edroger3 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 2 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: Crossed $600mn. Will be around $675mn Aby Sunday. So Billion by Saturday? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, edroger3 said: So Billion by Saturday? 1040-1050 by sunday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 14 minutes ago, edroger3 said: So Billion by Saturday? Yes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 (edited) Are 450M+ in USA still possible? I really think it will hit be really hard by jumanji/star wars/spies in disguise Edited December 12, 2019 by Mau Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VanillaSkies Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, Mau said: Is 450M+ in USA still possible? Absolutely. While it's difficult to predict exactly how the two week Christmas period will go, Frozen 2 will get a nice boost from it. This is how the original Frozen performed over Christmas weekends; Dec 13-15 / 22.5 million Dec 20-22 / 19.6 million Dec 27-29 / 28.5 million Jan 3-5 / 19.5 million Now, nobody expects the same bumps for Frozen 2 because so much of the audience has already seen it. However, we can except some great holds during that timeframe, and the weekdays will be very strong as well. Considering the total will be 365m+ after this weekend, it's more likely than not to cross 450 million. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 (edited) Country F1 M$ F2 M$ F2 vs F1 India 0,60 6,66 1110,00% Taiwan 1,50 8,62 574,67% Philippines 2,69 14,31 531,85% Indonesia 2,77 13,16 475,09% Thailand 1,45 5,78 398,62% Vietnam 0,88 2,95 335,23% Malaysia 3,62 7,98 220,52% China 48,24 104,40 216,42% HK 2,58 5,53 214,36% Czech Rep. 1,56 3,15 201,92% EAU 3,14 4,70 149,60% Croatia 0,50 0,68 136,00% Singapore 3,84 4,62 120,27% Poland 7,35 8,81 119,85% Ukraine 2,87 3,28 114,44% Serbia & M. 0,42 0,47 111,90% Romania 2,00 2,01 100,50% South Korea 76,70 75,05 97,85% Slovenia 0,45 0,44 97,78% Switzerland 4,28 4,13 96,50% Slovakia 1,21 1,16 95,87% Iceland 0,35 0,33 94,29% Hungary 2,05 1,82 88,82% Usa+Can 400,74 338,12 84,37% Mexico 25,73 21,19 82,35% UK 57,92 43,53 75,16% Austria 5,29 3,86 72,97% Turkey 4,73 3,43 72,48% Germany 48,29 34,86 72,19% Russia 33,44 23,31 69,72% France 46,94 31,88 67,91% Spain 22,49 14,59 64,87% Bulgaria 1,40 0,89 63,57% Belgium 7,93 4,94 62,33% Colombia 6,27 3,88 61,90% Portugal 3,01 1,82 60,49% Italy 26,42 14,70 55,64% Netherl. 10,51 5,37 51,11% Greece 2,18 1,09 50,03% Australia 26,70 11,81 44,23% NewZel 4,43 1,89 42,67% SAFR 2,66 0,89 33,46% Chile 5,23 1,50 28,66% Japan 249,04 55,27 22,19% Egypt 0,70 0,01 1,43% Israel 2,34 0,01 0,43% Ecuador 2,48 0,01 0,40% Peru 3,41 0,01 0,29% Red: F2 over F1 in admissions/local currency 0,01: No have data Edited December 12, 2019 by edroger3 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moses Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 38 minutes ago, edroger3 said: Country F1 M$ F2 M$ F2 vs F1 India 0,60 6,66 1110,00% Taiwan 1,50 8,62 574,67% Philippines 2,69 14,31 531,85% Indonesia 2,77 13,16 475,09% Thailand 1,45 5,78 398,62% Vietnam 0,88 2,95 335,23% Malaysia 3,62 7,98 220,52% China 48,24 104,40 216,42% HK 2,58 5,53 214,36% Czech Rep. 1,56 3,15 201,92% EAU 3,14 4,70 149,60% Croatia 0,50 0,68 136,00% Singapore 3,84 4,62 120,27% Poland 7,35 8,81 119,85% Ukraine 2,87 3,28 114,44% Serbia & M. 0,42 0,47 111,90% Romania 2,00 2,01 100,50% South Korea 76,70 75,05 97,85% Slovenia 0,45 0,44 97,78% Switzerland 4,28 4,13 96,50% Slovakia 1,21 1,16 95,87% Iceland 0,35 0,33 94,29% Hungary 2,05 1,82 88,82% Usa+Can 400,74 338,12 84,37% Mexico 25,73 21,19 82,35% UK 57,92 43,53 75,16% Austria 5,29 3,86 72,97% Turkey 4,73 3,43 72,48% Germany 48,29 34,86 72,19% Russia 33,44 23,31 69,72% France 46,94 31,88 67,91% Spain 22,49 14,59 64,87% Bulgaria 1,40 0,89 63,57% Belgium 7,93 4,94 62,33% Colombia 6,27 3,88 61,90% Portugal 3,01 1,82 60,49% Italy 26,42 14,70 55,64% Netherl. 10,51 5,37 51,11% Greece 2,18 1,09 50,03% Australia 26,70 11,81 44,23% NewZel 4,43 1,89 42,67% SAFR 2,66 0,89 33,46% Chile 5,23 1,50 28,66% Japan 249,04 55,27 22,19% Egypt 0,70 0,01 1,43% Israel 2,34 0,01 0,43% Ecuador 2,48 0,01 0,40% Peru 3,41 0,01 0,29% Red: F2 over F1 in admissions/local currency 0,01: No have data Egypt at 400 thousands dollars till now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 Also is there any chance to get frozen: sing along (Worldwide) and could that help its late legs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claudio Posted December 12, 2019 Share Posted December 12, 2019 40 minutes ago, Mau said: Also is there any chance to get frozen: sing along (Worldwide) and could that help its late legs? I don’t know about other countries but The sing along version will be released today on Friday at Indonesia. Not like it will add much to its gross tho.. I also remember that @titanic2187 said the version will be released in his country too. Maybe a good sign that it will be released in many markets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 5 hours ago, Claudio said: I don’t know about other countries but The sing along version will be released today on Friday at Indonesia. Not like it will add much to its gross tho.. I also remember that @titanic2187 said the version will be released in his country too. Maybe a good sign that it will be released in many markets. Starting this weekend. In both dubbed & english version Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 53 minutes ago, titanic2187 said: Starting this weekend. In both dubbed & english version Good! Where are you from? