Wednesday 12/04

[charlie Jatinder]

Frozen 2	2.83
Knives Out	1.74
Queen & Slim	0.92
Ford v Ferrari	0.83

Edited December 5, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[a2k]

F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed

 

2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1

 

9.41 (+230%)

18.34 (+95%)

12.47 (-32%)

= 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32

 

Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume,

343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1

343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2

[jedijake]

Whatever F2 does this weekend (hopefully $40 million) its drops should level off over the next couple of weeks and then spike up for the weekends of December 27 and January 3.

 

$500 million could be iffy.

[Neucentro]

Frozen 2                2.85 (-47% from Tuesday)

Knives Out                1.75 (-37%)

Ford v Ferrari                1.05 (-12%)

Queen & Slim                0.72 (-52%)

 

Great for F v F. Not so good for Q & S. Swapping the two numbers would seem more normal.

Edited December 5, 2019 by Neucentro

[a2k]

13 minutes ago, Neucentro said:

Frozen 2                2.85 (-47% from Tuesday)

Knives Out                1.75 (-37%)

Ford v Ferrari                1.05 (-12%)

Queen & Slim                0.72 (-52%)

 

Great for F v F. Not so good for Q & S. Swapping the two numbers would seem more normal.

Yeah, good call

FvF 0.72 -39%

QnS 1.05 -30%

[KP1025]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed

 

2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1

 

9.41 (+230%)

18.34 (+95%)

12.47 (-32%)

= 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32

 

Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume,

343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1

343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2

 

Multipliers off post-Thanksgiving weekend:

 

Frozen added 8.43x

Big Hero 6 added 5.6x

Moana added 4.56x

Coco added 3.62x

Ralph 2 added 3.21x

Grinch added 3.73x 

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

Spoiler

 

F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed

 

2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1

 

9.41 (+230%)

18.34 (+95%)

12.47 (-32%)

= 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32

 

Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume,

343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1

343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2

 

 

IMO Week Wise

Week 1	202.87
Week 2	100.16
Week 3	49.82
Week 4	26.95
Week 5	24.46
Week 6	22.88
Week 7	13.10
Week 8	9.17
Week 9	5.50
Week 10	3.85
Rest	11.55
Total	470.29

[charlie Jatinder]

2 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

Queen & Slim                 0.92

Ford v Ferrari                 0.83

correction

[Poseidon]

44 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

 

Multipliers off post-Thanksgiving weekend:

 

Frozen added 8.43x

Big Hero 6 added 5.6x

Moana added 4.56x

Coco added 3.62x

Ralph 2 added 3.21x

Grinch added 3.73x 

 

None with a fitting and comaparable opening date, though.

 

Thei were either opening on TG or opened earlier.

Grinch obviously died after christmas. 

[jedijake]

I'd say the post Thanksgiving multipler for F2 would be closest to Moana out of all of them.

[Firepower]

(8)	The Good Liar	Warner Bros.	$190,000	-29%	-36%	2,003	$95	$15,491,537	20
-	(12)	Joker	Warner Bros.	$140,000	-18%	-70%	1,146	$122	$330,965,547	62
-	(-)	Doctor Sleep	Warner Bros.	$75,000	-21%	-62%	877	$86	$30,798,180	27

[a2k]

JOKER 0.140 Wed for 330.655 cume

 

0.135 Thu // 331.1

 

0.32 (+140%)

0.50 (+55%)

0.33 (-35%)

= 1.15 (-41%) // 332.25

[LPLC]

3 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

IMO Week Wise

Week 1	202.87
Week 2	100.16
Week 3	49.82
Week 4	26.95
Week 5	24.46
Week 6	22.88
Week 7	13.10
Week 8	9.17
Week 9	5.50
Week 10	3.85
Rest	11.55
Total	470.29

Maybe more with Christmas no ?

[keysersoze123]

6 hours ago, a2k said:

F2 300.25 cume after 2.85 Wed

 

2.85 Thu (n/c) // 303.1

 

9.41 (+230%)

18.34 (+95%)

12.47 (-32%)

= 40.22 (-53.2%) // 343.32

 

Adding 3.5-4.0x this weekend to the cume,

343.32 + 40.22*3.5 = 484.1

343.32 + 40.22*4.0 = 504.2

Early signs show its dropping today. I will confirm in the evening. Dont have precise numbers at this point.

