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charlie Jatinder

Tuesday 15/10/19.

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I also want to add for the board newbies that 'Crumbling' is usually used in an ironic manner now and while its usage varies from person to person it usually means "film that has been doing well had an expected or reasonable drop" or "film didn't reach initial early estimates from various sources on a daily or weekend number, but still did very well".

 

In the second case, if a film had projected to hit, oh say 94m on a weekend but "only" did 92m, cries of "crumbling" often follow, even though 92m would have still been great.

 

Sometimes though when a film really is starting to fumble, the rare non-ironic usage of the word will appear.  But basically it's at meme status around here and not a sign that a film's fortunes are actually changing.

Edited by Porthos
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3 hours ago, Porthos said:

I also want to add for the board newbies that 'Crumbling' is usually used in an ironic manner now and while its usage varies from person to person it usually means "film that has been doing well had an expected or reasonable drop" or "film didn't reach initial early estimates from various sources on a daily or weekend number, but still did very well".

 

In the second case, if a film had projected to hit, oh say 94m on a weekend but "only" did 92m, cries of "crumbling" often follow, even though 92m would have still been great.

 

Sometimes though when a film really is starting to fumble, the rare non-ironic usage of the word will appear.  But basically it's at meme status around here and not a sign that a film's fortunes are actually changing.

:bravo:

 

I'd like to add to your newbie guide that if a movie really is starting to crumble, people will simply post:

 

Deep-Dish-Apple-Crumble-Pie-1.jpg

 

Meme. Likewise, if there's suspicion that studio fudged numbers, people simply post:

 

IMG_1852-easy-fudge-recipe.jpg

 

Meme. And finally, if we are waiting too long for numbers, insert Puerto Rico joke. :lol:

 

 

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Here are the Wednesdays Totals (for comparison when Joker comes in):

 

-Venom: 2.23 (October 17th)

 

-Bohemian Rhapsody:  2.24 (November 14th)

 

-Logan: 3.16 (March 15th)

 

-Gravity: 3.48 (October 16th)

 

-Deadpool 2: 3.86 (May 30th)

 

-Justice League: 1.90 (November 29th)

 

-Deadpool:  3.85 (February 24th)

 

Note that Deadpool was a big hit, hence the increase it gets later on and into the weekend.

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It's gonna torch all of those. Lol I went from 250-275 to 275-300 to 300-325 in in 5 days. Lol this run is fantastic.

 

TMP clearly your club wasn't bold enough. Hell might as well start assuming it will be closer to 350 than 300.

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Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Total
Gross
%
Change
Week
#
1 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
(Disney)
$42.0 M $42.0 M NEW 1
2 Joker
(Warner Bros.)
$33.0 M $250.5 M -41% 3
3 Zombieland: Double Tap
(Sony / Columbia)
$23.0 M $23.0 M NEW 1
4 The Addams Family
(United Artists / MGM)
$17.0 M $57.8 M -44% 2
5 Gemini Man
(Paramount)
$9.2 M $37.3 M -55% 2
6 Abominable
(Universal / DWorks Anim. / Pearl)
$3.4 M $53.7 M -44% 4
7 Downton Abbey
(Focus)
$2.9 M $88.2 M -41% 5
8 Judy
(Roadside / LD Entertainment)
$2.1 M $18.9 M -35% 4
9 Hustlers
(STXfilms)
$2.0 M $101.7 M -49% 6
10 IT Chapter Two
(Warner / New Line)
$1.5 M $209.6 M -52% 7
11 Jexi
(Lionsgate / CBS Films)
$1.4 M $5.9 M -55% 2
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Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, October 20 % Change from Last Wknd
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Disney $40,000,000 $40,000,000 NEW
Joker Warner Bros. $32,000,000 $250,400,000 -43%
Zombieland 2: Double Tap Sony / Columbia $25,500,000 $25,500,000 NEW
The Addams Family (2019) United Artists Releasing $17,900,000 $59,100,000 -41%
Gemini Man Paramount $9,500,000 $37,400,000 -54%
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If Joker does 33M this week, that'd be very impressive. Especially at the 41-43% drop.

 

For comparison:

 

-Venom: -48.5

 

-Bohemian Rhapsody:  -48.6

 

-Logan: -53.3

 

 -Deadpool 2: -46.7

 

-Deadpool: -44.9

 

-Endgame: -57.1

 

-BvS: -54.5

 

-Suicide Squad: -52.1

Edited by Xftg123
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unfortunately I cannot run my script and so I dont know how the day is for Joker, but when I looked in the afternoon it looked like having a "normal" wednesday drop. I would say 4-4.5m wednesday. But I have not run my data in the evening so YMMV. As I posted in tracking thread, until I resolve issue with my laptop I cannot generate data. Rewriting all the scripts will take time 😞

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21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Rewriting all the scripts will take time 😞

Awh, take as much time as you need.

 

21 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

it looked like having a "normal" wednesday drop. I would say 4-4.5m wednesday.

That's still a pretty good drop.

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6 hours ago, Krissykins said:

Those $40m and $42m estimates for Maleficent, wouldn’t be good. 

I'm on the under 600m ww train for sure :(.

 

who knows maybe it will surprise. Joker has been just as fun to watch box office run wise as Aladdin

Edited by cdsacken
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