Tuesday Numbers: (11/5/19)

[reddevil19]

2 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Again, the huge family film numbers are due to election day yesterday. Today's will be akin to a 2nd monday with drops in the 60% range if not higher. 

Yeah. Expect Joker will have one of the lowest, in the 40% range, but we'll see some massive declines for the family films.

[Curtis1986]

9 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Nice. Hoping for an 8 to 10 million 4 day weekend

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Legion Again]

16 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Again, the huge family film numbers are due to election day yesterday. Today's will be akin to a 2nd monday with drops in the 60% range if not higher.

This must be it, but I still don't really see the connection. Do some people get work/school off on election days?

[Napoleon]

Dark Fate already showing signs of stronger legs than people expected. This is a good movie that audiences are loving, I believe word of mouth will carry it to an over $100 million finish. Hoping for much more than that, though.

[keysersoze123]

1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

This must be it, but I still don't really see the connection. Do some people get work/school off on election days?

There was definitely significant impact based on what I saw at AMC. Mal 2 sold 247% more tickets while last week was around 180%. Joker just about doubled last tuesday while this week it sold 143% more. May be people vote and then go to movies plus leverage the discount tickets

[Barnack]

22 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Dark Fate already showing signs of stronger legs than people expected. This is a good movie that audiences are loving, I believe word of mouth will carry it to an over $100 million finish. Hoping for much more than that, though.

 

Is a -31.5% Sunday and -72.5% Monday any special ?

 

If you are referring to tuesday performance, I feel like they are quite misleading and very strong boost on that day are not in recent time a good sign at all, it show more the movie being considered by audience not worth paying full price more than good legs incoming, specially non family affair.

Edited November 6, 2019 by Barnack

[keysersoze123]

6 minutes ago, Napoleon said:

Dark Fate already showing signs of stronger legs than people expected. This is a good movie that audiences are loving, I believe word of mouth will carry it to an over $100 million finish. Hoping for much more than that, though.

I would wait for Wednesday number before saying that.

[Inceptionzq]

22 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

This must be it, but I still don't really see the connection. Do some people get work/school off on election days?

I think it’s because some schools that serve as polling locations choose to have the day off so it’s not too crazy. Then a lot of parents probably take the day off along with their kids

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[narniadis]

30 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

I think it’s because some schools that serve as polling locations choose to have the day off so it’s not too crazy. Then a lot of parents probably take the day off along with their kids

@Thanos Legion this, many districts especially in cities serve as voting centers and as craziness and security concerns have increased more schools have opted to close on voting days versus having the mix of outsiders and students. 

It didnt use to be this way say 15 years ago, but it has steadily increased this decade in particular. 

[a2k]

1	(1)	Terminator: Dark Fate	Paramount …	$3,429,579	+66%		4,086	$839	$34,526,475	5
-	(3)	Harriet	Focus Feat…	$1,770,050	+84%		2,059	$860	$14,409,360	5
-	(2)	Joker	Warner Bros.	$1,751,588	+51%	-29%	3,519	$498	$302,098,478	33
-	(4)	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	Walt Disney	$1,740,411	+106%	-20%	3,820	$456	$87,824,522	19
-	(7)	The Addams Family	United Art…	$1,048,867	+141%	-5%	3,607	$291	$86,575,960	26
-	(5)	Zombieland: Double Tap	Sony Pictures	$1,035,000	+54%	-33%	3,337	$310	$61,087,268	19
-	(8)	Countdown	STX Entert…	$713,017	+70%	-23%	2,675	$267	$18,815,652	12
-	(9)	Black and Blue	Sony Pictures	$655,000	+81%	-46%	2,062	$318	$16,547,496	12
-	(10)	Motherless Brooklyn	Warner Bros.	$600,096	+76%		1,342	$447	$4,442,315	5

 

seriously...+141% for Addams Family

Like @narniadis pointed out, election day gave some boost. These bumps are great all around.

Edited November 6, 2019 by a2k

[sfran43]

 

[keysersoze123]

What is crazy is elections happened in Virginia, Kentucky and Mississippi. Virginia should have some impact being close to DC. But Kentucky and Mississippi !!!!

[sfran43]

Film	Distributor	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, November 10	% Change from Last Wknd
Doctor Sleep	Warner Bros.	$25,000,000	$25,000,000	NEW
Last Christmas	Universal	$16,500,000	$16,500,000	NEW
Terminator: Dark Fate	Paramount	$13,000,000	$50,400,000	-55%
Midway	Lionsgate	$11,400,000	$11,400,000	NEW
Joker	Warner Bros.	$8,300,000	$312,400,000	-39%
Playing with Fire	Paramount	$8,000,000	$8,000,000	NEW
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	Disney	$7,800,000	$96,700,000	-40%
Harriet	Focus Features	$7,300,000	$23,000,000	-37%
The Addams Family (2019)	United Artists Releasing	$5,000,000	$92,000,000	-40%
Zombieland 2: Double Tap	Sony / Columbia	$4,200,000	$66,400,000	-43%

[narniadis]

I dont quite get the expectations for Joker, Mal2 and Addams. Especially with a holiday on Monday to mitigate Sunday a little bit. Showings getting cut I get and understand but those holds are worse than I would personally expect, especially for Joker. 

Edited November 7, 2019 by narniadis

[kitik]

Count me as another who waited for Tuesday to see Terminator.

 

Good movie, we both enjoyed it, but nothing great. Sadly it didn't really bring anything really new to the franchise. 

 

1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

What is crazy is elections happened in Virginia, Kentucky and Mississippi. Virginia should have some impact being close to DC. But Kentucky and Mississippi !!!!

 

Elections were all over the country. Here in Ohio it was mostly city councilmen and school levies and stuff like that. Not national news, but some of it (especially some of the school funding votes) is legit important.

[Legion Again]

8 minutes ago, narniadis said:

holds are higher than I would personally expect

Do you mean the same thing by this as "drops are higher than I would personally expect?"    

 

To me a higher hold sounds like e.g. 80% hold (-20%) vs a 65% hold (-35%). Whereas a higher drop sounds like a smaller weekend.    

 

I think Joker, Mal, TAF, Harriet will all beat those BOP numbers but Doctor Sleep and Last Christmas will go under.