No1Curr Weekend Thread: Playmobil $660K OW, one of the lowest in history for 2,000+ theaters

[DAJK]

42 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

 

This score is not what is known as a sample statistic. They must have sampled literally everyone who went to see the movie in order to compile enough data to generate a score. 

[Legion Again]

3 minutes ago, DAJK said:

This score is not what is known as a sample statistic. They must have sampled literally everyone who went to see the movie in order to compile enough data to generate a score. 

140k/$5 per ticket is 28000 people buying Playmobil tickets today. So, this is... not as hyperbolic as I thought at first O.O

[misafeco]

2 hours ago, DAJK said:

What would that mean for Frozen's weekend. Just spitballing #'s but something like 15 Saturday and 11 Sunday? 

17.6 Saturday (+120%)

10.7 Sunday (-39%)

 

36.3 weekend

[charlie Jatinder]

26 minutes ago, misafeco said:

17.6 Saturday (+120%)

10.7 Sunday (-39%)

 

36.3 weekend

The Hungarian @a2k

[charlie Jatinder]

Frozen 2	7.850
Knives Out	4.200
Queen & Slim	1.950
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	1.520
Ford v Ferrari	1.870
21 Bridges	0.830
Midway	0.590
The Good Liar	0.235
Last Christmas	0.350
Playing with Fire	0.535

[DAJK]

Excellent for KO, but unfortunate for Frozen. Obviously it's still a mega hit, but in terms of the box office nerd in me, I'd rather experience a runaway smash hit rather than "a movie that makes a lot of money... but we expected it to anyways". 

[JB33]

19 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen 2	7.850
Knives Out	4.200
Queen & Slim	1.950
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	1.520
Ford v Ferrari	1.870
21 Bridges	0.830
Midway	0.590
The Good Liar	0.235
Last Christmas	0.350
Playing with Fire	0.535

Hoo boy....

 

What the hell man? (F2)

[The Dark Rock]

F2 numbers getting worse. Let's panic

[Curtis1986]

So is 420 to 450 still a guarantee for Frozen 2.This movies box office has been a rollercoaster. 

Edited December 7, 2019 by Curtis1986

[Neucentro]

56 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen 2	7.850
Knives Out	4.200
Queen & Slim	1.950
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	1.520
Ford v Ferrari	1.870
21 Bridges	0.830
Midway	0.590
The Good Liar	0.235
Last Christmas	0.350
Playing with Fire	0.535

Excellent for KO and Q&S. No Dark Waters?

[Krissykins]

1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen 2	7.850
Knives Out	4.200
Queen & Slim	1.950
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	1.520
Ford v Ferrari	1.870
21 Bridges	0.830
Midway	0.590
The Good Liar	0.235
Last Christmas	0.350
Playing with Fire	0.535

Great for basically only Knives Out. 
 

We need a clear out. Thank god there are 5 new ones next week. Jumanji will be a very easy #1 and I think Black Christmas can do well. 

[Neucentro]

8 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Great for basically only Knives Out. 
 

We need a clear out. Thank god there are 5 new ones next week. Jumanji will be a very easy #1 and I think Black Christmas can do well. 

Queen & Slim also did great, had a better week-to-week drop (-55%) than Knives Out (-61%).

[a2k]

Optimistically for F2,

7.85

18.1 (+130%)

12.3 (-32%)

= 38.25 (-55.5%) // 341.17

 

Adding 3.5-4x this weekend,

341.17 + 38.25*3.5 = 475

341.17 + 38.25*4.0 = 494

 

[Damien]

Let's see how Saturday does for Frozen 2. Last Friday was a holiday, I don't think this one is. It's 1st Friday wasn't great either.

[Valonqar]

Ahahahahaha, Kaluuya boxoffice trashed Boseman boxoffice, Marvel must regret wasting him as Wakabi. The guy has at least added value if not currently low-key boxoffice pull. He'll go places. 

 

Both KO and Q&S are slaying, WOM kicking in. The former is likely to score some major nominations next week (Comedy Globe? Comedy Actress/Actor Globe? SAG Ensemble?) which should keep its run hot. 

[edroger3]

15 hours ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

WTF is playmobile ?

Playmobil is a series of minifigures produced in Germany since mid 70s as response to oil crisis (smaller toys = less plastic to use) that became a pop culture phenomenon (in Europe) until the mid-1990s. Later it was unable to evolve and gradually lost market share.

[lockmom]

I despair of F2's result this Friday, it's nothing like a Disney animation

Edited December 7, 2019 by lockmom

[John Marston]

Frozen 2 drop is normal for a big Thanksgiving opener after Thanksgiving 

[lockmom]

16 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Frozen 2 drop is normal for a big Thanksgiving opener after Thanksgiving 

Is there still hope for 450M?

[a2k]

What would it take F2 to miss 450? Can't get more pessimistic than this :

 

Say 36.0 3rd weekend, 338.9 cume.

 

WIR2 added 3.2x it's post-Thanksgiving 2nd weekend and 3.7x it's 3rd.

 

Using just 3.1x the post-Thanksgiving 3rd weekend for Frozen2 -

338.9 + 36.0*3.1 = 450.5

 

O/U 475 imo.

 

EDIT: Weekend could be ~35 according to Deadline and with a 95-105% Sat bump that is possible on the very conservative end.  With 35 weekend, F2 would need to add 3.5x the weekend to get to 450. 3.5x still likely enough if not a lock.

Edited December 7, 2019 by a2k