FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

[danhtruong5]

Just now, narniadis said:

Chance it comes really close if the 53m holds. Thats already way higher than I was thinking for today. 

53m 

37m (-30%) means around 131. 

Why does it drop so harsh on sunday? This movie is backload, right? 

[narniadis]

6 minutes ago, Menor said:

Also a non-insignificant amount of kids are off school next Monday. Thinking more like 40m -25%.

Yup, past years show its between 25-27% on average, was just using a rounded number to show a "bad" hold still gets it over.

[Felandria]

Things would be so much easier if I could add pictures from gallery instead of URL.

 

love to be able to show some of these full theaters without having to upload to Flickr first

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said:

Why does it drop so harsh on sunday? This movie is backload, right? 

See my last post

Generally a -30% would be expected during the school year at a minimum for family skewing flicks.

Pre Thanksgiving weekend - which is when a lot of kids start school break on monday or Tuesday - generally results in slightly better holds. 2018 and 2017 show that a -25% would be reasonable and normal.

Given the size of the film its totally possible that it holds even better, but again, its unknown territory since the last time a film opened this large in November was 2004 (granted some such as Grinch came close LOL.)

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

I saw Parasite today and on the way to my theater, saw three girls dressed like Elsa,  an Anna and a little boy carrying a stuffed Olaf-so cute! 

 

The thread is reminding me of Catching Fire's "disappointing" OW. 

[JB33]

Unbeknownst to all of us on this site, Frozen II could very well be the monster that blows by expectations that some thought it would be, just that the audience habits are different. That is to say, the audience that's missing from making this a $160M+ mega opener is sitting tight to watch it this week or next weekend. It's like Christmas in a way. Despite the fact that time of year is made for people to fill up the multiplexes on an opening weekend, it's equally - if not more - made for audiences to be more choosy about when they see the movie, which is why most Christmas time opening weekends are actually depressed (IE. Star Wars: The Force Awakens could have very been even more crazy on opening weekend if it didn't open during Christmas holidays, or Aquaman might have approached $100M OW).

 

In a nutshell, the final total is going to be what it's going to be, and there are different avenues for getting there. It doesn't always have to start with the absolute biggest opening weekend possible for it. I realize what I'm saying is kind of basic, but it's also something we (I, for sure) tend to forget sometimes. If this wasn't opening on the date it is, I'm positive a huge chunk of people who will be seeing it in the coming week to two weeks would have seen it on opening weekend instead and we would have seen the kind of mega opening some of us were anticipating. Either way, it's the same result.

[Yandereprime101189]

1 hour ago, UserHN said:

This. I still remember the meltdowns over TS4 OW and then it went to outgross TS3 worldwide. Unfortunately, people still haven't learned their lesson from that.

 

I remember legit getting in an argument with someone saying 100+ million opening weekend was a flop. I will never forget that.

[Menor the Destroyer]

Damn, it's going to be really close with Finding Dory for the #2 animated OW. That should keep tomorrow quite suspenseful.

[charlie Jatinder]

30 minutes ago, Menor said:

Damn, it's going to be really close with Finding Dory for the #2 animated OW. That should keep tomorrow quite suspenseful.

Why? With 95 already in 2 days, Sunday shall be 40+ easily.

 

Edit: just realised Dory is 135, I was thinking more like 120.

Edited November 24, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said:

Why? With 95 already in 2 days, Sunday shall be 40+ easily.

Well average 25% Sunday drop puts it at 40. I suppose spillover might get it a better hold.

[tupek]

This was never going to get Incredibles 2 sized grosses. Some people thought this was the most anticipated animated movie of all time and whatnot

[charlie Jatinder]

4 hours ago, narniadis said:

I would imagine unadjusted its Incredibles 2.... 

At 71m I cant fathom another Animated film with a day that large. 

I think adding previews is sorta unfair. The true biggest day is I2 Saturday at 58mn, F2 shall be 53mn.

[Yandereprime101189]

Just now, tupek said:

This was never going to get Incredibles 2 sized grosses. Some people thought this was the most anticipated animated movie of all time and whatnot

 

Just make Frozen 3 in 10-12 years and it'll probably hit those numbers

 

A live action Frozen definitely would.

[charlie Jatinder]

3 minutes ago, tupek said:

This was never going to get Incredibles 2 sized grosses. Some people thought this was the most anticipated animated movie of all time and whatnot

I think pre-Holiday factor is really coming in play. Totally expecting 10 days to be in similar range.

 

In rest of world its totally blowing past Frozen 2, not just markets F did well.

Edited November 24, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[Menor the Destroyer]

2 minutes ago, tupek said:

This was never going to get Incredibles 2 sized grosses. Some people thought this was the most anticipated animated movie of all time and whatnot

Imo Shrek 2 has a good argument for most anticipated animated movie. Opening was insane for the time. Would have broken OW record if it had an FSS release.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, Menor said:

Imo Shrek 2 has a good argument for most anticipated animated movie. Opening was insane for the time. Would have broken OW record if it had an FSS release.

Ugh. Americans. 

 

Never get the hype behind Hunger Games and Shrek.

[CoolioD1]

1 hour ago, Nova said:

 

Oh i watched the adult film version of frozen online. had no idea this was a sequel to that. makes its opening seem even more impressive to me.

[steve141]

According to this site Frozen II just had the biggest single day ever in Japan: https://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=12425

 

Is this a reliable source?

[Yandereprime101189]

55 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Unbeknownst to all of us on this site, Frozen II could very well be the monster that blows by expectations that some thought it would be, just that the audience habits are different. That is to say, the audience that's missing from making this a $160M+ mega opener is sitting tight to watch it this week or next weekend. It's like Christmas in a way. Despite the fact that time of year is made for people to fill up the multiplexes on an opening weekend, it's equally - if not more - made for audiences to be more choosy about when they see the movie, which is why most Christmas time opening weekends are actually depressed (IE. Star Wars: The Force Awakens could have very been even more crazy on opening weekend if it didn't open during Christmas holidays, or Aquaman might have approached $100M OW).

 

In a nutshell, the final total is going to be what it's going to be, and there are different avenues for getting there. It doesn't always have to start with the absolute biggest opening weekend possible for it. I realize what I'm saying is kind of basic, but it's also something we (I, for sure) tend to forget sometimes. If this wasn't opening on the date it is, I'm positive a huge chunk of people who will be seeing it in the coming week to two weeks would have seen it on opening weekend instead and we would have seen the kind of mega opening some of us were anticipating. Either way, it's the same result.

 

It's gonna have a big Thanksgiving, that's for sure.

[cdsacken]

Shame away. I loved the hunger games. Dystopian addiction.