FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

[Lordmandeep]

Will head to 1 billion overseas?

[DeeCee]

The important thing is that everyone goes and sees Knives Out. It’s very good. 
 

 

[forg]

I was hoping for higher number for A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood and 20M opening weekend but hopefully it will have good legs

[StarWarsMemer]

35 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

Will head to 1 billion overseas?

Easily, maybe $1.25B+

[Valonqar]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

You`re seriously locking 500 mill?

Yes. It has 2 holidays. Frozen did a shitton during Xmas stretch. It's going to leg it out. 

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Yes. It has 2 holidays. Frozen did a shitton during Xmas stretch. It's going to leg it out. 

even 475 or 485 would require it to do shitton during Xmas.

@fmpro probably assumes you must have calculated why 500 is a certainty and not merely a possibility.

 

[fmpro]

4 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Yes. It has 2 holidays. Frozen did a shitton during Xmas stretch. It's going to leg it out. 

Its possible. But locking 500 mill from a frontloaded OD PS multiplier is optimistic IMO 

[Marcos12]

22 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

Easily, maybe $1.25B+

Nope!

[Valonqar]

Agreed it's optimistic but it isn't impossible considering family movies tend to have crazy legs especially later and if F2 approaches 500M close enough Disney will fudge it.

[Valonqar]

2 minutes ago, Marcos12 said:

Nope!

lol. it's going to make over 900M OS. It won't miss 400M dom. That's already 1.3B.

[charlie Jatinder]

If this happens;

42

54

44

14

20

25

18

38

38

24

 

book me for 530-550, but the film could pull a Ralph as I find it very mediocre. It's neither all out kids pleaser, nor music is good enough to keep adults going.

 

In fact I fucking hated the music. 

Edited November 23, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

Agreed it's optimistic but it isn't impossible considering family movies tend to have crazy legs especially later and if F2 approaches 500M close enough Disney will fudge it.

Very possible indeed. Still far from locking it though

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, Valonqar said:

lol. it's going to make over 900M OS. It won't miss 400M dom. That's already 1.3B.

Now its 400 mill 

 

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Very possible indeed. Still far from locking it though

True thought it's locked for 1.3B WW. In worst case scenario, 400M dom + 900M OS = 1.3B So that's the floor. OS number is happening.

 

No, it isn't "now it;s 400M". I'm replying to post that didn't believe in 1.25B by showing how 1.3B is locked even if my 500M dom prediction doesn't come true.

Edited November 23, 2019 by Valonqar

[jedijake]

F2 should not have any problem getting at least a 3.5X. Ralph Breaks the Internet had a 3.59 X(from its first weekend). Moana and Coco had over 4.0X's. TS4 had that "meh" OW and still made a 3.59X. Christmas holidays will see a boost of course and I'd say the minimum multiplier for F2 will be 3.6X.

 

$500 million? I had that pegged until the preview number came in. Now, I'd say that we should shoot for Finding Dory numbers. If Saturday jumps WAY up, then $500 million will still be on the board. $475 million seems to be the floor.

[Marcos12]

4 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

lol. it's going to make over 900M OS. It won't miss 400M dom. That's already 1.3B.

He is saying OS...  no way it's going to make $1250 bi OS.

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

Thank you as always for the numbers Charlie. Interested to see how F2 legs out in the long run

[Valonqar]

15 minutes ago, Marcos12 said:

He is saying OS...  no way it's going to make $1250 bi OS.

Ok my bad. yeah, that  likely won't happen.

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

I'm super happy it isn't touching CF's record. I hope it will last for at least one decade.  

[a2k]

Gonna ease past $100 total in China. Very impressive.