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Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

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47 minutes ago, Spaghetti said:

Goddamn, that number is way better than presales numbers seemed to indicate. Walkups must have been huge.

Wasn’t the most recent prediction $5.5m? 

16 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

It has to be better than that? What’s with this part?

The pic’s exits were awful last night with 1 star on PostTrak and a 29% definite recommend. Make-up was 54% males/46% with 45% under 25/55% over 25.“

So they didn’t get the majority young girls they were going for. 
 

That might explain the reaction. 

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14 minutes ago, a2k said:

 

another sub 1m ow after Playmobil?

something like 0.23+0.3+0.25+0.13 = 0.91 ow

This can’t be serious? lol
 

Friday is Friday the 13th, Truth or Dare got like 8x it’s preview number on OD alone. 

Friday could be closer to $2m, than a full weekend under $1m. 

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Black Christmas will obviously do much better today than last night because of the Friday the 13th gimmick but a $6-7M opening seems like the best case scenario. Pretty sure no one besides one person is surprised since it looks like a first-weekend-of-January dump released a few weeks earlier because of its title. At least it cost like $5 to make so it'll be profitable.

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Just now, filmlover said:

Black Christmas will obviously do much better today than last night because of the Friday the 13th gimmick but a $6-7M opening seems like the best case scenario. Pretty sure no one besides one person is surprised since it looks like a first-weekend-of-January dump released a few weeks earlier because of its title. At least it cost like $5 to make so it'll be profitable.

The production cost is a fraction of the P&A.  The average P&A for a wide release horror in the U.S. is about $35m.   Let's say this was on the extreme low end for Universal the P&A was still probably around $20-25m

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21 minutes ago, Eric loves Rey said:

Nah it won't go that low. Traffik (lol anyone remember that?) got 225K in previews last year, and still got to 3.9M.

yeah, you r right. fri 13th will help too. but as low as 2m ow (8.7x previews) won't surprise me.

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2 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Apparently, Black Christmas isn't even that awful. I mean, a 40% score for a Horror remake is usually standart. 

 

I wonder if these awful reactions from audiences has something sexist. 

Initial audience bad reactions to horror films are usually b/c there's not enough horror for the hard core horror preview audience.   Too much comedy or too much moody arthouse and ...

 

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3 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

Apparently, Black Christmas isn't even that awful. I mean, a 40% score for a Horror remake is usually standart. 

 

I wonder if these awful reactions from audiences has something sexist. 

No, the original is a classic to horror fans, this one just sucked

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Just now, TalismanRing said:

Initial audience bad reactions to horror films are usually b/c there's not enough horror for the hard core horror preview audience.   Too much comedy or too much moody arthouse and ...

 

 

Those reactions aren't just bad, they're awful. I mean, when was the last movie that got an 1 star? And considering that most of the audience were males... 

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11 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

The production cost is a fraction of the P&A.  The average P&A for a wide release horror in the U.S. is about $35m.   Let's say this was on the extreme low end for Universal the P&A was still probably around $20-25m

It was a mostly online campaign and is sub 3,000 theatres so wouldn’t be surprised if it was actually smaller. They know it only has a two week window. 

5 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

No, the original is a classic to horror fans, this one just sucked

People say the 2006 film sucked and I love it. 

3 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

 

The original has an 70% on RT, barely a classical. 

Classic to horror fans he said, critics don’t mean anything there. Friday the 13th is classic and they’re all “rotten”. 

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prod budget for JUM3

Quote

We hear from solid finance sources that Jumanji: The Next Level cost around $132M net.

P&A cold be similar.

 

Would be profitable after home-market even if it falls ~45% ww from JUM2 to 525 ww

220 dom + 265 os-china + 40 china gives

220*0.55 + 265*0.4 + 40*0.25 = 237 global returns

 

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Just now, a2k said:

prod budget for JUM3

P&A cold be similar.

 

Would be profitable after home-market even if it falls ~45% ww from JUM2 to 525 ww

220 dom + 265 os-china + 40 china gives

220*0.55 + 265*0.4 + 40*0.25 = 237 global returns

 

Wow, $220m DOM for a direct sequel to a very recent $400m+ grosser would be appalling. 

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Captain Marvel's PostTrak numbers after previews were 4.5 stars, was 60% males on Thursday, had sexist online backlash that ended up on the news, and arguably had more trolls seeing the movie on account of its story importance (or at least, its supposed story importance) for the biggest movie of all time than trolls seeing a random horror remake.

 

There's a lot of terrible sexism in geek and horror culture, but people hating a lame horror remake...that ain't it.

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10 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Wow, $220m DOM for a direct sequel to a very recent $400m+ grosser would be appalling. 

While 220m would be rough (and I hope it doesnt go that low) the 250-280m window is actually in the arena of normal for historical drops % wise. Its looks bad coming from 400m but its no different then the 650/420 for Fallen Kingdom or the 250/175 for Night At the Museum. Comic books trends are not the norm for most of the family audience films. 

 

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