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Eric Duncan

THANKSGIVING WEEKEND THREAD | Frozen 85.25 3-Day, 123.75 5-Day. Thanksgiving record! | KO 27/41.7, FvF 13.2/19, ABDITN 11.8/17.3, Q&S 11.7/15.8 | BLACK FRIDAY SALE UNTIL SUNDAY - GOLD ACCOUNTS 25% OFF

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4 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:
Frozen 2               34.10
Knives Out               10.66
Ford v Ferrari                 5.77
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood                 4.57
Queen & Slim                 4.29
Playing with Fire                 2.30
21 Bridges                 1.72
Midway                 1.58
Last Christmas                 0.78
Joker                 0.76
Harriet                 0.78
The Good Liar                 0.55
Charlie's Angels                 0.50
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil                 0.47
Jojo Rabbit                 0.46

 

 

Let's see what Disney give.

Im guessing Charlie accidentally switched 21 Bridges and Playing W/Fire estimates

 

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QnS will go past 50 dom with it's reception.

 

4.1 (Wed/Thu) + 4x the FSS will take it close to that mark.

(4x the FSS for a Wed release is not that big a deal. As an example even TF5 did nearly 3x it's FSS cause Wed/Thu backloaded the weekend.)

 

Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days
Nov 27, 2019 5 $1,740,000   1,690 $1,030   $1,740,000 1
Nov 28, 2019 5 $2,370,000 +36% 1,690 $1,402   $4,110,000 2
Nov 29, 2019 - $4,310,000 +82% 1,690 $2,550   $8,420,000 3
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https://deadline.com/2019/11/frozen-2-box-office-tuesday-november-record-knives-out-previews-thanksgiving-1202796248/

Quote

Standing resilient and the big driver of holiday business is Disney’s Frozen 2 which after making $34.1M yesterday, is looking at a 3-day of $86.7M, 5-day of $126.3M and running total by end of tomorrow of $290.1M. Domestic endgame for Anna and Elsa’s second go-round is projected to be $450M. And in no way a shocker, Adobe Analytics reports that Frozen 2 was one of the biggest toys to fly off shelves yesterday.

 

Revised Comscore/Screen Engine PostTrak exits show 46% general audiences and 54% families for Frozen 2 with 4 1/2 stars from general audiences and parents and 4 stars from kids under 12, still driven by girls at 68%. Among all age groups, women under 25 are leading at 39%, followed by women over 25 at 30% and guys few with men over 25 at 16% and men under 25 at 15%.

 

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14 hours ago, Lordmandeep said:

For every film like kn a dozen flop though

 

 

It's really hard to.manufacture a profitable hit original film..


very true. Business wise though it makes more sense to me making four original commercial films for $40-50 million each than risk $200 million on a shaky franchise reboot/sequel. Some franchises are sure-things and worth the outlay. Yet there’s irrefutably been several examples in the last few years that we’d all have said wouldn’t do well. 

 

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15 minutes ago, john2000 said:

i wouldnt put much stock to this, it could easily make 90

i wouldn't say it's easy unless it shows a bump to 35.

34

34

22 (-35%)

= 90

 

35% drop is very optimistic looking at other animations this sunday.

Edited by a2k
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Playing with Fire is gonna somehow do well on its $29.9M production budget.  With Frozen 2 struggling in pulling the younger male members of the family (as expected), this movie has turned out to somehow be the perfect counter-programming for the aged 6-12 male set.  It's gonna be 3x+ OW by the end of this weekend, and it actually opened to a real number...and when's the last very badly reviewed family live action movie to do that?:)

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4 minutes ago, a2k said:

i wouldn't say it's easy unless it shows a bump to 35.

34

34

22 (-35%)

= 90

 

35% drop is very optimistic looking at other animations this sunday.

Outside shot Saturday bumps up, the bad weather yesterday may have kept a few people home who would have otherwise gone out for some shopping/entertainment. My guess is roughly flat with a 40% Sunday drop, 86-88

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