grossed 5.73M in its 5 weekdays so far).
Projections have been now updated from 22M to 27M final gross.
It is now the 3rd movie of the year (passing 16.98M Aladdin), only behind Endgame (33M) and The Lion King (40.8M).

Edited October 14, 2019 by alfred8

[CJohn]

@MCKillswitch123

 Holy shit at that mad hold.

 

https://www.ica-ip.pt/fotos/downloads/ranking_fds_10_a_13_de_outubro_2019_316865da456d738281.pdf

 

Strong start for Gemini Man as well.

[filmlover]

6 hours ago, boxofficeth said:

Any chance that Countdown will become a breakout?

No.

[a2k]

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
Oct 4, 2019	1	$96,202,337		4,374	$21,994	$96,202,337	1
Oct 11, 2019	1	$55,850,000	-42%	4,374	$12,769	$193,578,787	2

 

Oct 11, 2019	1	$16,890,000	+103%	4,374	$3,861	$154,618,787	8
Oct 12, 2019	1	$22,135,000	+31%	4,374	$5,061	$176,753,787	9
Oct 13, 2019	1	$16,825,000	-24%	4,374	$3,847	$193,578,787	10

[narniadis]

Nice increase - really curious now to see how it holds Monday / Tuesday. 

[a2k]

8 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Nice increase - really curious now to see how it holds Monday / Tuesday. 

Last year Monday holds point to a 50-55% Mon drop followed by small drop on Tuesday.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2018-10-08&p=.htm (Venom was on 1st Mon btw)

[titanic2187]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

Last year Monday holds point to a 50-55% Mon drop followed by small drop on Tuesday.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2018-10-08&p=.htm (Venom was on 1st Mon btw)

Clearly PG13 and family flicks are the most benefited ones, don't expect Joker to have bigger Monday than last week   

[grim22]

8 minutes ago, a2k said:

Last year Monday holds point to a 50-55% Mon drop followed by small drop on Tuesday.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2018-10-08&p=.htm (Venom was on 1st Mon btw)

Joker should get past 200M today. There's a good chance it matches Venom dailies starting Wednesday.

[Johnny Tran]

People didn't think Aladdin would hit a billion?   It's a 90s remake nostalgia deal of a classic animated Disney movie.   Sure Lion King was expected to do well over a billion,   Aladdin right around a billion is no surprise. 

[Johnny Tran]

4 hours ago, Hatebox said:

Jeez, I had no idea Captain Marvel made that much. Talk about brand armor. 

CM,  Aquaman and SMFFH are all around the same number 

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Joker should get past 200M today. There's a good chance it matches Venom dailies starting Wednesday.

it1 dailies you mean?

[lorddemaxus]

7 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

People didn't think Aladdin would hit a billion?   It's a 90s remake nostalgia deal of a classic animated Disney movie.   Sure Lion King was expected to do well over a billion,   Aladdin right around a billion is no surprise. 

Lol, what? People were shouting "FLOP" right from the start. But you totally knew the movie would make a billion.

[narniadis]

8 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:

People didn't think Aladdin would hit a billion?   It's a 90s remake nostalgia deal of a classic animated Disney movie.   Sure Lion King was expected to do well over a billion,   Aladdin right around a billion is no surprise. 

keep it up dude. Trying to rewrite the forums history is always funny. 

[narniadis]

22 minutes ago, a2k said:

Last year Monday holds point to a 50-55% Mon drop followed by small drop on Tuesday.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?view=1day&sortdate=2018-10-08&p=.htm (Venom was on 1st Mon btw)

Oh yes, its more the curiosity over how close to the PG13 realm it will play versus holding more like the adult films. As always, the unpredictability of boxoffice is fun to track. 

[Lighthouse]

I didn't know final numbers take this long

[cdsacken]

23 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Lol, what? People were shouting "FLOP" right from the start. But you totally knew the movie would make a billion.

People were saying Dumbo numbers or barely better.