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JB33

Weekday Numbers: Dec 23 - Dec 26, 2019

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Arithmetic is hard today. Correction: 

109 2nd weekend  (same multiplier from Wed only)
670 finish   (Same multiplier form Sun-Wed period to stabilize things a bit more)

 

I don’t think it’s going to follow Smaug from here. In particular the 40M Thursday looks really ambitious, FSS bumps seem reasonable enough.

Edited by Arendelle Legion
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$35 million Christmas and $100 million 2nd weekend would put $600 million barely in play. It would be absolute minimum $580 million. Those are massive numbers.

 

By January 5, based on the other 3 December SW films, TROS will have made between 84-86% of its total.

 

 

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1 minute ago, Arendelle Legion said:

Arithmetic is hard today. Correction: 

109 2nd weekend   
670 finish   
 

I don’t think it’s going to follow Smaug from here. In particular the 40M Thursday looks really ambitious, FSS bumps seem reasonable enough.

Agreed. It's clearly not getting close to 670. I guess I just want TROS to maximize returns during the holidays and just go from there. A $100M+ 2nd weekend would be a pretty sweet headline to march forward with, I have to admit.

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1 hour ago, Brainbug said:

Anyone who thinks that JW3 will decline from Fallen Kingdom is kidding him/herself.

i wonder if people will ever learn to not be so cocky in their box office predictions ...  just risking embarrassment when petty people save your post and come back to haunt you with it

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NOOOOOOO! I was getting so attached to that 35 number. Yes I know it's a difference about a million or million and a half but still. Makes a big difference as far as trends.

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4 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:

Awesome day for jumanji yet again 

 

frozen 2 not seeing any growth surprised 

I forget who but someone (or a couple people) did say Frozen would be flat. I have no idea why though. Guess it's a big Christmas Eve player...

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10 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

TRS 33.5-34

J2 11.75-12

LW ~ 6.25 True OD

Spies ~ 4.5 True OD

UG ~ 4.5 True OD

F2 4.25

KO ~ 4.25

So the UG True OD is not counting the XMas eve numbers?

 

6.25m is solid for LW but I’m hoping for more

Edited by BestPicturePlutoNash

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1 minute ago, JB33 said:

NOOOOOOO! I was getting so attached to that 35 number. Yes I know it's a difference about a million or million and a half but still. Makes a big difference as far as trends.

who gave 35 :ph34r:

 

let's see how it goes.

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2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

who gave 35 :ph34r:

 

let's see how it goes.

Nobody really. It's just a number I myself was hoping for.

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4.25M for Knives Out? WTF

 

Maybe an anomaly?

 

I mean, this could do 11-12M this weekend if tomorrow did around 4M aswell. And I’ll be very happy with this because i was expecting around 2.5M wed - thu and 8M weekend

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Great number for TROS really. It's just one day but 575+ feasible.

 

Fantastic for Jum too. 11.75-12 takes it to 128.25-128.5

12 Thu + 30-31 FSS gives 171 cume

25.5 Mon-Thu + 18.5 FSS = 44 for 215 by Jan 5

215 + 18.5 * 3.25 = 275 dom

Edited by a2k
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22 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

TRS 33

J2 11.75-12

LW ~ 6.25 True OD

Spies ~ 4.5 True OD

UG ~ 4.5 True OD

F2 4.25

KO ~ 4.25

Jumanji is actually the movie being held down most by its showings...my area is pretty much sold out for tomorrow's showings today...and was sold out for today's yesterday...it could have the longest "leg" over the next week+ b/c it literally can't meet the needs of the audience this week...

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Verified RT Aud (# ratings)

UG 70% (580+)

LW 94% (220+)

SID 93% (170+)

 

 

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23 minutes ago, JB33 said:

I forget who but someone (or a couple people) did say Frozen would be flat. I have no idea why though. Guess it's a big Christmas Eve player...

Its not flat though? 

3.5 was CE off the top of my head so about a rough 25% increase and maybe flat with Monday? 

Considering what its already made and the fact that 2 new films stealing its core audience opened for more than 10m combined its a lot of lost potential revenue. 

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