Weekend Thread: SW 26.2/25.3/21 72.5M | Jumanji 11.7/12.4/11 35.1M | Frozen 6/5.85/5.3 17.15M

[SchumacherFTW]

8 minutes ago, grim22 said:

They are completely correct... if we ignore that TROS will lose about 70M in running grosses to TLJ over the next 8 days.

I reject your reality and substitute my own

[Eric Duncan]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-brahms-the-boy-2-and-call-of-the-wild/

 

8-Week Tracking & Forecasts

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Range	Domestic Total Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Distributor
1/3/2020	The Grudge (2020)	$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$11,000,000		$25,000,000 – $45,000,000	$25,000,000		Sony / Columbia
1/10/2020	1917 (Wide)	$20,000,000 – $25,000,000	$24,000,000		$75,000,000 – $100,000,000	$94,000,000		Universal / DreamWorks
1/10/2020	Just Mercy (Wide)	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000	$14,000,000		$50,000,000 – $70,000,000	$59,000,000		Warner Bros.
1/10/2020	Like a Boss	$15,000,000 – $20,000,000	$17,000,000		$45,000,000 – $60,000,000	$51,000,000		Paramount
1/10/2020	Underwater	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$6,500,000		$12,000,000 – $25,000,000	$18,000,000		Fox
1/17/2020	Bad Boys for Life	$21,000,000 – $31,000,000	$25,000,000		$55,000,000 – $75,000,000	$64,000,000		Sony / Columbia
1/17/2020	Dolittle	$30,000,000 – $50,000,000	$40,000,000		$120,000,000 – $170,000,000	$145,000,000		Universal
1/24/2020	The Gentlemen	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$12,000,000		$30,000,000 – $50,000,000	$38,000,000		STX
1/24/2020	The Last Full Measure		n/a			n/a		Roadside Attractions
1/24/2020	Run		n/a			n/a		Lionsgate / Summit
1/24/2020	The Turning	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$14,000,000		$25,000,000 – $40,000,000	$38,000,000		Universal
1/31/2020	Gretel and Hansel	$5,000,000 – $10,000,000	$5,500,000		$10,000,000 – $20,000,000	$11,000,000		United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020	The Rhythm Section	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$12,000,000		$30,000,000 – $45,000,000	$38,000,000		Paramount
2/7/2020	Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$49,000,000		$100,000,000 – $150,000,000	$125,000,000		Warner Bros.
2/14/2020	Fantasy Island	$17,000,000 – $22,000,000	$17,000,000		$44,000,000 – $57,000,000	$44,000,000		Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020	The Photograph	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000	$15,000,000		$30,000,000 – $42,000,000	$35,000,000		Universal
2/14/2020	Sonic the Hedgehog	$20,000,000 – $30,000,000	$26,000,000		$65,000,000 – $100,000,000	$86,000,000		Paramount
2/21/2020	Brahms: The Boy 2	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$8,000,000	NEW	$15,000,000 – $28,000,000	$17,800,000	NEW	STX
2/21/2020	Call of the Wild	$15,000,000 – $20,000,000	$15,000,000	NEW	$50,000,000 – $65,000,000	$50,000,000	NEW	Fox

[MrGlass2]

Deadline is out of control:

Quote

Skywalker‘s 3-day is still in the range that many were forecasting heading into the weekend ($70M-$80M) with $76M (-57%). That figure is tremendous, way way ahead of Solo's second weekend ($29.3M, -65.2%).

 

[Ms Lady Hawk]

21 minutes ago, stephanos13 said:

Did Deadline turn into Disney's PR suddenly? What is going on?

I don’t know about Deadline as a whole, but Alessandro has ALWAYS been a Disney fan boy. In any case, in this instance I am hoping against  all odds that he is right. TROS is better than TLJ in my opinion and deserves to smack it box office wise. But that is not the way the box office works. There may be an over saturation issue with the Star Wars movies. 

[charlie Jatinder]

44 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

If business today can outstrip Friday’s figure

oh my sweet math child.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[charlie Jatinder]

what if I tell you 70 is perhaps

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[charlie Jatinder]

I won't be bothering with PS of J2 and F2. Let's see how are the walkups.

[Zakiyyah6]

2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

what if I tell you 70 is perhaps

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I thought 69mil was a possibility since yesterday.

