THE STAR WARS THE RISE OF SKYWALKER WEEKEND THREAD | Abandon all hope, ye who enter here | 177.38 DOM, 197 OS, 373.5 WW | SALE NOW LIVE

[XXR vs XXR]

10 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

From PS seems like $47-49mn True Friday.

 

OW would be around $180-185m in that case. 

[wildphantom]

Just now, VenomXXR said:

 

OW would be around $180-185m in that case. 

which would be excellent. 
Considering the carnage of Wednesday when the mixed reviews came out - this kind of number is real good. Then we’ll see how WOM goes. 

[ThomasNicole]

86% audience score on RT

 

Maybe WOM will be good, I enter RT expecting around 60 

[Cappoedameron]

1 minute ago, wildphantom said:

which would be excellent. 
Considering the carnage of Wednesday when the mixed reviews came out - this kind of number is real good. Then we’ll see how WOM goes. 

Anything below a 2 is not excellent whatsoever. This is the finale of a 40 year saga, nothing excuses this performing less then the previous 2 movies in the trilogy.

 

In Star Wars the third movie always performs better then the 2nd. This breaks that cycle, it's not good. No matter how you look at it.

[ymblcza]

6 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:

The weekend of January 3rd to 5th will have an inflated Friday though. 
With NY Day on a Wednesday, many people will take Thu/Fri off, especially since most kids are still out of school those days. 

I imagine this will blunt whatever drop it has. 

 

The real test will be after that weekend...

TLJ (and this will probably) barely made any money after New Year weekend, this Sunday and second week is much more important

Edited December 20, 2019 by ymblcza

[redfirebird2008]

Just now, MrGlass2 said:

SW still massive, still an event. Just need to conquer China somehow.

Sounds like it's a lost cause in China. Might even be better off not releasing it there. $20M total when other films are racking up well over $100M totals. Kinda embarrassing. 

[Brainbug]

Disagree with me all you want id consider a 180M OW with the Holidays ahead a win. Remember TLJ may have opened with 40M more in that case but it also had brutal drops in its following run.

 

 

[RealLyre]

Quote

Out of the gate, Skywalker is a win for audiences with Thursday night Comscore/Screen Engine PostTrak polls showing 4 1/2 stars and a 76% definite recommend with parents and kids under 12, who showed up at 16% combined, giving the J.J. Abrams directed finale five stars. General audiences repped 89% of the crowd.

expecting an A cinemascore 

[VanillaSkies]

1 minute ago, ymblcza said:

TLJ (and this will probably) barely made any money after New Year weekend, second week is much more important

Again, TLJ opened a week earlier, so if had already been playing an extra week in theaters after New Year. 
It's not an apples to apples comparison, people have to stop treating it like it is....

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

People here trying to convince us that the final SW movie doing similar (or even lower) numbers than TLJ is a good thing, despite these same persons spending the past year claiming that it was LOCKED to increase because it always happened in this franchise is the most hilarious thing. 

Edited December 20, 2019 by The Horror of Lucas Films

[Madhuvan]

1 minute ago, RealLyre said:

expecting an A cinemascore 

That's on par with FFH and Shazam 

[keysersoze123]

2 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Disagree with me all you want id consider a 180M OW with the Holidays ahead a win. Remember TLJ may have opened with 40M more in that case but it also had brutal drops in its following run.

 

 

That released a week earlier and christmas eve fell on the 2nd weekend resulting in big 2nd weekend drop. This is different release cycle.

[XO21]

Just now, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

People here trying to convince us that the final SW movie doing similar (or even lower) numbers than TLJ, despite these same persons spending the past year claiming that it was LOCKED to increase because it always happened in this franchise is the most hilarious thing. 

This. 

[ymblcza]

3 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Sounds like it's a lost cause in China. Might even be better off not releasing it there. $20M total when other films are racking up well over $100M totals. Kinda embarrassing. 

Still better than Joker doing 0 here in China

[Gokai Red]

True Friday projections before Thursday previews are confirmed? I'll take it!

Edited December 20, 2019 by Gokai Red

[Lordmandeep]

Just now, ymblcza said:

Still better than Joker doing 0 here in China

If Joker did release in China would have been a big hit? 

[baumer]

You can't have a true Friday number yet. It's 10:30 a.m. on the east coast and 7:30 a.m. on the West coast. Sorry buddy we all love you here but that's a hell of a lot of extrapolating and filling in a lot of missing blanks.

[Cappoedameron]

3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

Disagree with me all you want id consider a 180M OW with the Holidays ahead a win. Remember TLJ may have opened with 40M more in that case but it also had brutal drops in its following run.

 

 

Seems you do not understand how this film was marketed and the history of the franchise at the box office. Anything below a 2 is not good at all. Disney will likely be massively disappointed. There's no reason this film should open below the first two films unless the "minority fandom menace" actually do have a pull and say in what they're saying.

[stuart360]

6 minutes ago, Cappoedameron said:

Anything below a 2 is not excellent whatsoever. This is the finale of a 40 year saga, nothing excuses this performing less then the previous 2 movies in the trilogy.

 

In Star Wars the third movie always performs better then the 2nd. This breaks that cycle, it's not good. No matter how you look at it.

It will gross more than TLJ though imo, and thats the most important thing.

[John Marston]

Just now, stuart360 said:

It will gross more than TLJ though imo, and thats the most important thing.

It will? Not guaranteed and not likely