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Jamiem

Frozen II 971m OS 1.44B WW

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1 hour ago, danhtruong5 said:

OS 912

Brazil +15

Japan +20

=>947

Other markets? +35?

=> 982 (?)

 

35 from J+Br seems right to me. They had roughly 7.7M for the weekend, so other markets about 11.5M. Adding 3x seems possible. I also see about 980 for now.    
 

My final milestone hopes will be Dory DOM and F1+200 WW, but a great performance overall no matter how things go from here.

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At Sunday 12

 

Country

 F1 M$

 F2 M$

F2 vs F1

India

    0,60  

    7,28  

1213,33%

Taiwan

    1,50  

   11,07  

738,00%

Philippines

    2,69  

   16,40  

609,53%

Indonesia

    2,77  

   14,88  

537,18%

Thailand

    1,45  

    6,45  

444,83%

Vietnam

    0,88  

    3,35  

380,68%

Czech Rep.

    1,56  

    4,92  

315,38%

HK

    2,58  

    7,74  

300,03%

Malaysia

    3,62  

    9,38  

259,21%

China

   48,24  

  122,01  

252,92%

Israel

    2,34  

    5,30  

226,70%

Finland

    2,51  

    5,34  

212,46%

Croatia

    0,50  

    0,92  

184,00%

Serbia & M.

    0,42  

    0,77  

183,33%

EAU

    3,14  

    5,75  

183,03%

Switzerland

    4,28  

    7,44  

173,83%

Poland

    7,35  

   12,05  

163,93%

Singapore

    3,84  

    6,05   

157,50%

Slovenia

    0,45  

    0,70  

155,56%

Lithuania

    0,58  

    0,89  

153,45%

Romania

    2,00  

    3,00  

150,00%

SAFR

    2,66  

    3,66  

137,60%

Iceland

    0,35  

    0,48  

137,14%

Hungary

    2,05  

    2,81  

137,14%

Ukraine

    2,87  

    3,90  

136,07%

Slovakia

    1,21  

    1,64  

135,54%

Austria

    5,29  

    6,89  

130,25%

South Korea

   76,70  

   98,78  

128,79%

Belgium

    7,93  

    9,78  

123,40%

Portugal

    3,01  

    3,62  

120,31%

Germany

   48,29  

   56,92  

117,88%

Netherl.

   10,51  

   12,27  

116,79%

UK

   57,92  

   66,55  

114,90%

Usa+Can

  400,74  

  459,56  

114,68%

France

   46,94  

   52,07  

110,93%

Mexico

   25,73  

   28,32  

110,06%

Sweden

    9,74   

   10,50  

107,85%

Norway

    7,53  

    7,77  

103,24%

Russia

   33,44  

   34,06  

101,87%

Denmark

    7,77  

    7,75  

99,80%

Spain

   22,49  

   22,43  

99,72%

Greece

    2,18  

    2,09  

95,77%

Australia

   26,70  

   25,49  

95,47%

Colombia

    6,27  

    5,88  

93,80%

NewZel

    4,43  

    3,99  

90,07%

Brazil

   21,74  

   19,21  

88,36%

Italy

   26,42  

   21,95  

83,08%

Turkey

    4,73  

    3,87  

81,78%

Chile

    5,23  

    3,79  

72,43%

Rest

   56,06   

   31,02  

55,34%

Japan

  249,04  

  110,03  

44,18%

Argentina

   11,55  

    4,04  

34,96%

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Hello, here is my final projections for Frozen 2 box office updated :

 

NA : $490M-$500M                   Overseas : $965M-$997M

 

Austria : $7M-$7.5M                  Argentina : $6M-$7M

Belgium : $10M                          Bolivia : $1.5M

Bulgaria : $1.5M                         Brazil : $30M-$35M

Croatia : $1M                              Chile : $4.5M

Czech Republic : $5M-$5.5M     Colombia : $6M

Denmark : $8.5M-$9.5M             Mexico : $29M

Egypt : /                                       Paraguay : $0.5M-$1M

Finland : $6M-$6.5M                   Uruguay : $1M

France : $53.5M-$55.5M             Venezuela : $0.5M-$1M

Germany : $58.5M-$60.5M          Total Latin America : $79M-$86M

Greece : $2.5M

Hungary : $3M                              Hong Kong : $8M

Iceland : $0.5M                             India : $7.5M

Italy : $22.5M                                Indonesia : $15M

Lithuania : $1M                             Japan : $132M-$137M

Netherlands : $13M                      Malaysia : $9.5M

Norway : $8M-$9M                      Philippines :$16.5M

Poland : $12M-$12.5M                 Russia/CIS : $34.5M

Portugal : $3.5M-$4M                  Singapore : $6M

Romania : $3M                             South Korea : $99M-$99.5M

Serbia : $1M                                 Taiwan : $11M-$11.5M

Slovakia : $1.5M-$2M                   Thailand : $6.5M

Slovenia : $0.5M-$1M                   Vietnam : $3.5M

Spain : $23.5M                              Total Asia : $349M - $355M

Sweden : $12M-$13M                                                   

Switzerland : $7.5M-$8M               Australia : $26.5M-$27.5M

Turkey : $4M                                   New Zealand : $4.5M

Ukraine : $4M                                 Total Oceania : $31M-$32M

United Kingdom : $68M-$71M                                        

Total Europe : $342M-$356M          China : $123M

                                                                        