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Hello, here is my final projections for frozen 2 box office after some analyses : NA : $460M-$490M Austria : $6M-$8M Argentina : $7M-$12M Belgium : $6M-$9M Bolivia : $1M-$2M Bulgaria : $1M-$2M Brazil : $25M-$35M Croatia : $1M Chile : $3M-$4M Czech Republic : $2M-$4M Colombia : $4.5M-$5.5M Denmark : $6M-$9M Mexico : $23M-$28M Egypt : $0.5M-$1.5M Paraguay : $0.5M Finland : $3.5M-$4M Uruguay : $0.5M-$1M France : $55M-$65M Venezuela : $0.5M-$1M Germany : $55M-$65M Total Latin America : $66M - $89M Greece : $2M-$3M Hungary : $2.5M-$3.5M Hong Kong : $6.5M-$7.5M Iceland : $0.5M India : $8M-$8.5M Italy : $20M-$23M Indonesia : $14M-$14.5M Lithuania : $0.5M-$1M Japan : $150M-$180M Netherlands : $8M-$10M Malaysia : $8.5M-$9M Norway : $6M-$8M Philippines :$15.5M-$16M Poland : $13M-$16M Russia/CIS : $32M-$38M Portugal : $3M-$3.5M Singapore : $5M-$6M Romania : $2.5M-$3M South Korea : $95M-$105M Serbia : $0.5M-$1M Taiwan : $10M-$12M Slovakia : $1M-$1.5M Thailand : $6M-$6.5M Slovenia : $0.5M Vietnam : $3.5M-$4M Spain : $21M-$26M Total Asia : $354M - $407M Sweden : $7M-$11M Switzerland : $5.5M-$6.5M Australia : $20M-$25M Turkey : $4M-$4.5M New Zealand : $3M-$4M Ukraine : $4M-$4.5M Total Oceania : $23M-$29M United Kingdom : $65M-$70M Total Europe : $303M-$366M China : $110M-$120M Nigeria : $0.5M Middle East : $6M-$8M South Africa : $3.5-4.5M Total Africa : $4M-$5M Other countries : $30M-$60M Total : $1356M (min range) - $1574M (max. range) = $1465M (med. range) Please tel me your predictions or why for some countries I'm wrong for example, all of your analyses is good to complete this one 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Incarnadine Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 The low end for China is probably too low now that the extension has been announced (it's at $106m right now) and it will play until Jan. 20. Maybe $117m-$126m? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LPLC Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 13 minutes ago, Incarnadine said: The low end for China is probably too low now that the extension has been announced (it's at $106m right now) and it will play until Jan. 20. Maybe $117m-$126m? Yes maybe but this extension will give a really little boost because frozen 2 will loose a lot of screens so maybe $5M-$10M more, so maybe $120M maximum is a good prediction 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 33 minutes ago, Incarnadine said: The low end for China is probably too low now that the extension has been announced (it's at $106m right now) and it will play until Jan. 20. Maybe $117m-$126m? Extension will be worth very little. Probably <$5M. 112-120 or so looks right to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 @LPLC Concerning Spain I am expecting €25m, what today means $28m. The low end of your 21-26 is very low. I would say 25-30 million dollars. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 @LPLC The low end for belgium is way to low atm (not that it maters in the bigger picture). F2 is at $4.9m after it 3rd weekend (doing 950k in the last week), F1 was at $2.8m with a 850k 3rd week). Frozen went on to make $7.95m in the end. So for frozen 2 to only make $6m the whole country should go in a shutdown. The lowest I can see it doing is 450k this week, than 900k during chrismas and 650k during NY and another 500k after that. So the absolute lowest is probably $7.4m. Likely range is close to $9.5m giver or take a $1m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I approve the SK range, unless it holds like a champ over holidays. DOM floor is way too high though. Maybe 430. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: I approve the SK range, unless it holds like a champ over holidays. DOM floor is way too high though. Maybe 430. 430 seems very low. Even Catching Fire added 4.9x it's 4th weekend, and F2 has been consistently having better drops than that film. TROS opening will hurt a bit but F2 should also have a pretty good bump from the Christmas period. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 4 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: I approve the SK range, unless it holds like a champ over holidays. DOM floor is way too high though. Maybe 430. Isn't the SK range a bit to high? The ATP atm is 7.01 USD so to get $105m it should do 15m admission and that seems a bit crazy to me. With current ATP the admission range would be 13.55m to 15m. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
