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charlie Jatinder

Wednesday 10/16

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Comparisons (Wednesdays):

 

-Venom: 2.23 (October 17th)

 

-Bohemian Rhapsody:  2.24 (November 14th)

 

-Logan: 3.16 (March 15th)

 

-Gravity: 3.48 (October 16th)

 

-Deadpool 2: 3.86 (May 30th)

 

-Justice League: 1.90 (November 29th)

 

-Deadpool:  3.85 (February 24th)

 

Note that Deadpool is the only one to have an increase, since it was a huge hit during that month.

 

Anyway, I've seen some box office predictions for the 30s in terms of Joker, so it'll do quite well depending on how the drop goes and if there's any plans to expand/decline theaters for the film.

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9 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

I'm going with 125%, from a 10% Thu drop (ofc, assuming 4.8 stays in place for Wed, so there's a lot that can still move either way).

Except your prediction has a 102% Friday increase. Not 125% like you said.

 

9.7-4.8 = 4.9

4.9/4.8 = 102.1%

 

Edit: oh wait I was using the Wednesday number. I'm stoopid.

Edited by Alex SciChannel
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1 hour ago, reddevil19 said:

4.8 is even better. Solid number.

10% drop on Thu?

Then:

9.7

13.1

8.1

30.9 weekend

 

 

 

Sat bump of 35% too conservative imo. Shouldn't dip below 40% even if it doesn't go (and most likely won't) as high as IT1, IT2, Venom on 3rd Sats - +47%, +59%, +55% respectively.

 

say Maleficent previews have some effect on Thu and J looses some more premium screens - 

9.0 + 12.6 (+40%) + 8.5 (-32.5%) = 30.1

9.7 would give 32.4 with that Sat and Sun %.

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1 hour ago, RJ 95 said:

Hopefully it can still reach 10m come Friday.

Feasible. Something like 4.25 Thu (-13%) and 135% Fri bump gives 10.0 Fri.

Edited by a2k
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1 hour ago, a2k said:

Sat bump of 35% too conservative imo. Shouldn't dip below 40% even if it doesn't go (and most likely won't) as high as IT1, IT2, Venom on 3rd Sats - +47%, +59%, +55% respectively.

 

say Maleficent previews have some effect on Thu and J looses some more premium screens - 

9.0 + 12.6 (+40%) + 8.5 (-32.5%) = 30.1

9.7 would give 32.4 with that Sat and Sun %.

I'm just wary after last weekend - could have been anomalous, or it could just be playing less impressively on Saturdays. Hope it's closer to 50%, but I do want to be conservative. Course, this could still go either way (say Wed ends up on 5, the Thu drop is less than 10%, then Fri barely increases 100%). I'm still not sure what movie it's playing closest to atm...

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Solid Wednesday! Thanks for sharing Charlie. 

As everyone else says, its interesting to see where it goes. Still liking how it tracks with American Sniper. Obviously superbowl sunday is not an issue here lol, but the curiosity of when it hits an audience ceiling is what makes tracking fun. 

Barring something odd and bizarre 30m is a given for the weekend which is also crazy

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