sfran43 Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonwo Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 6 hours ago, narniadis said: Its major demographic comes out during the week, particularly on cheap Tuesday in the US. It wont increase well over the weekend though which balances it out. I imagine it'll have a good drop, the UK second weekend was 36.4% but I can't imagine it'll drop that well with Frozen 2 this weekend, 50-55% is more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Jonwo said: I imagine it'll have a good drop, the UK second weekend was 36.4% but I can't imagine it'll drop that well with Frozen 2 this weekend, 50-55% is more likely. Correct, hence my comment. With the word of mouth here in the states and the B cinemascore its not going to leg well overall, but its main demo decisively comes out during the week. Its Friday increase will be around 100% which is how the correlation to balancing comes into effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Unless Midway somehow gets annihilated this weekend, it's looking to finish with 55M or so, which is pretty solid considering expectations. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 (edited) What's the best one can hope for in regards to FVF for next weekend? Maybe 17m? Edited November 20, 2019 by cdsacken 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per Thr Total Gross D 1 (1) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $3,721,314 +58% 3,528 $1,055 $37,556,493 5 2 (2) Midway Lionsgate $1,209,393 +53% -50% 3,242 $373 $36,894,151 12 3 (3) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $1,014,761 +73% 2,439 $416 $7,206,384 5 4 (4) Charlie’s Angels Sony Pictures $950,513 +78% 3,452 $275 $9,836,849 5 5 (6) Last Christmas Universal $920,015 +97% -32% 3,454 $266 $23,756,280 12 6 (5) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $749,842 +56% -49% 3,855 $195 $26,097,038 12 7 (8) Harriet Focus Features $724,560 +80% -27% 2,011 $360 $32,820,310 19 8 (10) Playing with Fire Paramount Pi… $717,041 +118% -28% 3,125 $229 $26,326,079 12 9 (7) Joker Warner Bros. $609,986 +43% -33% 2,337 $261 $323,339,641 47 10 (9) Terminator: Dark Fate Paramount Pi… $564,194 +67% -52% 2,477 $228 $57,737,814 19 11 (11) Maleficent: Mistress of Evil Walt Disney $481,793 +78% -34% 2,549 $189 $106,446,339 33 12 (12) Jojo Rabbit Fox Searchlight $336,648 +47% -21% 995 $338 $14,105,755 33 13 (13) Zombieland: Double Tap Sony Pictures $245,285 +49% -49% 1,407 $174 $70,725,936 33 - (-) Black and Blue Sony Pictures $124,996 +66% -45% 558 $224 $20,953,915 26 - (-) The Addams Family United Artists $123,479 +57% -53% 1,835 $67 $94,897,843 40 - (-) Countdown STX Entertai… $106,563 +70% -53% 946 $113 $24,500,645 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lobogotti Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 10 minutes ago, cdsacken said: What's the best one can hope for in regards to FVF for next weekend? Maybe 17m? Martian might be a good comp. Went up 182% from it's first Thursday to second Friday. If you use a $2.3M Thursday multiplied by 2.8x, FvF would have a $6.44M Friday. Use the same weekend multiplier for Martian at 3.45x off Friday and it could go above $22M in its second weekend. Given its competition we might not see that high, but $20M+ is definitely still possible, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 (edited) 29 minutes ago, cdsacken said: What's the best one can hope for in regards to FVF for next weekend? Maybe 17m? -40% Wed and -10% Thu gives 2m on Thu. +125%, +55%, -35% FSS gives 4.5 + 7 + 4.5 = 16 (-49%) That looks conservative though, your 17m (+140%, +55%, -35%) or maybe higher teens seems accurate optimistically. Edited November 20, 2019 by a2k 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 56 minutes ago, cdsacken said: What's the best one can hope for in regards to FVF for next weekend? Maybe 17m? Yeah 17-18 as A2k showed its quite possible. Depends on many things of course but its a good number to aim for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 1 hour ago, a2k said: -40% Wed and -10% Thu gives 2m on Thu. +125%, +55%, -35% FSS gives 4.5 + 7 + 4.5 = 16 (-49%) That looks conservative though, your 17m (+140%, +55%, -35%) or maybe higher teens seems accurate optimistically. Why such a low increase from Thursday on Friday though? Even Ad Astra had a 140% increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 46 minutes ago, Pinacolada said: Why such a low increase from Thursday on Friday though? Even Ad Astra had a 140% increase. For the very reasons he gave? It was a conservative amount, the 2nd number he gave is +140%. This fall has had adult skews all over the place so conservative expectations is always better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyK Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 2 hours ago, DAJK said: Unless Midway somehow gets annihilated this weekend, it's looking to finish with 55M or so, which is pretty solid considering expectations. Just got back, it's a pretty solid movie aside from a bit of clunky dialog in places. I love war movies especially historical ones. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 Film Distributor 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, November 24 % Change from Last Wknd Frozen II Disney $130,000,000 $130,000,000 NEW Ford v Ferrari Fox $16,900,000 $58,800,000 -46% A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood Sony / Columbia $16,000,000 $16,000,000 NEW 21 Bridges STX $8,400,000 $8,400,000 NEW Midway Lionsgate $5,600,000 $44,000,000 -34% Playing with Fire Paramount $4,900,000 $31,600,000 -41% Last Christmas Universal $3,700,000 $28,200,000 -43% Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $3,400,000 $30,300,000 -43% Joker Warner Bros. $3,400,000 $327,600,000 -36% The Good Liar Warner Bros. $3,200,000 $11,200,000 -43% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted November 20, 2019 Share Posted November 20, 2019 17 would be great mind you. Just knowing what to shoot for. I will hope for 16+, be thrilled with 17+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pinacolada Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 41 minutes ago, cdsacken said: 17 would be great mind you. Just knowing what to shoot for. I will hope for 16+, be thrilled with 17+ Yeah I guess I also have to keep in mind that it's losing IMAX and Dolby screenings to Frozen 2 so that'll hurt it a little bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted November 21, 2019 Share Posted November 21, 2019 Film (Distributor) Weekend Gross Total Gross % Change Week # 1 Frozen II (Disney) $136.0 M $136.0 M NEW 1 2 Ford v Ferrari (Disney / Fox) $17.5 M $59.7 M -44% 2 3 A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (Sony / TriStar) $17.0 M $17.0 M NEW 1 4 21 Bridges (STXfilms) $13.0 M $13.0 M NEW 1 5 Playing with Fire (Paramount) $4.7 M $31.8 M -44% 3 6 Charlie's Angels (Sony / Columbia) $3.9 M $14.6 M -53% 2 7 Midway (Lionsgate) $3.8 M $42.1 M -55% 3 8 The Good Liar (Warner / New Line) $3.1 M $11.4 M -45% 2 9 Last Christmas (Universal) $3.0 M $27.7 M -54% 3 10 Joker (Warner Bros.) $2.6 M $326.7 M -51% 8 11 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil (Disney) $2.5 M $109.5 M -49% 6 12 Harriet (Focus) $2.4 M $36.1 M -48% 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...