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Eric the Hedgehog

FROZEN II WEEKEND THREAD | 130.26M OW | BLACK FRIDAY WEEK SALE: Gold Accounts 25% OFF | I like warm hugs and I cannot lie | No Knives Out Spoilers :)

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1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

Friday: 42.15

Saturday: 49.5

+47.1% from 33.65 true fri

Needs 22.5% Sun drop to hit 130.

With 130 ow would need 3.85x to hit 500. Tough ask IMO, will target 475.

Edited by a2k
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1 minute ago, a2k said:

+47.1% from 33.65 true fri

very good increase, taking everything into account

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Quite clearly it’s to close to the launch of Disney+.  Everyone’s still working through that back catalogue. 

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1 hour ago, steve141 said:

Sunday is going to be interesting. Corpse is reporting sales are up 5% from Saturday to Sunday in Japan.

Japan is a totally different market. Evening in Sunday is weaker than Saturday ( unless the next day is holiday) so at the end could be under.

In any case Corpse is also reporting about this is probably the biggest (true) single day ever there.

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On 11/22/2019 at 4:28 PM, a2k said:

Guess

9

31.50

49.75 (+58%)

38.25 (-23%)

= 128.50

this is why you stick to your 9th guess and never back down.

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Assuming 440,000 for this Sunday's sample...

 

That's about 890,000 sampled tickets, which is only 70% of the market. So about 1,270,000 tickets overall. An average ticket price of 1,400 yen gives us 1.78 billion yen for Saturday+Sunday!

 

:ohmygod:

 

Just a 10x multiplier from that would make it the #8 film in Japanese history!

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Charlie, stop increasing our expectations and then dashing it! 

 

GratefulOrnateFlounder-small.gif

Edited by Noctis
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Are there people here that are actually disappointed with an opening weekend of 130 million LOL

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4 minutes ago, baumer said:

Are there people here that are actually disappointed with an opening weekend of 130 million LOL

Wasn't it supposed to open over 300M?

Edited by Damianport1
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4 minutes ago, baumer said:

Are there people here that are actually disappointed with an opening weekend of 130 million LOL

If it can't be the best opening ever, like in other countries, it's a disappointment. 👀

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58 minutes ago, cannastop said:

Assuming 440,000 for this Sunday's sample...

 

That's about 890,000 sampled tickets, which is only 70% of the market. So about 1,270,000 tickets overall. An average ticket price of 1,400 yen gives us 1.78 billion yen for Saturday+Sunday!

 

:ohmygod:

 

Just a 10x multiplier from that would make it the #8 film in Japanese history!

Oh btw, this is just Knives Out opening in Japan. Just imagine Frozen II's! :ph34r:

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8 minutes ago, baumer said:

Are there people here that are actually disappointed with an opening weekend of 130 million LOL

Avengers Endgame destroyed peoples OW expectations here forever. 

 

This is where the Lion King OW and this OW disappointment comes from

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I honestly don't think following the domestic BO of Frozen 2 is very useful for now, we know next weekend will play a major role with many waiting till then to watch it. It'll be all about legs.

 

In the meantime the international gross is more interesting.

Edited by Fullbuster
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When can we open the “Frozen 2, what went wrong,” thread? 

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7 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:

I honestly don't think following the domestic BO of Frozen 2 is very useful for now, we know next weekend will play a major role with many waiting till then to watch it. It'll be all about legs.

 

In the meantime the international growth is more interesting.

I’m most interested in the international numbers at this point. I’ve heard Saturday has been huge in a lot of markets so it’ll be interesting where it lands after the weekend is over. 

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Opening in line with expectations of major outlets we use:

BOR 136

pro.BO 130

the-numbers 125

Mojo 120

Average 127.75

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37 minutes ago, baumer said:

Are there people here that are actually disappointed with an opening weekend of 130 million LOL

TS4 all over again, it never gets old

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Given the opening weekend levels internationally, including countries that are good proxies for the US one can assume the different that is likely due to next weekend being Thanksgiving.  After Black Friday I think we will see things differently.  And ~130M is great anyway

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