Monday (12/2)

[LPLC]

14 minutes ago, ElsaRoc said:

Nothing is ever truly locked. 340 is likely, tho. Final talky will largely depend on how it holds through the holidays. 

 

(it's not likely to repeat F1's amazing post New Year performance, so that period won't have a big effect) 

Yes it's true, my prediction for frozen 2 is between Finding Dory and Beauty and the best maybe around $490M, anything abode $500M would be very fantastic

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
1	(1)	Frozen II	Walt Disney	$3,187,895	-84%	-75%	4,440	$718	$292,033,026	11
2	(2)	Knives Out	Lionsgate	$1,708,419	-70%		3,461	$494	$43,122,512	6
3	(3)	Queen & Slim	Universal	$1,060,270	-64%		1,690	$627	$17,061,060	6
4	(5)	A Beautiful Day in the Ne…	Sony Pictures	$773,882	-68%	-48%	3,235	$239	$35,065,648	11
5	(4)	Ford v. Ferrari	20th Century…	$749,191	-73%	-56%	3,585	$209	$81,780,519	18
6	(6)	21 Bridges	STX Entertai…	$378,093	-68%	-57%	2,665	$142	$19,598,874	11
7	(8)	Midway	Lionsgate	$263,808	-67%	-56%	2,377	$111	$50,478,116	25
8	(7)	Playing with Fire	Paramount Pi…	$176,019	-81%	-71%	2,679	$66	$39,412,076	25
9	(11)	The Good Liar	Warner Bros.	$153,081	-58%	-60%	2,003	$76	$15,032,365	18
10	(9)	Last Christmas	Universal	$149,350	-66%	-61%	1,852	$81	$31,835,600	25
11	(10)	Joker	Warner Bros.	$131,115	-65%	-64%	1,146	$114	$330,654,740	60
12	(12)	Harriet	Focus Features	$120,220	-67%	-68%	1,084	$111	$39,577,540	32
13	(14)	Charlie’s Angels	Sony Pictures	$100,125	-65%	-74%	3,156	$32	$16,938,628	18
14	(15)	Jojo Rabbit	Fox Searchlight	$81,979	-67%	-63%	730	$112	$18,439,352	46
-	(-)	Doctor Sleep	Warner Bros.	$67,138	-64%	-73%	877	$77	$30,628,244	25
-	(13)	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	Walt Disney	$65,949	-78%	-77%	1,090	$61	$111,615,883	46
-	(-)	Terminator: Dark Fate	Paramount Pi…	$63,141	-69%	-60%	782	$81	$61,244,526	32

[charlie Jatinder]

Damn you Disney.

[Valonqar]

Dan Kaluuya is a low-key boxoffice draw. Q&S held better than the rest and it beat the shit out of Boseman's 21 Bridges on OW and is soon going to pass it.  

 

Marvel must be kicking themselves for wasting him in Wakabi role. 

[JB33]

Looking at last year's increases on the first Tuesday of December, clearly I'm out to lunch in predicting around a 50% bump for F2. Ralph Breaks the Internet increased 85.6%(!!). Creed II increased 62.8%. Pretty much everything, adult movie, family movie, whatever, increased over 60%.

[Legion Again]

4 hours ago, Valonqar said:

Dan Kaluuya is a low-key boxoffice draw. Q&S held better than the rest and it beat the shit out of Boseman's 21 Bridges on OW and is soon going to pass it.  

 

Marvel must be kicking themselves for wasting him in Wakabi role. 

Cmon man, there are like a dozen real box office draws in the world at this point. Dan Kaluuya isn’t one of them. Q&S is doing well because of the movie itself, not the actors attached (outside of giving a performance in the movie that of course affects how much people like it overall).     
 

I can pretty much guarantee you that nobody at Marvel has ever thought “oh no, we ‘wasted’ the box office drawing power of Daniel Kaluuya with his BP casting.” Nor should they have.

Edited December 4, 2019 by Arendelle Legion

[Legion Again]

53 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Looking at last year's increases on the first Tuesday of December, clearly I'm out to lunch in predicting around a 50% bump for F2. Ralph Breaks the Internet increased 85.6%(!!). Creed II increased 62.8%. Pretty much everything, adult movie, family movie, whatever, increased over 60%.

I bet it was available on Moviepass Tuesday but not Monday. 2018 Q3 and Q4 are kind of mucked up by that effect.  
 

2017 — Coco +42%

2016 — Moana +36%   
 

Of course Tuesday we’re weaker generally back then, so I think 60-70ish should be pretty good.

[JB33]

41 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I bet it was available on Moviepass Tuesday but not Monday. 2018 Q3 and Q4 are kind of mucked up by that effect.  
 

2017 — Coco +42%

2016 — Moana +36%   
 

Of course Tuesday we’re weaker generally back then, so I think 60-70ish should be pretty good.

Didn't think of that. Good point. What about Knives Out? 50% too high?

[Legion Again]

7 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Didn't think of that. Good point. What about Knives Out? 50% too high?

I went to look up Creed 2 and got 37%... and 44% for WIR2. I think you were looking a week later. Starting to look to me like post-Thanksgiving Tues bumps are a bit depressed, maybe 45 KO and 62 F2 if I had to guess. 

[JB33]

53 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said:

I went to look up Creed 2 and got 37%... and 44% for WIR2. I think you were looking a week later. Starting to look to me like post-Thanksgiving Tues bumps are a bit depressed, maybe 45 KO and 62 F2 if I had to guess. 

I was. I didnt know whether to compare post-Thanksgiving Tuesdays OR the same Tuesday on the calendar. Usually they're one and the same, except for Thanksgiving being a week later than usual this year (or a week earlier last year, both are determined by the November calendar configuration).

[keysersoze123]

At MTC1 F2 is down 76% from last tuesday. So around 5.4m if the national ratio is the same. But it will vary slightly for sure.

[JB33]

57 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

At MTC1 F2 is down 76% from last tuesday. So around 5.4m if the national ratio is the same. But it will vary slightly for sure.

$5.4M would be a 69.5% bump. Seems just about right. I would figure on a 45%-ish Wednesday drop.