[reddevil19]

2 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

what if I tell you 70 is perhaps

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[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

what if I tell you 70 is perhaps

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[MOVIEGUY]

2 minutes ago, a2k said:

Please tell me that's a real subtitle. If it is it's up there with "Mooing in Fear" as one of the best subtitles ever

 

[a2k]

With 24 Sat would go for roughly

Fri	27 Dec 19	26.0	-14.8%	315.8
Sat	28 Dec 19	24.0	-7.7%	339.8
Sun	29 Dec 19	18.0	-25.0%	357.8	68.0	-61.7%
Mon	30 Dec 19	14.0	-22.2%	371.8
Tue	31 Dec 19	12.0	-14.3%	383.8
Wed	1 Jan 20	16.0	33.3%	399.8
Thu	2 Jan 20	8.0	-50.0%	407.8	50.0
Fri	3 Jan 20	10.5	31.3%	418.3
Sat	4 Jan 20	14.0	33.3%	432.3
Sun	5 Jan 20	8.0	-42.9%	440.3	32.5	-52.2%

440.3 + 32.5*2.0 = 505 dom

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker	$81,400,000	-54%	4,406	0	$18,475	$371,196,816	2	Disney
2	Jumanji: The Next Level	$33,500,000	26%	4,227	0	$7,925	$173,656,000	3	Sony Pictures
3	Frozen II	$16,900,000	30%	3,265	-400	$5,176	$421,690,889	6	Disney
4	Little Women	$16,800,000	—	3,308	—	$5,079	$29,275,000	1	Sony Pictures
5	Spies in Disguise	$13,400,000	—	3,502	—	$3,826	$22,287,856	1	20th Century Fox
6	Uncut Gems	$9,800,000	3959%	2,348	2343	$4,174	$20,237,590	3	A24
7	Knives Out	$9,500,000	46%	2,022	-513	$4,698	$110,012,095	5	Lionsgate
8	Cats	$4,900,000	-26%	3,380	0	$1,450	$17,890,175	2	Universal Pictures
9	Bombshell	$4,500,000	-12%	1,480	0	$3,041	$15,431,427	3	Lionsgate
10	Richard Jewell	$3,000,000	16%	2,502	0	$1,199	$16,079,327	3	Warner Bros.
11	A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	$1,600,000	20%	1,014	-510	$1,578	$56,018,000	6	Sony Pictures
12	Black Christmas	$900,000	-51%	1,514	-1111	$594	$9,618,330	3	Universal Pictures

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Queen & Slim	$1,900,000	3%	699	-379	$2,718	$40,308,280	5	Universal Pictures
2	Ford v. Ferrari	$1,800,000	-3%	793	-640	$2,270	$106,138,359	7	20th Century Fox
3	Jojo Rabbit	$290,000	52%	208	-22	$1,394	$290,000	11	Fox Searchlight
4	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	$240,000	122%	155	-25	$1,548	$113,293,744	11	Disney
5	A Hidden Life	$235,000	-5%	118	12	$1,992	$783,065	3	Fox Searchlight

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	1917	$630,000	—	11	—	$57,273	$1,068,099	1	Universal Pictures
2	Just Mercy	$130,000	—	4	—	$32,500	$248,072	1	Warner Bros.

[filmlover]

Little Women should be at almost $30M by the end of this weekend and $60M+ by the end of next weekend. With strong WOM plus both awards season and a dead-looking January coming up it likely won't even need a late run push to hit $100M.

[a2k]

1 minute ago, MOVIEGUY said:

Please tell me that's a real subtitle. If it is it's up there with "Mooing in Fear" as one of the best subtitles ever

 

it is real 😃

[sfran43]

 

[La Binoche]

3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Little Women should be at almost $30M by the end of this weekend and $60M+ by the end of next weekend. With strong WOM plus both awards season and a dead-looking January coming up it likely won't even need a late run push to hit $100M.

 

How much did the superior 1994 version gross adjusted for inflation? 

[Daxtreme]

26 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Deadline is out of control:

 

Skywalker‘s 3-day is still in the range that many were forecasting heading into the weekend ($70M-$80M) with $76M (-57%). That figure is tremendous, way way ahead of Solo's second weekend ($29.3M, -65.2%).

 

 

"Quick, bring in our trump card, the SOLO COMPARISON"