Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 558m OS 1.073B WW

[Andreas]

55 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

So that means:

$14.3M Tuesday

$16.8M Wednsday

$257.9M OS Total

Those are poor numbers imo. Ofc, SK, PH and Vietnam are still to come but.. can TROS at least make $600M OS? What do you think @Jedi Jat?

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, Andreas said:

Those are poor numbers imo. Ofc, SK, PH and Vietnam are still to come but.. can TROS at least make $600M OS? What do you think @Jedi Jat?

600???    
 

That is asking a lot. I think 560+540 for now, considering the 3 markets left will be goof for less than 10M probably.

[charlie Jatinder]

Since no major market is left, I wonder if it will hit 550 even.

Say 280 Week 1 and 2nd weekend around 65mn (-50% OS-C FSS), will see Sunday around $350mn. 2.5x post that will be around $512mn.

[MrGlass2]

Deadline has some comps:

Quote

Skywalker is currently running about 15% below Last Jedi internationally when comparing the first eight days of each installment. If we exclude China, which has grossed just $14.6M through Wednesday ($15.3M through today, which is not included in the total above), then Babu Frik and the Resistance are about 10% below TLJ.

 

Edited December 26, 2019 by MrGlass2

[John Marston]

19 minutes ago, Andreas said:

Those are poor numbers imo. Ofc, SK, PH and Vietnam are still to come but.. can TROS at least make $600M OS? What do you think @Jedi Jat?

It seems overseas audiences don’t have as big a connection to Sw as domestic audiences do so a movie like TLJ has an even bigger effect there 

Edited December 26, 2019 by John Marston

[Andreas]

6 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Deadline has some comps:

 

Well if it would continue to run 15% below TLJ, it would somehow make it to $600M, but barely.

[pepsa]

12 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Since no major market is left, I wonder if it will hit 550 even.

Say 280 Week 1 and 2nd weekend around 65mn (-50% OS-C FSS), will see Sunday around $350mn. 2.5x post that will be around $512mn.

For most big releases the second week (with new year in it) matches the christmis week, so it won't drop or just drop 10%-15% next week in a lot of european countries.

[charlie Jatinder]

7 minutes ago, pepsa said:

For most big releases the second week (with new year in it) matches the christmis week, so it won't drop or just drop 10%-15% next week in a lot of european countries.

Thing is if Christmas/Boxing day is just $22mn, I have hard time thinking Friday will bump on that. Sunday will drop abit with most likely flat Saturday.

TLJ did $230mn (15-17) in first weekend, $80mn (18-21) in weekdays and $70mn  (22-24) in 2nd FSS.

3rd was $62mn (29-31) FSS but before that $92mn weekdays. (25-28) 

 

Here weekdays will be $82mn (24-27) Approx, with $2mn in China.

Edited December 26, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[pepsa]

2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Thing is if Christmas/Boxing day is just $22mn, I have hard time thinking Friday will bump on that. Sunday will drop abit with most likely flat Saturday.

Boxing day should go higher UK isn't the only county that has lower grosses on Xday. Think it might rebound to $24m, don't know about the weekend though. And I mean that Belgium / Germany / France / UK / Netherlands week (23-29) will be only slightly higher than the (30/12 - 05/01) week. So everything it does this week will almost get added next week as well.

 

Say OW UK:

28m by 22/12

51m by 29/12

Would mean that it would be at around 70m by (05/01).

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

Deadline has some comps:

 

Without China its -15% TLJ which happened to be without Xmas. Ideally it would have gone for -21-22% if not for Xmas.

 

When dust settles, I expect it to be -25% TLJ OS-China.

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

Without China its -15% TLJ which happened to be without Xmas. Ideally it would have gone for -21-22% if not for Xmas.

 

When dust settles, I expect it to be -25% TLJ OS-China.

so about a 1.064-1.080 seem about right for WW?

[Blaze Heatnix]

A little less or a little more than Rogue One's worldwide numbers is what this will end up getting. Not good, if this is the finale of a 40 years old saga.

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

Probably because no one believes it's a finale of a 40 year old saga and can you blame them?

all three trilogies are fairly different from one another and dont feel like a 9 episode saga leading into the big ending.

if anything GA probably just saw this as the ending of this Trilogy.

