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charlie Jatinder

NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

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1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said:

SW: TRoS Monday $14.25mn ish.

Yikes. Missing 500 million is getting more and more likely.

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4 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

SW: TRoS Monday $14.25mn ish.

32% drop from 21.

higher than expected but Sun over-performed imo.

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I expect New Year day to be $15-16mn and cume by then to be $402-403mn.

If it follow;

TFA $515mn

TLJ $499mn

RO $502mn

 

Hobbit 2 $500mn

 

I think something around $480-490mn.

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1 minute ago, Jedi Jat said:

I expect New Year day to be $15-16mn and cume by then to be $402-403mn.

If it follow;

TFA $515mn

TLJ $499mn

RO $502mn

 

Hobbit 2 $500mn

 

I think something around $480-490mn.

 

Nope, it's getting to 610+ 

 

-- Forbes, THR, Deadline

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30m weekend looks about right as of now for TRoS. 

 

Pretty bad overall. More curious about the international numbers as thos will determine how badly TRoS will limp past 1b or of it will even need a push by Disney to get there in the first place.

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TROS

 

Mon 30 Dec 19 14.3 -32.1% 376.6    
Tue 31 Dec 19 12.3 -13.7% 388.9    
Wed 1 Jan 20 16.0 30.1% 404.9    
Thu 2 Jan 20 8.0 -50.0% 412.9 50.6  
Fri 3 Jan 20 10.0 25.0% 422.9    
Sat 4 Jan 20 13.5 35.0% 436.4    
Sun 5 Jan 20 8.0 -40.7% 444.4 31.5 -56.6%

 

2x 31.5 gives 507 dom

 

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2 minutes ago, a2k said:

TROS

 

Mon 30 Dec 19 14.3 -32.1% 376.6    
Tue 31 Dec 19 12.3 -13.7% 388.9    
Wed 1 Jan 20 16.0 30.1% 404.9    
Thu 2 Jan 20 8.0 -50.0% 412.9 50.6  
Fri 3 Jan 20 10.0 25.0% 422.9    
Sat 4 Jan 20 13.5 35.0% 436.4    
Sun 5 Jan 20 8.0 -40.7% 444.4 31.5 -56.6%

 

2x 31.5 gives 507 dom

 

 

That would be a 2.86 multi, which is a million times better than the 2.82 multi for Last Jedi.  

 

-- Scott Mendelson, Forbes

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119% higher than Hobbit 2.

If it follows drops/increases until Sunday it will be at 448M with a 34.3M weekend. That would be awful.

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JUM

 

Mon 30 Dec 19 8.5 -24.1% 184.0  
Tue 31 Dec 19 8.0 -5.9% 192.0  
Wed 1 Jan 20 11.0 37.5% 203.0  
Thu 2 Jan 20 5.5 -50.0% 208.5 33.0
Fri 3 Jan 20 7.0 27.3% 215.5  
Sat 4 Jan 20 9.5 35.7% 225.0  
Sun 5 Jan 20 5.5 -42.1% 230.5 22.0

 

3-3.5x 22.0 gives 296.5-307.5 dom

 

Edit: Thu-Sun holds are similar to TROS holds a couple of posts above which is conservative for JUM.

Probably 209.5 by Thu followed by 23.5 FSS for 233.0 cume.

Then 3-3.5x 23.5 gets it to 303.5-315.25 dom

Edited by a2k
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