Weekend Thread: FvF vroooms past 30M+; Say Goodnight Angels with 8M for CA; Waves washes up 37k+ PTA

[babz06]

15 minutes ago, Eric Plus said:

If FvF follows Ad Astra, it gets to 26M. If it follows Hustlers, it gets to almost 28M. However, it could still get to 30M, since it seems to have better WOM than Astra and Hustlers this far out (99% on RT's Aud Verified!!!).

I’m not sure why this myth is still being pushed that Hustlers had bad WOM. 

[Valonqar]

Looks like Girls Night Out opted for FvF. 

[Jonwo]

There's a outside chance that The Good Liar outgrosses CA's OW

[Maxmoser3]

Ford Vs Ferrari needs holding power it’s budget is almost $100 million. If not I feel we are going to be back into the box office slate of 1997. 

[filmlover]

11 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

There's a outside chance that The Good Liar outgrosses CA's OW

Probably not, it's selling poorly around here also. I'm guessing it'll land in that $5M tracking range.

[TwoMisfits]

19 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

There's a outside chance that The Good Liar outgrosses CA's OW

I was thinking the same thing...could be a nail biter decided by having the better ticket deal:)...

 

Edit: Although looking at my area theaters...ummm...I'm wondering how low both can go right now:)...

Edited November 15, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Krissykins]

34 minutes ago, babz06 said:

I’m not sure why this myth is still being pushed that Hustlers had bad WOM. 

Yeh I think it’s multiplier proved it was a hit with most audiences. One of my favourites of the year btw. 
 

Regarding FVF, I was always expecting $30m OW along with BOP long range forecast. The $20m tracking surprised me. Looks like it could get close to 30 though. 

[Jonwo]

3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

I was thinking the same thing...could be a nail biter decided by having the better ticket deal:)...

 

Edit: Although looking at my area theaters...ummm...I'm wondering how low both can go right now:)...

I would say it'll play better on a weekday than the weekend, happened with the UK opening which was at number 4 for the weekend but has been number 1 for the majority of the weekday apart from one day. 

 

Can't imagine it was that expensive to make, probably will have a long life with HBO Max and TV

 

 

[a2k]

Quote

 Pic received low exits last night from the few who turned out, with 3 stars, 46% definite recommend and a 69% positive.

CA reception doesn't seem so hot so far

 

Starts off a 84% RT Audience

 

btw FVF is 99%

[Legion Again]

4 minutes ago, a2k said:

CA reception doesn't seem so hot so far

 

Starts off a 84% RT Audience

 

btw FVF is 99%

Oof. Bad reception in China too, and critic RT has turned rotten. I expect to enjoy this as a light popcorn action comedy, but could be looking at maybe just 40M or something DOM+China...

[a2k]

CA guess

0.9

3.5 (4.4 od)

4.5 (+29%)

3.1 (-31%)

= 12.0

[Eric Duncan]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-1917-just-mercy-like-a-boss-my-spy-and-underwater/

 

8-Week Tracking & Forecasts

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Range	% Chg from Last Week	Estimated Location Count	Distributor
11/22/2019	21 Bridges	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$9,000,000	-10%	$25,000,000 – $38,000,000	-10%	2,700*	STX
11/22/2019	A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	$16,000,000 – $21,000,000	$18,000,000	-5%	$85,000,000 – $115,000,000		3,100*	Sony / Columbia
11/22/2019	Frozen 2	$120,000,000 – $160,000,000	$130,000,000	4%	$420,000,000 – $520,000,000		4,200*	Disney
11/27/2019	Knives Out	$17,000,000 – $22,000,000	$18,000,000		$70,000,000 – $105,000,000		3,300	Lionsgate
11/27/2019	Queen & Slim	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$7,500,000		$23,000,000 – $33,000,000		2,000	Universal
11/29/2019	Dark Waters (Expansion)		n/a				n/a	Focus Features
12/6/2019	PLAYMOBIL: The Movie	$3,000,000 – $8,000,000	$4,500,000		$10,000,000 – $20,000,000			STX
12/13/2019	Black Christmas	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$13,000,000		$28,000,000 – $38,000,000			Universal
12/13/2019	Jumanji: The Next Level	$66,000,000 – $76,000,000	$70,000,000		$250,000,000 – $300,000,000			Sony / Columbia
12/13/2019	Richard Jewell	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$13,000,000		$60,000,000 – $80,000,000			Warner Bros.
12/20/2019	Cats	$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$14,000,000		$60,000,000 – $120,000,000			Universal
12/20/2019	Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	$185,000,000 – $225,000,000	$200,000,000		$550,000,000 – $750,000,000			Disney / Lucasfilm
12/20/2019	Bombshell (Wide Expansion)	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$5,000,000		$30,000,000 – $45,000,000			Lionsgate
12/25/2019	Little Women (2019)	$16,000,000 – $26,000,000	$20,000,000		$80,000,000 – $120,000,000			Sony / Columbia
12/25/2019	Spies in Disguise	$13,000,000 – $23,000,000	$16,000,000		$70,000,000 – $110,000,000			Fox / Blue Sky
12/25/2019	Uncut Gems		n/a					A24
1/3/2020	The Grudge (2020)	$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$14,000,000		$25,000,000 – $45,000,000			Sony / Columbia
1/10/2020	1917 (Wide)	$18,000,000 – $23,000,000	$21,000,000	NEW	$75,000,000 – $100,000,000	NEW		Universal / DreamWorks
1/10/2020	The Informer		n/a					Aviron
1/10/2020	Just Mercy (Wide)	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000	$14,000,000	NEW	$50,000,000 – $70,000,000	NEW		Warner Bros.
1/10/2020	Like a Boss	$15,000,000 – $20,000,000	$17,000,000	NEW	$45,000,000 – $60,000,000	NEW		Paramount
1/10/2020	My Spy	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$7,500,000	NEW	$20,000,000 – $30,000,000	NEW		STX
1/10/2020	Underwater	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$6,500,000	NEW	$12,000,000 – $25,000,000	NEW		Fox

[Legion Again]

Well, today I learned there are 4-6 movies releasing on 1/10 for some godforsaken reason.   
 

Still so stubborn with the F2 OW. Hope they don’t end up right.

[sfran43]

 

[Nova]

Ouch at those Charlie’s Angels number. If those include the girls night out sales then this could miss double digits. Yikes 

[Nova]

The FvF numbers are solid! Let’s hope it can get a strong multiplier and do high 20s or maybe even break 30M 

[filmlover]

30 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Well, today I learned there are 4-6 movies releasing on 1/10 for some godforsaken reason.   

Pretty sure they put Just Mercy in a week early accidentally because it's supposed to open wide on January 17 last I checked. But most of the January 10 releases are dumps anyway (KStew coming for back-to-back studio flops).

[Eric Duncan]

39 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Pretty sure they put Just Mercy in a week early accidentally because it's supposed to open wide on January 17 last I checked. But most of the January 10 releases are dumps anyway (KStew coming for back-to-back studio flops).

The-Numbers has JM listed to expand on the 10th. They might have changed it last-minute

[filmlover]

2 minutes ago, Eric Plus said:

The-Numbers has JM listed to expand on the 10th. They might have changed it last-minute

I guess that makes sense since the Golden Globes are the weekend before and Oscar nominations will be announced on the 13th.

[Boxofficerules]

Another shitty weekend incoming, at least Joker hit $1 billion.