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Eric Karga

FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

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Speaking of wide releases...right now for wide releases through Xmas, I see...

 

Thanksgiving and Nov 29 weekend - 2 (Knives Out and Queen and Slim)

Dec 6 weekend - 1 (Playmobil) - this was a mistake, having no real wide openers, even though this is normally a crappy weekend, but I get it - not wanting to be 2 weeks and then out for Star Wars

Dec 13 weekend - 4 (Jumanji, Richard Jewell, Black Christmas, and Uncut Gems) - plus Bombshell is limited - way too many here, but they figure they are set through New Years opening here, so I get it

Dec 20 weekend - 3 (Star Wars, Cats, and Bombshell) - fascinating that I think this is the 1st time Star Wars doesn't get the clear weekend, but it's obvious why - I'd expect this is gonna be a huge dump of holdovers weekend with how many movies open Dec 13 and Dec 20, and one being named Star Wars

Dec 25 and Dec 27 weekend - 2 (Spies in Disguise and Little Women)

 

Funny enough, without counting limiteds, December has far fewer wide openers than November, even though you have the huge holiday period.,.but Star Wars and Jumanji's past totals can be intimidating:)...

 

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29 minutes ago, Menor said:

The word locked is overused on this site. You can personally have confidence in your prediction without saying "locked", which diminishes the inherently unpredictable nature of the BO.

Agreed. The statement I bolded makes me think of a couple of movies come to mind regarding their unpredictability.

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10 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

Speaking of wide releases...right now for wide releases through Xmas, I see...

 

Thanksgiving and Nov 29 weekend - 2 (Knives Out and Queen and Slim)

Dec 6 weekend - 1 (Playmobil) - this was a mistake, having no real wide openers, even though this is normally a crappy weekend, but I get it - not wanting to be 2 weeks and then out for Star Wars

Dec 13 weekend - 4 (Jumanji, Richard Jewell, Black Christmas, and Uncut Gems) - plus Bombshell is limited - way too many here, but they figure they are set through New Years opening here, so I get it

Dec 20 weekend - 3 (Star Wars, Cats, and Bombshell) - fascinating that I think this is the 1st time Star Wars doesn't get the clear weekend, but it's obvious why - I'd expect this is gonna be a huge dump of holdovers weekend with how many movies open Dec 13 and Dec 20, and one being named Star Wars

Dec 25 and Dec 27 weekend - 2 (Spies in Disguise and Little Women)

 

Funny enough, without counting limiteds, December has far fewer wide openers than November, even though you have the huge holiday period.,.but Star Wars and Jumanji's past totals can be intimidating:)...

 

Uncut Gems is actually opening in limited on December 13 before a bigger expansion on Christmas Day (how many theaters will depend on how it does in limited release). Dark Waters is supposedly going "wide" on the 13th though.

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Just now, filmlover said:

Uncut Gems is actually opening in limited on December 13 before a bigger expansion on Christmas Day (how many theaters will depend on how it does in limited release). Dark Waters is supposedly going "wide" on the 13th though.

I owe you a like:)...thanks for the update to my list...

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By the way at my Frozen showing last night the movie didn't actually start until almost 25 minutes past the start time due to 10 minutes of commercials followed by another 15 minutes of previews (note: I was very disappointed to not get the Cats trailer only to see how a sold out theater made up mostly of other families would've reacted to that...thing). Almost all of the commercials were fittingly for Disney-related products but still, I hope this doesn't become a thing lol.

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21 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Uncut Gems is actually opening in limited on December 13 before a bigger expansion on Christmas Day (how many theaters will depend on how it does in limited release). Dark Waters is supposedly going "wide" on the 13th though.

Dark Waters seems to be going wide on the 6th based on everything I’m seeing

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1 hour ago, Marcos12 said:

He is saying OS...  no way it's going to make $1250 bi OS.

Why not? China, South Korea, and Japan alone are pointing at $400M~450M. It could gross $450M~$500M in Europe, and  $400M from other couhtries. 

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2 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

If this happens;

42

54

44

14

20

25

18

38

38

24

 

book me for 530-550, but the film could pull a Ralph as I find it very mediocre. It's neither all out kids pleaser, nor music is good enough to keep adults going.

 

In fact I fucking hated the music. :gold:

So not a good movie at all?

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3 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

Why not? China, South Korea, and Japan alone are pointing at $400M~450M. It could gross $450M~$500M in Europe, and  $400M from other couhtries. 

Take it this way

China: 150-200M

Korea: 75-100M

Japan: 150-200M

Rest: idk but F1 did 517M, maybe 600-700M

That's 975M-1.20B OS right there, and i think it will lean towards the higher end.

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    Movie Distr Gross %YD %LW Thr Per
Thr
Total
Gross
D
- N 21 Bridges STX Entertai… $3,330,000     2,665 $1,250 $3,330,000 1
- (9) Playing with Fire Paramount Pi… $1,070,000 +235% -44% 2,760 $388 $28,076,647 15
- (3) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $1,030,000 +82% -37% 2,454 $420 $9,420,794 8
- (4) Last Christmas Universal $940,000 +115% -53% 2,411 $390 $25,692,390 15
- (8) Joker Warner Bros. $765,000 +133% -48% 1,410 $543 $324,876,813 50
- (7) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $525,000 +57% -69% 1,476 $356 $27,441,742 15
- (10) Terminator: Dark Fate Paramount Pi… $310,000 +29% -71% 1,022 $303 $58,641,297 22
- (-) Gemini Man Paramount Pi… $17,000 +135% -47% 108 $157 $48,370,438 43
- (-) Arctic Dogs Entertainmen… $15,000 +45% -71% 195 $77 $5,549,927 22
- (-) Immortal Hero Freestyle Re… $345 +721% -41% 5 $69 $41,280 36
Edited by a2k

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5 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

Why not? China, South Korea, and Japan alone are pointing at $400M~450M. It could gross $450M~$500M in Europe, and  $400M from other couhtries. 

Japan-Korea is where it will overperform compared to Lion King, in most other markets the story will be different.

 

" It could gross $450M~$500M in Europe, and  $400M from other couhtries. "

 

Too high for Europe, and $400m OS-China/Japan/Korea/Europe? no way!

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8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Dark Waters seems to be going wide on the 6th based on everything I’m seeing

The movie's website says "Everywhere December 13" but it does seem like it's opening at a lot of locations on the 6th (it's expanding to 90 theaters next weekend according to The Numbers, including to some theaters around my area).

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I feel so sad...
Can anyone tell me whether it is possible for F2 to achieve a OW of 120M+

sad cry GIFsad cry GIF

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1 hour ago, RichWS said:

IRISHMAN DAY HAS ARRIVED.

Ok boomer fan.

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Dark Fate looking at 2.1x multi with 61 finish.

Truly atrocious legs even after the disappointing ow sunk in.

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