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Weekend Thread: Actuals - Jumanji 2 $59.25M | Frozen 2 $19.07M | Knives Out $9.14M | Richard Jewell $4.68M | Black Christmas $4.24M

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I am laughing at Black Christmas.... 😬 not a good performance even with Friday the 13th goosing things somewhat today. 

 

Going to be a nice weekend overall, be curious to see how hard hit holdovers end up being. 

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I know Jumanji WTTJ opened very modestly, deep in a Star Wars shadow, then sprouted legs of thousand-year-old Oak to truck its way to $400m DOM, so maybe lightning will strike twice.

 

But ... does anyone else think that a $4.7m Thursday and a projected $55m opening weekend is kind of on the low side for the sequel to a movie that did $400m DOM? 

Edited by SteveJaros
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2 minutes ago, SteveJaros said:

I know Jumanji WTTJ opened very modestly, deep in a Star Wars shadow, then sprouted legs of thousand-year-old Oak to truck its way to $400m DOM, so maybe lightning will strike twice.

 

But ... does anyone else think that a $4.7m Thursday and a projected $55m opening weekend is kind of on the low side for the sequel to a movie that did $400m DOM? 

low for any other time , but not December

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1 minute ago, SteveJaros said:

I know Jumanji WTTJ opened very modestly, deep in a Star Wars shadow, then sprouted legs of thousand-year-old Oak to truck its way to $400m DOM, so maybe lightning will strike twice.

 

But ... does anyone else think that a $4.7m Thursday and a projected $55m opening weekend is kind of on the low side for the sequel to a movie that did $400m DOM? 

Check the tracking and movie specific thread 😂

Its been discussed a bunch.

Its just fine and in keeping with normal performance for family films that arent animated or comic books. Its also wayyyyyy better than most reputable tracking sites had it pegged for. 

 

Also insert #400mcurse very few sequels to "original" 400m films increase or keep significant attendance. Catching Fire and Frozen 2 are the only ones in recent years to buck it. So again, its behaving just fine. 

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https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-birds-of-prey-and-the-fantabulous-emancipation-of-one-harley-quinn/

 

8-Week Tracking & Forecasts

Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor
12/20/2019 Bombshell (Wide Expansion) $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $35,000,000 -13% Lionsgate
12/20/2019 Cats $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $50,000,000 – $100,000,000 $59,000,000 -14% Universal
12/20/2019 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $185,000,000 – $225,000,000 $200,000,000   $550,000,000 – $750,000,000 $680,000,000   Disney / Lucasfilm
12/25/2019 Little Women (2019) $17,000,000 – $27,000,000 $23,000,000 15% $90,000,000 – $130,000,000 $115,000,000 15% Sony / Columbia
12/25/2019 Spies in Disguise $13,000,000 – $23,000,000 $16,000,000   $60,000,000 – $100,000,000 $75,000,000 -6% Fox / Blue Sky
12/25/2019 Uncut Gems (Wide) $3,000,000 – $8,000,000 $5,000,000 NEW   n/a   A24
1/3/2020 The Grudge (2020) $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $14,000,000   $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $32,000,000   Sony / Columbia
1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $24,000,000 4% $75,000,000 – $100,000,000 $94,000,000 4% Universal / DreamWorks
1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,000,000   $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $59,000,000   Warner Bros.
1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $17,000,000   $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $51,000,000   Paramount
1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000   $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $18,000,000   Fox
1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $25,000,000   $55,000,000 – $75,000,000 $64,000,000   Sony / Columbia
1/17/2020 Dolittle $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $40,000,000   $120,000,000 – $170,000,000 $145,000,000   Universal
1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000   STX
1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure   n/a     n/a   Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020 Run   n/a     n/a   Lionsgate / Summit
1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000   $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000   Universal
1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000   $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000   United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000   $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000   Paramount
2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 NEW $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 NEW Warner Bros.
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6 minutes ago, Alli said:

Birds of Prey - sounds about right, if not a little overpredicted. I'm expecting 120m DOM

I could see that. Offshoot sequel to a movie nobody really cared about. With a character nobody is wanting to see again.

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