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sfran43

Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

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53 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

It’s pretty impressive how each Jumanji-film increased in terms of OW.

 

Jumanji 1 (1995) = $11M

Jumanji 2 (2017) = $36M

Jumanji 3 (2019) = $50-60M?

1st 2 have a huge release gap (In 1995 Batman Forever was the ow record holder with 53 and became the 1st film to cross 50 in the ow. JP1 and Batman Returns were previous record holders in 40s). 11 ow is 21% of the 1995 record. Today 21% of AEG is 75 and of AIW us 54.

 

The next 2 have Wed vs Fri od. With a Fri od JUM2 wouldn't have done under 45-50 in 2017 imo.

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2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

So a drop of over $100m domestic (a quarter of the audience) from the first film is “amazing” and “fantastic”?
 

I think it’s kind of alarming really. 

IT Chapter Two also lost over a fraction of its audience but everyone still agrees it had a pretty good run. Expecting these sequels to movies that just so happened to vastly overperform to duplicate their predecessor's runs was always going to be a set up for disappointment.

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2 hours ago, Krissykins said:

So a drop of over $100m domestic (a quarter of the audience) from the first film is “amazing” and “fantastic”?
 

I think it’s kind of alarming really. 

So you would agree that The last jedi's $300m drop from the  first movie in it's trilogie would be extremely alarming ^^

That said TLJ had an insane predecessor and Jumanji was suprise mega hit so for the second one in the new one to retain 75% would be good.

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In a year with Lego2, SLOP2, KOTM, CA, DARK FATE, MIB doing badly IT2's drop is tolerable, especially compared it's bo to it's prod budget. 600 ww for JUM3 will be acceptable too.

 

IT2 did 2.7x it's prod budget dom and 3.2x the budget OS-China.

JUM2 dom should do 2x * 132 prod budget and 2.5x OS for 600 ww.

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13 minutes ago, pepsa said:

So you would agree that The last jedi's $300m drop from the  first movie in it's trilogie would be extremely alarming ^^

That said TLJ had an insane predecessor and Jumanji was suprise mega hit so for the second one in the new one to retain 75% would be good.

But the Solo 400 million drop was ominous 

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PLAYMOBIL

Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office $992,723 Details
International Box Office $12,449,341 Details
Worldwide Box Office $13,442,064

 

Dec 13, 2019 - $170,000 -74% 1,458 $117   $992,723 2

 

Dec 13, 2019 - $50,000 +100% 1,458 $34   $872,723 8
Dec 14, 2019 - $70,000 +40% 1,458 $48   $942,723 9
Dec 15, 2019 - $50,000 -29% 1,458 $34   $992,723 10
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7 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

60 dom can be considered locked for ABDN I guess, after a 13.25 ow.

Just 10.7 away after a 3.35 weekend.

 

In 2015 BoP did 4.7x multi (15.4 ow, 72.3 dom) after a lot of critical acclaim. ABDN is looking at a similar multiplier. 

About 62 dom will give ABDN same legs.

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