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Eric Karga

FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

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Wow, Maleficent got savaged. Was wondering if it would be too cold for a DF boost. Evidently yes. 

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LOL, as always, a family movie is called a disappointment on Friday despite their always bouncing back in the big way on Saturday. But go on, 100M OW off table now. ;)

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UK Cinema full for Frozen yesterday, seemingly looking super popular. Full of families. Would doubt much in the way of drop-off here from the first given how rarely my rather regional cinema is packed and the responses to the film.

 

Cats trailer got a great reception, going to go huuuuuuge here, but that's to be expected given the market.

 

Also say Le Mans/Ford v Ferrari and unexpectedly loved it, hope the legs are going to be big for it, and that it doesn't have to put up with the far inferior Midway for blokey-bloke market. Seems like it might be in a tangle with that in the US, which is a shame since despite decent numbers there's a hefty budget on that bad boy for an original non-blockbuster movie.

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I can't remember if someone stated this in here or not, but someone stated that Frozen 2 will likely end in Beauty And The Beast numbers (504M domestic)

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I'm just hoping for 42.3 actual Friday, 50ish Saturday, and 40ish Sunday. Anything above would be gravy.

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18 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

F2 no even 42M including previews 8.5M (also a low one for such super hit). on OD.

I think the bubble is breaking.

i am sure a ww opening of 350-400 , is a sign of weakness......

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Also a reminder that F2 has a staggered release OS so it won't post insane numbers like day-and-date openers. However, numbers are already insane for limited number of markets that it opened in. They'll all add up through Nov, Dec and January.

Edited by Valonqar

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15 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

 

I think you just have no experience in terms of following box office. 

 

It's OK, we all went there, you'll improve. 

Well you and others are the ones with such experience in terms of BO.( what happens to the 50M OD ?)

But the way i think 42 OD - 115 OW is actually a good one..

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3 minutes ago, john2000 said:

i am sure a ww opening of 350-400 , is a sign of weakness......

Rmember this one break all presales records... bla.bla.bla

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3 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

Rmember this one break all presales records... bla.bla.bla

it did , except for dom

 

ps if you were looking at ww number you would see that the range is like 1,3-1,5 but yeah no records

Edited by john2000

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14 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

Wow, Maleficent got savaged. Was wondering if it would be too cold for a DF boost. Evidently yes. 

if it drops big globally 500 ww could be in question. was thinking 505+ at most last week.

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6 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

Well you and others are the ones with such experience in terms of BO.( what happens to the 50M OD ?)

But the way i think 42 OD - 115 OW is actually a good one..

ow 120-140 

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17 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

You already considered the PS heavy factor and low walking up and late shows dont do well into this yet???

Yeah.

PSMs

I2

F: 3.05x

S: 3.5x

 

F2

F: 2.1

S: Expecting 2.35x

Edited by Jedi Jat
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3 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

Well you and others are the ones with such experience in terms of BO.( what happens to the 50M OD ?)

But the way i think 42 OD - 115 OW is actually a good one..

How do you get 115M OW from 42M OD?

 

42

46

27?

 

I think it's safe to say 120M is the floor.

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46 minutes ago, a2k said:

Nice hold for TGL. 3.5 2nd weekend (-37.5%) will give it 11.9 cume.

Some small shot at 20m dom. Low number as such but prod budget is only 10m.

Will need decent OS and very good home market to break even.

That drop would be on par on how it did in the UK on its second weekend. The real value will be when it hits streaming and TV. 

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WIDE (1000+)

# TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Frozen II $120,000,000 4,440 $27,027 $120,000,000 1 Disney
2 Ford v. Ferrari $16,000,000 -49% 3,528 0 $4,535 $57,989,570 2 20th Century Fox
3 A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood $14,100,000 3,235 $4,359 $14,100,000 6 Sony Pictures
4 21 Bridges $9,100,000 2,665 $3,415 $9,100,000 1 STX Entertainment
5 Midway $4,900,000 -42% 2,627 -615 $1,865 $43,307,561 3 Lionsgate
6 Playing with Fire $4,800,000 -42% 2,760 -425 $1,739 $31,806,647 3 Paramount Pictures
7 The Good Liar $3,600,000 -36% 2,454 15 $1,467 $11,990,794 2 Warner Bros.
8 Charlie’s Angels $3,400,000 -59% 3,452 0 $985 $14,165,592 2 Sony Pictures
9 Last Christmas $3,400,000 -48% 2,411 -1043 $1,410 $28,152,390 3 Universal Pictures
10 Joker $3,000,000 -44% 1,410 -927 $2,128 $327,111,813 8 Warner Bros.
11 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil $2,000,000 -59% 1,605 -944 $1,246 $108,923,058 6 Disney
12 Doctor Sleep $1,900,000 -68% 1,476 -2379 $1,287 $28,816,742 3 Warner Bros.

LIMITED (100 — 999)

# TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 Jojo Rabbit $1,500,000 -46% 787 -208 $1,906 $16,052,713 6 Fox Searchlight
2 Zombieland: Double Tap $520,000 -73% 455 -952 $1,143 $71,521,211 6 Sony Pictures
3 Black and Blue $315,000 -66% 257 -301 $1,226 $21,389,957 5 Sony / Screen Gems
4 Arctic Dogs $70,000 -65% 195 -161 $359 $5,604,926 4 Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
5 Gemini Man $60,000 -48% 108 -68 $556 $48,413,438 7 Paramount Pictures

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

# TITLE WEEKEND   LOCATIONS   AVG. TOTAL WKS. DIST.
1 The Lion King $35,000 -39% 87 -29 $402 $543,603,085 19 Walt Disney Pictures
2 Ad Astra $30,000 -30% 50 -28 $600 $50,141,119 10 20th Century Fox
3 Toy Story 4 $18,000 -40% 48 -22 $375 $434,011,992 23 Disney
4 Immortal Hero $1,300 -45% 5 0 $260 $42,235 6 Freestyle Releasing
Edited by sfran43

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@jedijake has clearly never been stuck at my theaters concession / ticket line. 

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I predicted a $142M opening for Frozen so I can't claim to be disappointed much in a $120M launch. I doubt there's much of rush factor in play, especially with the long Thanksgiving frame coming up, so I expect it to last throughout the holidays and into the new year.

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$110m OW.

 

WWW with Frozen 2 ?

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8 minutes ago, Brinatico said:

Rmember this one break all presales records... bla.bla.bla

It did break presale records. That doesn't always translate into record BO.

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