 

[THUNDER BIRD]

On 12/22/2019 at 10:53 AM, Jedi Jat said:

Hypothetically, if weekend is just $180mn OS-C, and it leg out 2.75x, that will be $495mn, adding $20mn for China and SK, $515mn.

Now if Domestic somehow miss $485mn, we may actually see under Billion Dollar. 

 

If SW9 miss Billion, I wholeheartedly wish evil of Car Wars 9 and Fossil World 3 too.

SW 9 won't miss Billion, congratulations.

 

But Fast and Furious 9-10 and Jurassic World 3 will do more than Lol Wars.

[THUNDER BIRD]

Maybe not ff9 & 10 considering last one, but then it did do 1.2 plus H&S did 750.

So it can do it. 

 

JW3 will do it surely. 

 

Time to say goodbuy to Spaceships and colourful swords. It's time for Superheroes, Dinosaurs, Fast Cars and..... Yellow little dumb creatures who work for a bald guy with pointy nose? 

[Menor the Destroyer]

22 hours ago, pepsa said:

Boxing day should go higher UK isn't the only county that has lower grosses on Xday. Think it might rebound to $24m, don't know about the weekend though. And I mean that Belgium / Germany / France / UK / Netherlands week (23-29) will be only slightly higher than the (30/12 - 05/01) week. So everything it does this week will almost get added next week as well.

 

Say OW UK:

28m by 22/12

51m by 29/12

Would mean that it would be at around 70m by (05/01).

Spot on.

[john2000]

9 minutes ago, Menor said:

Spot on.

final total 1,1-1,15 ?

[Purple Minion]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker grossed an estimated $24.4M internationally on Thursday. International total stands at $282.3M, global total stands at $572.0M.#StarWarsTheRiseOfSkywalker #BoxOffice @DisneyStudios @starwars

— BoxOfficeReport.com (@BORReport) December 27, 2019

[edroger3]

Market	TLJ Week 1	TROS Week 1	TLJ TOTAL
United Kingdom	$    37.378.914	$   27.013.321	$  111.106.152
China	$    28.137.073	$   12.211.838	$    42.577.974
Germany	$    23.329.092	$   22.095.478	$    83.164.496
France	$    18.815.562	$   16.482.515	$    64.974.039
Australia	$    16.036.588	$   12.319.318	$    44.875.766
Japan	$    14.363.394	$   14.342.261	$    66.662.686
Spain	$      8.542.998	$     7.742.726	$    25.847.887
Russia/CIS	$      8.439.885	$     5.788.242	$    16.068.138
Brazil	$      7.167.845	$     5.941.188	$    19.108.918
Mexico	$      6.670.787	$     7.252.312	$    13.590.940
Sweden	$      5.992.286	$     4.561.693	$    16.242.795
Italy	$      5.411.401	$     6.003.285	$    18.138.020
South Korea	$      5.174.168		$      7.981.958
Poland	$      4.965.347	$     3.543.503	$    12.990.972
Denmark	$      3.983.169	$     3.010.704	$    11.247.455
Netherlands	$      3.371.720	$     3.089.583	$    12.944.717
Indonesia	$      3.143.360	$     2.907.186	$      5.223.333
Switzerland	$      3.011.392	$     2.747.813	$      8.791.603
Philippines	$      2.880.511		$      5.224.317
Belgium	$      2.579.569	$     2.379.822	$      9.053.013
Hong Kong	$      2.529.091	$     1.904.190	$      6.032.694
Thailand	$      2.332.043	$     2.402.996	$      4.536.887
Austria	$      2.291.969	$     2.195.499	$      7.398.284
New Zealand	$      2.190.851	$     1.897.526	$      6.121.931
Argentina	$      2.170.483	$     1.259.857	$      5.372.661
Singapore	$      2.060.113	$     1.479.646	$      4.634.747
Taiwan	$      1.812.040	$     1.339.897	$      3.534.284
Norway	$      1.807.371	$     3.022.419	$      7.319.861
Malaysia	$      1.799.324	$     1.361.430	$      3.724.376
Finland	$      1.583.524	$     2.428.682	$      7.143.747
Hungary	$      1.578.551	$     1.429.735	$      5.460.535
Chile	$      1.475.075	$     1.371.876	$      4.981.243
Czech Republic	$      1.472.901		$      3.832.518
India	$      1.400.280	$        670.258	$      2.462.280
United Arab Emirates	$      1.305.894		$      2.681.477
Turkey	$         981.156	$        699.794	$      2.652.520
Colombia	$         950.248	$        979.570	$      2.585.650
Venezuela	$         855.427		$      1.758.951
Portugal	$         804.804	$        750.797	$      3.284.941
Greece	$         783.464		$      2.477.797
Ukraine	$         770.412	$        855.329	$      1.732.820
Romania	$         763.207	$        682.268	$      2.287.791
South Africa	$         756.981	$        496.450	$      2.681.182
Bulgaria	$         476.139	$        307.977	$      1.696.438

