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charlie Jatinder

Black Widow Overseas Thread.

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4 hours ago, VenomXXR said:

Despite my club, my real prediction is about....

 

$280m DOM

$120m China 
$350m Rest 

That seems quite low. I mean $750m is probably what Doctor Strange would have done in 2020, and that had way less buzz than BW does right now. 

 

$350 million DOM

$180 million China (trailer did disproportionately well there and seems to have a lot more buzz than say Captain Marvel)

$450 million Rest

 

is what I'm thinking.

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Posted (edited)

Opening weekend expectations

 

Asia/Oceania

China - $100-110M (release uncertain)

Korea - $17-20M

ANZ - $7M (AUS under lockdown now)

Middle East - $7M

Japan - $2-3M

Indonesia - $3M

Hong Kong - $3.5M

Rest of Asia - $2-5M

 

Total - $141.5-158.5M

 

Europe and Africa

UK - $15M

France - $9M

Russia - $8M

Germany - $4M

Spain - $4M

Italy - $4M

Rest of Europe and Africa - $7-10M

 

Total - $51-55M

 

LATAM

Mexico - $9M

Brazil - $3M

Cent AM - $1.5M

Colombia - $1.5M

Rest of LATAM - $1M (Could be more depending on opening status)

 

Total - $16M

 

Total OS OW - $208-230M

Edited by charlie Jatinder
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12 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Non adjusted for ER, Far From Home opened at ~$175M in markets this will open. With chance of overperformance, expecting $110M from Black Widow.

110 ow would be your medium performance ? if so what an overperformance would look like ?

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Updated Opening weekend expectations

 

Asia/Oceania

Korea - $17-20M

ANZ - $10-12M

Middle East - $7-8M

Japan - $2-3M

Indonesia - $3M

Hong Kong - $3.5M

Rest of Asia - $1M

 

Total - $41-48M

 

Europe and Africa

UK - $12-15M

France - $6M

Russia - $6-7M

Germany - $3-4M

Spain - $3-4M

Italy - $3M

Rest of Europe and Africa - $7-10M

 

Total - $40-49M

 

LATAM

Mexico - $9-11M

Brazil - $2.5-3M

Cent AM - $1.5-2M

Colombia - $1.5-2M

Rest of LATAM - $2.5-3M

 

Total - $17-21M

 

Total OS OW - $97-118M

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6 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Updated Opening weekend expectations

 

Asia/Oceania

Korea - $17-20M

ANZ - $10-12M

Middle East - $7-8M

Japan - $2-3M

Indonesia - $3M

Hong Kong - $3.5M

Rest of Asia - $1M

 

Total - $41-48M

 

Europe and Africa

UK - $12-15M

France - $6M

Russia - $6-7M

Germany - $3-4M

Spain - $3-4M

Italy - $3M

Rest of Europe and Africa - $7-10M

 

Total - $40-49M

 

LATAM

Mexico - $9-11M

Brazil - $2.5-3M

Cent AM - $1.5-2M

Colombia - $1.5-2M

Rest of LATAM - $2.5-3M

 

Total - $17-21M

 

Total OS OW - $97-118M

with that ow can it hit 400 mill os without china ?

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6 minutes ago, john2000 said:

with that ow can it hit 400 mill os without china ?

No, even 350 would be great legs from there. Could happen with a combination of reception being great and reopening helping legs (larger factor in some markets).

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