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Jedi Jat

Monday (12/2)

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39 minutes ago, Menor said:

Expected numbers.

Yep. I figured as high as 85% drop so the F2 number is actually better than I expected.

 

Well....not by much lol. Just did the math. 3.3-3.4 would be a 82.5-83% drop.

 

Should see around a 50% jump tomorrow.

Edited by JB33

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Yup dailies for the next 2 weeks will be rather hohum as far as nice but normal goes. 

 

Thanks for the share Jedi

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Very roughly looking ahead (Frozen II)....

 

M: 3.3

T: 4.9

W: 2.5

Th: 2.5

F: 8.5

Sa: 17.4

Su: 11.5

 

M-Th: $13.2M

W/E: $37.4M

 

Dom total after w/e: $339.45M

 

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5 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Very roughly looking ahead (Frozen II)....

 

M: 3.3

T: 4.9

W: 2.5

Th: 2.5

F: 8.5

Sa: 17.4

Su: 11.5

 

M-Th: $13.2M

W/E: $37.4M

 

Dom total after w/e: $339.45M

 

The Wednesday drop is pretty much the only possible place for variance I guess. That will be the most important number for the weekend hold.

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8 minutes ago, narniadis said:

Yup dailies for the next 2 weeks will be rather hohum as far as nice but normal goes. 

Yeah. Thinking to not do dailies till TLJ.

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2 minutes ago, Menor said:

The Wednesday drop is pretty much the only possible place for variance I guess. That will be the most important number for the weekend hold.

I think Tuesday will be 5+, hopefully 5.5+.

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2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Yeah. Thinking to not do dailies till TLJ.

Totally understandable, I mean you spoil us way more than RtH ever was able to so take your break :)

Edited by narniadis
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4 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Yeah. Thinking to not do dailies till TLJ.

So you finally got the Time Stone

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8 minutes ago, Menor said:

The Wednesday drop is pretty much the only possible place for variance I guess. That will be the most important number for the weekend hold.

Agreed, which itself will depend on the Tuesday bump. Tuesdays have been so crazy lately and the bump could be so big that even a bigger Wednesday drop than I predicted would still leave us with a bigger number than 2.5. Thursday should be pretty much flat.

 

And yes, very much a boring, ho-hum couple weeks ahead of us until the 13th.

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It's a good thing we have the exact same calendar as 2013. Makes it much easier to compare Frozen 2 dailies with the first movie.

 

Monday drop is 83.1 if the 3.3 holds. The first movie dropped 83.5 on the same Monday (2 Dec). Nothing too out of ordinary.

 

Frozen made 307M after this Sunday, which is obviously too much for the 2nd installment to ask considering the mind-blowing holds of the original. It even returned to 1st place in January. :D

 

But for 500M DOM, F2 only needs 211M more, which is roughly 69% of that amount. While it makes more than the first one per day I think this goal is not in danger.

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60-70% Disc Tue bump for 5.3-5.6 using 3.3 Mon

 

3.3

5.4

2.9

2.9

= 14.5 // 303.35

 

9.5 (+225%)

18.5 (+95%)

13.0 (-30%)

= 41.0 (-52%) // 344.35

 

3.5-4.0x the 2nd weekend more gives 488-508 cume

 

EDIT: With 3.19 Mon, 14.5 Mon-Thu changes to 14.0 and 41.0 weekend to 39.5

 

 

Edited by a2k
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