Nigeria : /                                         Israel : $6M

South Africa : $4M                           UAE : $6M

Total Africa : $4M                             Total middle East : $12M

                                             

Other countries : $26M-$29M

 

Total : $1455M (min range) - $1497M (max. range) = $1476M (med. range)

 

Tell me if you want to correct something or if you think I'm wrong anywhere and I will correct and update that 

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27 minutes ago, LPLC said:

Hello, here is my final projections for Frozen 2 box office updated :

 

NA : $490M-$500M                   Overseas : $965M-$997M

 

Austria : $7M-$7.5M                  Argentina : $6M-$7M

Belgium : $10M                          Bolivia : $1.5M

Bulgaria : $1.5M                         Brazil : $30M-$35M

Croatia : $1M                              Chile : $4.5M

Czech Republic : $5M-$5.5M     Colombia : $6M

Denmark : $8.5M-$9.5M             Mexico : $29M

Egypt : /                                       Paraguay : $0.5M-$1M

Finland : $6M-$6.5M                   Uruguay : $1M

France : $53.5M-$55.5M             Venezuela : $0.5M-$1M

Germany : $58.5M-$60.5M          Total Latin America : $79M-$86M

Greece : $2.5M

Hungary : $3M                              Hong Kong : $8M

Iceland : $0.5M                             India : $7.5M

Italy : $22.5M                                Indonesia : $15M

Lithuania : $1M                             Japan : $132M-$137M

Netherlands : $13M                      Malaysia : $9.5M

Norway : $8M-$9M                      Philippines :$16.5M

Poland : $12M-$12.5M                 Russia/CIS : $34.5M

Portugal : $3.5M-$4M                  Singapore : $6M

Romania : $3M                             South Korea : $99M-$99.5M

Serbia : $1M                                 Taiwan : $11M-$11.5M

Slovakia : $1.5M-$2M                   Thailand : $6.5M

Slovenia : $0.5M-$1M                   Vietnam : $3.5M

Spain : $23.5M                              Total Asia : $349M - $355M

Sweden : $12M-$13M                                                   

Switzerland : $7.5M-$8M               Australia : $26.5M-$27.5M

Turkey : $4M                                   New Zealand : $4.5M

Ukraine : $4M                                 Total Oceania : $31M-$32M

United Kingdom : $68M-$71M                                        

Total Europe : $342M-$356M          China : $123M

                                                                        

Nigeria : /                                         Israel : $6M

South Africa : $4M                           UAE : $6M

Total Africa : $4M                             Total middle East : $12M

                                             

Other countries : $26M-$29M

 

Total : $1455M (min range) - $1497M (max. range) = $1476M (med. range)

 

Tell me if you want to correct something or if you think I'm wrong anywhere and I will correct and update that 

DOM is way too opimistic. It's not likely that it goes over 485M, I would say 480-482M is the most likely final gross.

I can comment on Hungary, it's spot on. Your earlier 2.5-3.5 was also an amazing guess.

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2 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

DOM is too high, as Misafeco said. I would go 480-490 but the upper end is quite optimistic 😛 

 

The OS territories I can comment on (checked about 10) all looked good.

If it gets 490, could disney in some way boost it  to pass 500, or the gap is still high?

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I think it's interesting how an animated film that is heavily based on Scandinavian folklore and is set in Medieval Europe is resonating so much across different cultures in Nigeria, India, Taiwan, etc.

 

Tbh it just speaks volumes on the timeless and universal appeal of magic

I think it will continue to fascinate all of us forever

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1 hour ago, Royce said:

I think it's interesting how an animated film that is heavily based on Scandinavian folklore and is set in Medieval Europe is resonating so much across different cultures in Nigeria, India, Taiwan, etc.

 

Tbh it just speaks volumes on the timeless and universal appeal of magic

I think it will continue to fascinate all of us forever

Out of package (based on Scandinavian folklore and set in Medieval Europe) it's basically about strong family relationships that helping to solve strong problems, made in a simple way but with wonderful characters and catchy music. This, I think, can be well welcomed in all cultures and at all latitudes.

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14 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

So we're no longer getting markets breakdown for Frozen 2, great...

This is the info from Deadline:

 

Overall, the drop this session was 42% while China increased by 41% in a slow weekend ahead of Chinese New Year. Spain was off by just 25%, Germany down 29%, France 35% and Japan 44% but still No. 2. China leads all markets at $121.9M, followed by Japan ($114.4M), Korea ($97.1M), UK ($67.3M) and Germany ($58M).

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