[keysersoze123]

4 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

IMO Week Wise

Week 1	202.87
Week 2	100.16
Week 3	49.82
Week 4	26.95
Week 5	24.46
Week 6	22.88
Week 7	13.10
Week 8	9.17
Week 9	5.50
Week 10	3.85
Rest	11.55
Total	470.29

No impact with SW9 release? Staying flat that weekend would be incredible.

[a2k]

ABDN

0.81 Wed, 37.14

 

0.77 (-5%), 37.91

 

1.85 (+140%)

2.78 (+50%)

1.80 (-35%)

= 6.43, 44.34 cume (21.91 away from 5x)

[misafeco]

39 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

No impact with SW9 release? Staying flat that weekend would be incredible.

SW9 arrives on 5th week Dec 20-26, both weekend and weekdays can be strong (even the 24th). Family films rarely decrease much in that period. The original Frozen increased by almost 50% on the same week (of course it was an anomaly). It made 47M on Week 5 and 57M on the week after. 

And it's still mind-blowing how it was able to manage 100M after New Year.

[keysersoze123]

39 minutes ago, misafeco said:

SW9 arrives on 5th week Dec 20-26, both weekend and weekdays can be strong (even the 24th). Family films rarely decrease much in that period. The original Frozen increased by almost 50% on the same week (of course it was an anomaly). It made 47M on Week 5 and 57M on the week after. 

And it's still mind-blowing how it was able to manage 100M after New Year.

you are talking about a 200m opener. Screen loss will be big for holdovers. No way F2 wont be impacted. I can see it recover after that weekend but there will be some impact.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

you are talking about a 200m opener. Screen loss will be big for holdovers. No way F2 wont be impacted. I can see it recover after that weekend but there will be some impact.

agreed. similar to how different kind of movies were impacted by Frozen2's ow

9	(5)	Last Christmas	Universal	$3,099,535	-52%	2,411	-1,043	$1,286	$27,851,925	3
10	(8)	Joker	Warner Bros.	$2,746,029	-49%	1,410	-927	$1,948	$326,857,842	8
11	(10)	Harriet	Focus Fea…	$2,330,100	-49%	1,346	-665	$1,731	$36,024,155	4

 

Harriet

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
Nov 1, 2019	4	$11,676,720		2,059	$5,671	$11,676,720	1
Nov 8, 2019	8	$7,406,790	-37%	2,186	$3,388	$23,639,930	2
Nov 15, 2019	10	$4,590,540	-38%	2,011	$2,283	$31,693,530	3
Nov 22, 2019	11	$2,330,100	-49%	1,346	$1,731	$36,024,155	4
Nov 29, 2019	11	$1,846,885	-21%	1,084	$1,704	$39,457,320	5

 

Joker

Nov 1, 2019	2	$13,500,116	-30%	3,519	$3,836	$299,187,108	5
Nov 8, 2019	6	$9,221,303	-32%	2,806	$3,286	$313,512,810	6
Nov 15, 2019	8	$5,338,389	-42%	2,337	$2,284	$322,302,982	7
Nov 22, 2019	10	$2,746,029	-49%	1,410	$1,948	$326,857,842	8
Nov 29, 2019	10	$1,950,478	-29%	1,146	$1,702	$330,523,625	9

 

Last Christmas

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Week
Nov 8, 2019	4	$11,441,055		3,448	$3,318	$11,441,055	1
Nov 15, 2019	5	$6,493,930	-43%	3,454	$1,880	$22,369,695	2
Nov 22, 2019	9	$3,099,535	-52%	2,411	$1,286	$27,851,925	3
Nov 29, 2019	9	$2,008,275	-35%	1,852	$1,084	$31,686,250	4

 

[misafeco]

40 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

you are talking about a 200m opener. Screen loss will be big for holdovers. No way F2 wont be impacted. I can see it recover after that weekend but there will be some impact.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekly/2016W51/?ref_=bo_wly_table_3

Moana decreased by only 5% when Rogue One opened, I think it's the best comparison. This year it could be even better because Mon-Thu will be 23-26 which is much better than 18-22 obviously.

38 minutes ago, a2k said:

agreed. similar to how different kind of movies were impacted by Frozen2's ow

Apples to oranges. We are talking about a specific December week, not just any weekend of a big opener.