Frozen II 971m OS 1.44B WW

[catlover]

9 hours ago, CaptainJackSparrow said:

Awe, how come a decline in Japan? 

Well the first one hit ¥25B or around $250m, 3rd biggest of all time. It's a very rare phenomenon. It reached that number with super crazy legs. In fact, no movie will ever reach that height without those kind of legs. So to exceed the first movie, it needs to perform the same, legs-wise, which is almost impossible. But who knows. Never say never.

Edited November 15, 2019 by catlover

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen II 6 Days Out

 

Midnight: ¥0.16mn

Opening Day: ¥2.3mn (31.75k shows)

Saturday: ¥1.25mn (15.5k shows)

Sunday: ¥1.05mn (13k shows)

 

Total: ¥4.75mn

 

Very strong start to pre-sales, biggest for an animation film, pointing toward, it's little early to say, but ¥400mn plus weekend. Let's wait for few days though.

Comps

 

 

 

 

Spoiler

Time	Frozen II		Ralph Breaks The Internet		Despicable Me 3
	Gross	Change	Gross	Change	Gross	Change
11 Days Out					¥0.13
10 Days Out					¥0.26	¥0.13
9 Days Out					¥0.48	¥0.23
8 Days Out					¥0.95	¥0.47
7 Days Out	¥0.64		¥0.11		¥1.48	¥0.53
6 Days Out	¥2.25	¥1.61	¥0.44	¥0.33	¥2.20	¥0.72
5 Days Out	¥3.33	¥1.08	¥0.66	¥0.22	¥3.06	¥0.86
4 Days Out	¥4.29	¥0.96	¥0.86	¥0.20	¥4.09	¥1.03
3 Days Out	¥6.67	¥2.38	¥1.35	¥0.49	¥6.05	¥1.96
2 Days Out	¥11.47	¥4.80	¥2.34	¥0.99	¥9.34	¥3.29
1 Day Out	¥19.39	¥7.92	¥3.97	¥1.63	¥16.17	¥6.83
Final	¥37.99	¥18.59	¥7.79	¥3.83	¥36.48	¥20.31
Opening Day	¥132.95		¥28.62		¥137.80
PSm	3.50		3.67		3.78

 

 

Edited November 15, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[PKMLover]

23 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

 

Really happy to hear this.

¥400M = $55M+ 

The first one only made $49M lifetime in China. 

[Legion Again]

Like a couple more days to actually see a trend, but that’s solid.   
 

meanwhile in SK looks headed for about 315k for D-05, continuing to pace a bit above AoU and about 70% IW. Forget comparing to animations,will comfortably blow away PS of every HW movie but Avengers 2,3,4. Of course given performance of first there it can8t be considered that surprising.

[peludo]

Spain

 

Presales for OW in the biggest theater of the country are on par to TLK at the same point.

 

For the record, TLK opened to €8m ($8.8m) 4-day opening.

[edroger3]

Gavin‏ @gavinfeng97 5 h5 ore fa

Altro

Early tracking suggests Frozen 2 is looking to make $50-55M on opening weekend in China. It's close to The Lion King in advance ticket sale at the same point. #Frozen2

[Fullbuster]

I'm so eager to see its box office you guys 😊

 

 

[Jamiem]

Still 11 days til it releases here in NZ but so far it’s sold 216 tickets at my local theatre for opening day (ahead of the 3 days before release totals of Joker (160) and Hobbs and Shaw (139) but still a ways off TLK (926) hopefully it continues to ramp up. Tomorrow I’ll probably post a full look at how it’s doing 10 days out versus other movies 3 days/12 hours give percentages and opening weekend outlooks and whatnot but so far here it’s doing great just not on TLK level like some other places around the world at least not yet. 

[THUNDER BIRD]

I guess Frozen 2 >> TLK BO thread want so crazy afterall. 

 

But then it'll take F2 all it's might to reach there (or atleast some of it) and TLK did that much by having negativity all around, so evens it out i guess. 

[charlie Jatinder]

I would say 400mn Global weekend. Had it released in Australia, Russia, Italy and Brazil, might have tried 450mn.

[john2000]

1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said:

I would say 400mn Global weekend. Had it released in Australia, Russia, Italy and Brazil, might have tried 450mn.

final total 1,5 ?

[charlie Jatinder]

 

1 minute ago, john2000 said:

final total 1,5 ?

Yeah, I won't go for over TLK yet but can see that happen.

[PKMLover]

4 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

I would say 400mn Global weekend. Had it released in Australia, Russia, Italy and Brazil, might have tried 450mn.

Anything above $1.5B for the final total of this movie is already a big win!!!!

[Jamiem]

Albany Event Cinemas -Frozen II opening day (Thur 28/11/2019)10 days from release vs 3 days/12 hours to release of other films. 

 

10:00am 14/216

11:00am 14/216

12:25pm 11/216

1:25pm 9/216

2:50pm 10/216

3:50pm 33/216

5:15pm 42/216

6:00pm GC 20/30

6:15pm 51/216

7:40pm 14/216

8:00pm GC 4/40

8:40pm 9/216

 

Total 231/2230 (10.36%)

 

Very solid early numbers and it still has a week and a half of sales left, hopefully it starts getting close to TLK numbers soon although obviously will need more showtimes for that (which I imagine will happen soon). At the very least this should be at least a $2m NZD opening weekend but I expect that to move higher closer to release. 

 

Compared to 3 days/12 hours before release of other films. 

 

TLK 

 

Compared 3 days before 926/5338 (17.34%) = $1.27m

Compared 12 hours before 1831/5554(32.96%) = $644,681

 

Hobbs and Shaw

 

Compared 3 Days Before 139/1456 (9.54%) = $2.66m

Compared 12 Hours Before 361/3560 (10.14%) = $1.02m

 

Joker

 

3 Days Before 160/1536 (10.41%) = $1.83m

12 Hours Before 446/2756 (16.18%) = $657,780

Edited November 17, 2019 by Jamiem

[cannastop]

My intuition is telling me that Frozen II will decline from the original outside of USA+Canada.

[peludo]

22 minutes ago, cannastop said:

My intuition is telling me that Frozen II will decline from the original outside of USA+Canada.

Exchange rates and Japan are the main problem to repeat what first part did, because, for example, my bet is that it will double in euros what first part did in Spain. But that result would "only" mean a 59% increase in dollars.

[cannastop]

19 minutes ago, peludo said:

Exchange rates and Japan are the main problem to repeat what first part did, because, for example, my bet is that it will double in euros what first part did in Spain. But that result would "only" mean a 59% increase in dollars.

Not to mention that it probably can't reach the same heights in South Korea either.

[Legion Again]

19 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Not to mention that it probably can't reach the same heights in South Korea either.

I expect it to surpass the original in SK (admits). Between local inflation and ERs, I think USD ATP should be pretty close. Not that a small fall would be bad, but I don’t really see a way to dropping even 20% with these kind of PS numbers. 

Edited November 17, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[cannastop]

1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:

I expect it to surpass the original in SK (admits). Between local inflation and ERs, I think USD ATP should be pretty close. Not that a small fall would be bad, but I don’t really see a way to dropping even 20% with these kind of PS numbers. 

Of course that could be frontloading, right?

[lor15]

I wasn't hoping for big numbers here in Uruguay because of the horrible release date, december 5th, but presales are starting tomorrow and that's only for blockbusters here. The power of Frozen brand is big