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charlie Jatinder

Tuesday 11/19

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6 hours ago, narniadis said:

Its major demographic comes out during the week, particularly on cheap Tuesday in the US. It wont increase well over the weekend though which balances it out. 

I imagine it'll have a good drop, the UK second weekend was 36.4% but I can't imagine it'll drop that well with Frozen 2 this weekend, 50-55% is more likely.

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1 minute ago, Jonwo said:

I imagine it'll have a good drop, the UK second weekend was 36.4% but I can't imagine it'll drop that well with Frozen 2 this weekend, 50-55% is more likely.

Correct, hence my comment. With the word of mouth here in the states and the B cinemascore its not going to leg well overall, but its main demo decisively comes out during the week. Its Friday increase will be around 100% which is how the correlation to balancing comes into effect.

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    Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per
Thr
Total
Gross
D
1 (1) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $3,721,314 +58%   3,528 $1,055 $37,556,493 5
2 (2) Midway Lionsgate $1,209,393 +53% -50% 3,242 $373 $36,894,151 12
3 (3) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $1,014,761 +73%   2,439 $416 $7,206,384 5
4 (4) Charlie’s Angels Sony Pictures $950,513 +78%   3,452 $275 $9,836,849 5
5 (6) Last Christmas Universal $920,015 +97% -32% 3,454 $266 $23,756,280 12
6 (5) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $749,842 +56% -49% 3,855 $195 $26,097,038 12
7 (8) Harriet Focus Features $724,560 +80% -27% 2,011 $360 $32,820,310 19
8 (10) Playing with Fire Paramount Pi… $717,041 +118% -28% 3,125 $229 $26,326,079 12
9 (7) Joker Warner Bros. $609,986 +43% -33% 2,337 $261 $323,339,641 47
10 (9) Terminator: Dark Fate Paramount Pi… $564,194 +67% -52% 2,477 $228 $57,737,814 19
11 (11) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $481,793 +78% -34% 2,549 $189 $106,446,339 33
12 (12) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $336,648 +47% -21% 995 $338 $14,105,755 33
13 (13) Zombieland: Double Tap Sony Pictures $245,285 +49% -49% 1,407 $174 $70,725,936 33
- (-) Black and Blue Sony Pictures $124,996 +66% -45% 558 $224 $20,953,915 26
- (-) The Addams Family United Artists $123,479 +57% -53% 1,835 $67 $94,897,843 40
- (-) Countdown STX Entertai… $106,563 +70% -53% 946 $113 $24,500,645 26
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10 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

What's the best one can hope for in regards to FVF for next weekend? Maybe 17m?

Martian might be a good comp.

 

Went up 182% from it's first Thursday to second Friday.  If you use a $2.3M Thursday multiplied by 2.8x, FvF would have a $6.44M Friday.  Use the same weekend multiplier for Martian at 3.45x off Friday and it could go above $22M in its second weekend.

 

Given its competition we might not see that high, but $20M+ is definitely still possible,

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29 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

What's the best one can hope for in regards to FVF for next weekend? Maybe 17m?

-40% Wed and -10% Thu gives 2m on Thu.

+125%, +55%, -35% FSS gives 4.5 + 7 + 4.5 = 16 (-49%)

That looks conservative though, your 17m (+140%, +55%, -35%) or maybe higher teens seems accurate optimistically.

Edited by a2k
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1 hour ago, a2k said:

-40% Wed and -10% Thu gives 2m on Thu.

+125%, +55%, -35% FSS gives 4.5 + 7 + 4.5 = 16 (-49%)

That looks conservative though, your 17m (+140%, +55%, -35%) or maybe higher teens seems accurate optimistically.

Why such a low increase from Thursday on Friday though? Even Ad Astra had a 140% increase.

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46 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:

Why such a low increase from Thursday on Friday though? Even Ad Astra had a 140% increase.

For the very reasons he gave? It was a conservative amount, the 2nd number he gave is +140%. 

This fall has had adult skews all over the place so conservative expectations is always better. 

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2 hours ago, DAJK said:

Unless Midway somehow gets annihilated this weekend, it's looking to finish with 55M or so, which is pretty solid considering expectations. 

Just got back, it's a pretty solid movie aside from a bit of clunky dialog in places. 

 

I love war movies especially historical ones.

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Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, November 24 % Change from Last Wknd
Frozen II Disney $130,000,000 $130,000,000 NEW
Ford v Ferrari Fox $16,900,000 $58,800,000 -46%
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood Sony / Columbia $16,000,000 $16,000,000 NEW
21 Bridges STX $8,400,000 $8,400,000 NEW
Midway Lionsgate $5,600,000 $44,000,000 -34%
Playing with Fire Paramount $4,900,000 $31,600,000 -41%
Last Christmas Universal $3,700,000 $28,200,000 -43%
Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $3,400,000 $30,300,000 -43%
Joker Warner Bros. $3,400,000 $327,600,000 -36%
The Good Liar Warner Bros. $3,200,000 $11,200,000 -43%
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41 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

17 would be great mind you. Just knowing what to shoot for. I will hope for 16+, be thrilled with 17+

Yeah I guess I also have to keep in mind that it's losing IMAX and Dolby screenings to Frozen 2 so that'll hurt it a little bit

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Film (Distributor) Weekend
Gross
Total
Gross
%
Change
Week
#
1 Frozen II
(Disney)
$136.0 M $136.0 M NEW 1
2 Ford v Ferrari
(Disney / Fox)
$17.5 M $59.7 M -44% 2
3 A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
(Sony / TriStar)
$17.0 M $17.0 M NEW 1
4 21 Bridges
(STXfilms)
$13.0 M $13.0 M NEW 1
5 Playing with Fire
(Paramount)
$4.7 M $31.8 M -44% 3
6 Charlie's Angels
(Sony / Columbia)
$3.9 M $14.6 M -53% 2
7 Midway
(Lionsgate)
$3.8 M $42.1 M -55% 3
8 The Good Liar
(Warner / New Line)
$3.1 M $11.4 M -45% 2
9 Last Christmas
(Universal)
$3.0 M $27.7 M -54% 3
10 Joker
(Warner Bros.)
$2.6 M $326.7 M -51% 8
11 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
(Disney)
$2.5 M $109.5 M -49% 6
12 Harriet
(Focus)
$2.4 M $36.1 M -48% 4
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