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Weekday Numbers: Dec 23 - Dec 26, 2019

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4 minutes ago, Alli said:

‘Bad Boys For Life’ To Seize $40M+ Over MLK Holiday – Box Office Forecast

 

Universal also has the very expensive $175M reboot Dolittle starring Robert Downey Jr. as the doctor who can talk to animals over the holiday weekend. Tracking spots that pic’s opening at $25M-$30M over the 4-day stretch.

 

That would be very very impressive for Bad Boys! 

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6 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

lol actuals. Uncut Gems did 5.8. check your sources next time

since its expanding, the film had $1.25mn in Tuesday. when I checked for actuals it was $4.5mn for Wednesday. Now checking again they corrected it.

 

Besides recommended post has $4.5mn True OD in mid day numbers.

 

15 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

TRS 32.5

J2 12.2

LW ~ 6.25 True OD

Spies ~ 4.5 True OD

UG ~ 4.5 True OD

F2 4.25

KO ~ 4.25

 

Edited by Jedi Jat
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1 minute ago, Alli said:

yeah. I'm surprised by the Bad Boys numbers. Dolittle is a disaster waiting to happen

I figured Doolittle was going to bomb. It’s budget was way too high.

 

But I’m surprised/happy that Bad Boys appears to be tracking well! At least this January won’t completely suck after all. 

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ABDN

 

Dec 20, 2019 11 $351,170 -6% -64% 1,524 $230   $51,546,221 29
Dec 21, 2019 11 $509,267 +45% -64% 1,524 $334   $52,055,488 30
Dec 22, 2019 11 $476,929 -6% -46% 1,524 $313   $52,532,417 31
Dec 23, 2019 10 $410,625 -14% -4% 1,524 $269   $52,943,042 32
Dec 24, 2019 10 $425,000 +4% -35% 1,524 $279   $53,368,042 33
Dec 25, 2019 - $555,000 +31% +14% 1,014 $547   $53,923,042 34

 

1.6 Thu-Sun (avg out to 0.4/day) will give 55.5

Mon-Thu should be around 1.2 (avg out to 0.3/day) followed by 0.8 weekend for 55.5 + 1.2 + 0.8 = 57.5

1.5 more rest of the run for 59 dom.

 

Prod budget is 45. OS to come from Jan to March

Spoiler
Mexico 10 January 2020  
Australia 23 January 2020  
Brazil 23 January 2020  
Spain 24 January 2020  
Belgium 29 January 2020  
Argentina 30 January 2020  
UK 31 January 2020  
Ireland 31 January 2020  
Portugal 6 February 2020  
Lithuania 21 February 2020  
Iceland 28 February 2020  
Germany 5 March 2020  
Singapore 5 March 2020  
France 25 March 2020  
Netherlands 26 March 2020

 

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8 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

lol actuals. Uncut Gems did 5.8. check your sources next time

Calm your shit, he's giving us numbers 8 hours in advance. Its as close as anyone can get with early data. Also studios are just providing estimates right now, often Jedi Jat's actuals are better than some studios estimates (typically during weekends, during the holidays all we have are estimates). Occasionally there's a bit of a surprise like with UG, but again, these are early numbers and without Jedi Jat most of the time we wouldn't have anything

 

EDIT: Even I missed that he wasn't including previews, which explains the discrepancy. Still, I'll take numbers that are sometimes fractionally off but 8 or more hours early vs no numbers at all. No need for you to be rude, he puts in a lot of time to produce those numbers for us

Edited by Justin4125
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10 minutes ago, Moviefanfr said:

So TROS will end his second week end between 750-800 millions worldwide 

TLJ after his second week end made 750 millions. So TROS will probably be in front of TLJ worldwide monday morning 

I see it coming in below just 750m WW for the second weekend, still solid though. TLJ had more holidays left following its second week, so clearly it will win out BO wise. Regardless, TROS will cross 1bn with relative ease 

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12 minutes ago, Moviefanfr said:

So TROS will end his second week end between 750-800 millions worldwide 

TLJ after his second week end made 750 millions. So TROS will probably be in front of TLJ worldwide monday morning 

TLJ was released 1 week before the holiday. TROS is getting a boost thanks to holidays.

 

 

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48 minutes ago, Menor said:

If Thursday is just 30 I don't see it going much higher than 560. By Sunday it will be par with TLJ's 10-day total, but even if it drops like Hobbit 2 it will fall close $60 million off that pace in the following two weeks.

30 Thurs leads somewhat optimistically to 84 Wknd, 196M mon-sun week. Give it a medium 2x weekly multi, and it’s a nice 569M    
 

Pessimistic 81 wknd, 1.9x weekly multi for 543M.

 

Optimistic 86 wknd, 2.15 mult for 600.

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