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Eric Madrigal

THANKSGIVING WEEKEND THREAD | Frozen 85.25 3-Day, 123.75 5-Day. Thanksgiving record! | KO 27/41.7, FvF 13.2/19, ABDITN 11.8/17.3, Q&S 11.7/15.8 | BLACK FRIDAY SALE UNTIL SUNDAY - GOLD ACCOUNTS 25% OFF

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2 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Hmm, good point. Needs “just” 4.46x from 24.


Megamind 4.67x
Puss in Boots 4.55x
Big Hero 6 4.52x

WIR 4.45x

Frozen1 4.45 (afaict, no previews?)

Moana 4.38x (from true OD)

Grinch 4.35x

Original Frozen had 800k in previews according to HSX spreadsheet.  Originally reported as 1.2m, but adjusted downward in 2017 according to one of the cells.

 

As I check, that 400k difference might approximately be due to the 343k in sales the first few days at the one theater that was showing it early.

Edited by Porthos
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14 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen 2: 23.9mn

KO: 8.5mn

FvF: 3mn

ABDIN: 2.4mn

Queen Slim: 1.7mn

 

I hope Disney give 24+

 So a wednesday +15% from a tuesday which already +63% from a monday.

:sparta:

Edited by PKMLover
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If Thu drop is close to 30% feel 135 is as good as locked. Haven't used a very good Fri bump:

24.25+17(-30%)+37(+118%)+35.5(-4%)+21.5(-39%)=135.25

Edited by a2k
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Worth noting that @Jedi Jat gave the 1st Wed number (23-25) super duper early on the Tue thread by reading presales and it was accurate and as good a number extrapolated from real data. gatsby-thanks.png

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6 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Hmm, good point. Needs “just” 4.41x from 24.25

 

Frozen1 4.69 (from True OD of 14.36?)
Megamind 4.67x
Puss in Boots 4.55x
Big Hero 6 4.52x

WIR 4.45x

Moana 4.38x (from true OD)

Grinch 4.35x

 

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

Original Frozen had 800k in previews according to HSX spreadsheet.  Originally reported as 1.2m, but adjusted downward in 2017 according to one of the cells.

 

3 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen 2: 24.25mn

Hmm. Want to be very clear that it is not a serious prediction for now, but 107 FSS does not look as outlandish as you’d think...

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1 hour ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Hmm. Want to be very clear that it is not a serious prediction for now, but 107 FSS does not look as outlandish as you’d think...

24.25
18.5
40.5
40.5
26

 

🥰

 
 
 
 
Spoiler

on serious note 

24

17

38

38

24

 

Edited by Jedi Jat
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7 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

24.25
18.5
40.5
40.5
26

 

🥰

Alright boys, we’ve got our official, data based, 5-day prediction from a purple user. Be sure to complain to Jat personally when Fri is just 39 👍

 

Spoiler

For benefit of newcomers, I’ll ruin the sarcasm with this explainer box. None of those ThFSS are related to Comscore, which isn’t visible yet. Is all an optimistic forecast based on some Keyser Thurs data and general Thanksgiving trends. It doesn’t look too crazy to me, but don’t treat it as anything more than an @a2k playing around with bumps.

 

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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17 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

 

 

Hmm. Want to be very clear that it is not a serious prediction for now, but 107 FSS does not look as outlandish as you’d think...

Lol i just left the site to do some calcultions and ended with with exactly 107 FFS like you.

 

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1 minute ago, Lordmandeep said:

Frozen 2 was going to do well this Thanksgiving..not sure why anyone doubted that.

no one doubted that. the degree by which it could do well is astonishing imo.

it's true OD/Fri was 33.7, and to beat that handily (possibly by 10%) on 2nd Fri and 2nd Sat is unexpected imo.

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