Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

[filmlover]

Looks like strong multipliers for pretty much everything.

[filmlover]

Just now, a2k said:

  

 

60 dom can be considered locked for ABDN I guess, after a 13.25 ow.

Just 10.7 away after a 3.35 weekend.

I think it stops just short, considering its theater count is about to be decimated with all the new movies coming up the next two weeks.

[Madhuvan]

Jumanji 3 is going for 350m. It is the perfect family movie for holidays . Jumanji 3 and Cats can steal the thunder of TROS just like Jumanji 2 and Greatest Showman stole of TLJ. 

Edited December 15, 2019 by Madhuvan

[a2k]

Sat as JediJat said. Sun est seems fair. ITSV did -26% same weekend.

 

Date	Rank	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
Dec 13, 2019	1	$19,550,000		4,227	$4,625	$19,550,000	1
Dec 14, 2019	-	$23,375,000	+20%	4,227	$5,530	$42,925,000	2
Dec 15, 2019	-	$17,175,000	-27%	4,227	$4,063	$60,100,000	3

 

Edited December 15, 2019 by a2k

[sfran43]

 

Edited December 15, 2019 by sfran43

[Madhuvan]

1 minute ago, sfran43 said:

 

19*5=95

Around 460m

[sfran43]

666 huh?!🤔 I knew Frozen was evil to its core!!😈😂

Edited December 15, 2019 by sfran43

[WayneBorg]

1 hour ago, a2k said:

In a year with Lego2, SLOP2, KOTM, CA, DARK FATE, MIB doing badly IT2's drop is tolerable, especially compared it's bo to it's prod budget. 600 ww for JUM3 will be acceptable too.

 

IT2 did 2.7x it's prod budget dom and 3.2x the budget OS-China.

JUM2 dom should do 2x * 132 prod budget and 2.5x OS for 600 ww.

SLOP 2 made 6x its budget (430 vs 70m). I wouldn't say that's bad on that scale, when IT2, JUM3 and others won't reach that budget to gross multiplier. Bad on SLOP 1 scale, yes though

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

1 minute ago, Madhuvan said:

19*5=95

Around 460m

Dec 8, 2017

1

$18,452,315

-33%

3,748

$4,923

$135,658,005

3

 

Coco added 74 after an 18.45 weekend (~4x more). It was it's 3rd weekend unlike F2, but one week before SW8 opened.

Added 59 after a 9.95 4th weekend (~6x more), a few days before JUM2 opened.

[Justin4125]

3 minutes ago, WayneBorg said:

SLOP 2 made 6x its budget (430 vs 70m). I wouldn't say that's bad on that scale, when IT2, JUM3 and others won't reach that budget to gross multiplier. Bad on SLOP 1 scale, yes though

Not that it matters, but SLOP2's budget was 80m, dropping that multiple down to 5.375x

It is very possible that Jum3 will hit that multiple or higher (750m WW would be 6x multiple, same multi as SLOP2 gets it to 671m WW)

[sfran43]

 

[CJohn]

Jumanji will tank 66% next weekend. It should still crawl to the 250M DOM tho.

[a2k]

6 minutes ago, WayneBorg said:

SLOP 2 made 6x its budget (430 vs 70m). I wouldn't say that's bad on that scale, when IT2, JUM3 and others won't reach that budget to gross multiplier. Bad on SLOP 1 scale, yes though

IT2 reached same scale as SLOP2 with a healthier dom % and all of OS being OS-China so ~40% OS returns. Did better bo to budget wise than SLOP2. Will agree that SLOP2 is a success unlike many other under-performers this year.

 

1 minute ago, Justin4125 said:

Not that it matters, but SLOP2's budget was 80m, dropping that multiple down to 5.375x

It is very possible that Jum3 will hit that multiple or higher (750m WW would be 6x multiple, same multi as SLOP2 gets it to 671m WW)

 

[Krissykins]

 

1 hour ago, filmlover said:

IT Chapter Two also lost over a fraction of its audience but everyone still agrees it had a pretty good run. Expecting these sequels to movies that just so happened to vastly overperform to duplicate their predecessor's runs was always going to be a set up for disappointment.

Pretty good, yeh. But people are calling this “fantastic”. 

1 hour ago, pepsa said:

So you would agree that The last jedi's $300m drop from the  first movie in it's trilogie would be extremely alarming ^^

That said TLJ had an insane predecessor and Jumanji was suprise mega hit so for the second one in the new one to retain 75% would be good.

Yeh, isn’t that technically the biggest drop off for a sequel, ever? 
 

75% would be good. What I was replying to earlier were posts about totals in the $200m range. 
 

 

Anyway, it’ll be interesting to see if people are still using “fantastic” and “amazing” if Wonder Woman 1984 does $300m domestic.... that’s all. 

[Madhuvan]

5 minutes ago, a2k said:

 

Dec 8, 2017

1

$18,452,315

-33%

3,748

$4,923

$135,658,005

3

 

Coco added 74 after an 18.45 weekend (~4x more). It was it's 3rd weekend unlike F2, but one week before SW8 opened.

Added 59 after a 9.95 4th weekend (~6x more), a few days before JUM2 opened.

Average x5. Unlike Coco, Frozen is perfect holidays film plus soundtrack is trending very high on Billboard. 

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[Madhuvan]

Unless the legs are exceptional internationally for frozen, it is looking at 920m OS. 

460m dom+ 920m OS =1.48b WW

A very good result for a animated movie. 

Imagine a Incredibles 2 like for Frozen 2 in domestic market, that would have been amazing.