[pepsa]

Spoiler

1 hour ago, edroger3 said:

Market	TLJ Week 1	TROS Week 1	TLJ TOTAL
United Kingdom	$    37.378.914	$   27.013.321	$  111.106.152
China	$    28.137.073	$   12.211.838	$    42.577.974
Germany	$    23.329.092	$   22.095.478	$    83.164.496
France	$    18.815.562	$   16.482.515	$    64.974.039
Australia	$    16.036.588	$   12.319.318	$    44.875.766
Japan	$    14.363.394	$   14.342.261	$    66.662.686
Spain	$      8.542.998	$     7.742.726	$    25.847.887
Russia/CIS	$      8.439.885	$     5.788.242	$    16.068.138
Brazil	$      7.167.845	$     5.941.188	$    19.108.918
Mexico	$      6.670.787	$     7.252.312	$    13.590.940
Sweden	$      5.992.286	$     4.561.693	$    16.242.795
Italy	$      5.411.401	$     6.003.285	$    18.138.020
South Korea	$      5.174.168		$      7.981.958
Poland	$      4.965.347	$     3.543.503	$    12.990.972
Denmark	$      3.983.169	$     3.010.704	$    11.247.455
Netherlands	$      3.371.720	$     3.089.583	$    12.944.717
Indonesia	$      3.143.360	$     2.907.186	$      5.223.333
Switzerland	$      3.011.392	$     2.747.813	$      8.791.603
Philippines	$      2.880.511		$      5.224.317
Belgium	$      2.579.569	$     2.379.822	$      9.053.013
Hong Kong	$      2.529.091	$     1.904.190	$      6.032.694
Thailand	$      2.332.043	$     2.402.996	$      4.536.887
Austria	$      2.291.969	$     2.195.499	$      7.398.284
New Zealand	$      2.190.851	$     1.897.526	$      6.121.931
Argentina	$      2.170.483	$     1.259.857	$      5.372.661
Singapore	$      2.060.113	$     1.479.646	$      4.634.747
Taiwan	$      1.812.040	$     1.339.897	$      3.534.284
Norway	$      1.807.371	$     3.022.419	$      7.319.861
Malaysia	$      1.799.324	$     1.361.430	$      3.724.376
Finland	$      1.583.524	$     2.428.682	$      7.143.747
Hungary	$      1.578.551	$     1.429.735	$      5.460.535
Chile	$      1.475.075	$     1.371.876	$      4.981.243
Czech Republic	$      1.472.901		$      3.832.518
India	$      1.400.280	$        670.258	$      2.462.280
United Arab Emirates	$      1.305.894		$      2.681.477
Turkey	$         981.156	$        699.794	$      2.652.520
Colombia	$         950.248	$        979.570	$      2.585.650
Venezuela	$         855.427		$      1.758.951
Portugal	$         804.804	$        750.797	$      3.284.941
Greece	$         783.464		$      2.477.797
Ukraine	$         770.412	$        855.329	$      1.732.820
Romania	$         763.207	$        682.268	$      2.287.791
South Africa	$         756.981	$        496.450	$      2.681.182
Bulgaria	$         476.139	$        307.977	$      1.696.438

 

Why is Italy so weird, in the Italian forum the Europ cume for TLJ was 13% higher than that of TROS but here the OW of TROS is higher?