Weekday Numbers: Dec 23 - Dec 26, 2019

[The Fast and the Furiosa]

14 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

LW rounded up to 6m?! Nice!

 

hmm seems like a steep drop for Gems 😕

Seems normal. Wolf of Wallstreet dropped 27%. The drop from true Wednesday is actually better than that here

[Ryan Reynolds]

So TROS will likely have twice as many 30m+ days than TLJ

[Legion Again]

Gems seems good to me. 
 

How’s RJ looking?

[Ryan Reynolds]

 

interns working the twitter 😁

[Curtis1986]

56 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

UG: 3.8

Cats: 2.05

 

1917: $184k

 

Anything for JM. Curious to see if A+ cinamascore will have an impact 

[JB33]

Any chance TROS bumps about 10%? Asking because 10% would be the same fraction of the Boxing Day Thursday increase for The Hobbit 2 that it was for the Christmas Day Wednesday increase (76.7% to 58.7%). I do know the box office positively is not that simple but figured I'd ask in case it was genuinely looking to increase that much.

[nickitaly]

3 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Any chance TROS bumps about 10%? Asking because 10% would be the same fraction of the Boxing Day Thursday increase for The Hobbit 2 that it was for the Christmas Day Wednesday increase (76.7% to 58.7%). I do know the box office positively is not that simple but figured I'd ask in case it was genuinely looking to increase that much.

No way

[PKMLover]

What is the budget of Frozen 2? 

BOMojo gave $150M estimate, the same as Frozen 2.

 

Edited December 27, 2019 by PKMLover

[edroger3]

15 minutes ago, PKMLover said:

What is the budget of Frozen 2? 

BOMojo gave $150M estimate, the same as Frozen 2.

 

I think way higher, but irrelevant for a brand that had the 80% of its revenues out of cinemas.

[Daniel Vasquez]

5 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

SW: 30

J2: 10.5

F2: 5.5

LW: 5.75-6

SiD: 4.25

KO: 3.25

Nice! My guess that Frozen II might hit over $6 million because the theater I worked at Today all showings (expect for the 10:00pm showing but it was almost full) for Frozen II we’re sold out even through they put it in one of the small (not too small) auditoriums but they put Frozen II in two screens so that’s really good 

[keysersoze123]

AT MTC1 F2 is up around 16% from yesterday. Jumanji is down 20% from yesterday at MTC1. SW9 is down 15.5% in MTC1 and down 11.4% at MTC2.

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

Oof for Sw9 and Jumanji

[JB33]

Yeah, TROS 2nd weekend is going under $80M.

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

about 75 Million?

Edited December 27, 2019 by Jabba'sMoofmilker

[JB33]

9 minutes ago, Jabba'sMoofmilker said:

about 75 Million?

Based on the best case scenario from @keysersoze123 data (Yes I'm aware it isn't an exact science) I'd say 28.5M (-11.4%) / 28.5M (flat) / 21.3M (-25%) for $78.3M. That's brutal, considering it's only around $7M ahead of TLJ's 2nd weekend and everyone argued that TROS had a better date to inflate the 2nd weekend.

 

Based on that number, it will likely drop 60% of more the following weekend for just over $30M. 

Edited December 27, 2019 by JB33

[Legion Again]

Thurs:weekend should be 2.7-2.9 or so, would take low end personally. But the best Thurs estimate is still 30.5, national level data is much better than just scraping 2 big chains. 30.5*2.75=84. If there’s already been a late night purple post you should pretty much ignore keyser data, useful as it is for PS and when purples aren’t around.

[lab276]

The new BOM layout has made tracking the box office very difficult IMO. I'm basically at a loss as to what's going on. Normally I'd do a check for the previous time that we had this calendar which was 2013, but it's so clunky to use now, that I don't even want to look at it.

[Jabba'sMoofmilker]

1 hour ago, JB33 said:

Based on the best case scenario from @keysersoze123 data (Yes I'm aware it isn't an exact science) I'd say 28.5M (-11.4%) / 28.5M (flat) / 21.3M (-25%) for $78.3M. That's brutal, considering it's only around $7M ahead of TLJ's 2nd weekend and everyone argued that TROS had a better date to inflate the 2nd weekend.

 

Based on that number, it will likely drop 60% of more the following weekend for just over $30M. 

oh boy

[Madhuvan]

So, Star wars will drop more than 50% this weekend. 

After opening lower 50%+ drop is not justified. 

[ViewerAnon]

39 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Yeah, TROS 2nd weekend is going under $80M.

Huh?

 

JJ says $30.5M today. Even if it follows SMAUG’s exact weekend pattern, which you’re using as a baseline - and it won’t, as SMAUG performed wildly different today as everyone expected - TROS still makes $84M.