NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

[Nova]

1 minute ago, misafeco said:

Scott Mendelson Box Office Expert Has Spoken! 

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2020/12/31/star-wars-box-office-rise-of-skywalker-wont-top-last-jedi/#761036c351c7

The Force Awakens earned $143 million in its first Mon-Thurs frame and then fell just 21.7% for $112 million over its next Mon-Thurs frame before the end of the holiday season. It also earned 3.5x its Monday gross over that second Mon-Thurs frame, which would in this case give Rise of Skywalker a 14-day total of $416 million domestic heading into its third weekend. That will be way behind the $464 million 14-day cume of Star Wars: The Last Jedi but well ahead of the $375 million 14-day cume of Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. So, barring a miracle, it’s all-but-impossible that Rise of Skywalker will earn as much in North America ($620 million) as The Last Jedi.

Scott Mendelson reads BOT confirmed. 

[misafeco]

Okay, this article is too funny 

The last three Christmas Star Wars movies earned between 1.19x (Last Jedi) and 1.26x (Force Awakens) their respective 17-day grosses. If Rise of Skywalker plays as outlined above, and heck, let’s be optimistic and give it $65 million for the Mon-Thurs frame, a 35% third-weekend drop for a $47 million third-weekend gross. That would be, offhand, a $474 million 17-day total (essentially tied with Phantom Menace) and on a course for a domestic finish between $565 million and $600 million. So, barring a Jedi mind trick or some other variable, Rise of Skywalker has almost no chance of catching up to the domestic ($620 million) and worldwide ($1.333 billion) cumes of The Last Jedi.

[druv10]

58 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

Wishing all my BOT fam a wonderful New Year!!!🥳🎉🙌🏾

On behalf of all the members, thank you. You do a tremendous job in posting new numbers as quickly and efficiently as possible. 

 

Happy New Year to you as well.

Edited January 1, 2020 by druv10

[Bart Allen]

So where will it land at the international box-office then?

1. Avengers: Endgame $1.9 billion
2. The Lion King $1.1 billion
3. Frozen II $796 million
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home $741 million
5. Joker $727 million
6. Ne Zha Zhi Mo Tong Jiang Shi $705 million
7. Captain Marvel $701 million
8. Aladdin $695 million
9. Liu Lang Di Qiu $694 million
10. Toy Story 4 $639 million

[John Marston]

2 minutes ago, Bart Allen said:

So where will it land at the international box-office then?

1. Avengers: Endgame $1.9 billion
2. The Lion King $1.1 billion
3. Frozen II $796 million
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home $741 million
5. Joker $727 million
6. Ne Zha Zhi Mo Tong Jiang Shi $705 million
7. Captain Marvel $701 million
8. Aladdin $695 million
9. Liu Lang Di Qiu $694 million
10. Toy Story 4 $639 million

Maybe 550m. 

[Blaze Heatnix]

30 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

wait, is 600M totally dead for TROS? 

Terminated

[titanic2187]

Chart Index

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
1	(1)	Star Wars: The Rise of Sk…	Walt Disney	$13,114,000	-14%	-35%	4,406	$2,976	$390,602,536	12
2	(2)	Jumanji: The Next Level	Sony Pictures	$8,285,000	n/c	+22%	4,227	$1,960	$192,076,805	19
3	(4)	Little Women	Sony Pictures	$4,100,000	-4%		3,308	$1,239	$37,605,000	7
4	(3)	Frozen II	Walt Disney	$3,994,000	-10%	+16%	3,265	$1,223	$430,098,939	40
-	(5)	Spies in Disguise	20th Century…	$3,643,000	+7%		3,502	$1,040	$29,286,960	7
-	(6)	Knives Out	Lionsgate	$2,930,000	+18%	+61%	2,022	$1,449	$115,726,694	35
-	(-)	Bombshell	Lionsgate	$1,290,000	+21%	+48%	1,480	$872	$18,109,144	19
-	(-)	Richard Jewell	Warner Bros.	$1,040,000	+54%	+89%	2,502	$416	$17,854,186	19
-	(-)	Ford v. Ferrari	20th Century…	$565,000	+17%	+11%	793	$712	$107,186,378	47
-	(-)	A Beautiful Day in the Ne…	Sony Pictures	$485,000	+32%	+14%	1,014	$478	$56,721,042	40
-	(-)	Jojo Rabbit	Fox Searchlight	$66,000	-9%	+38%	208	$317	$21,058,553	75
-	(-)	A Hidden Life	Fox Searchlight	$61,000	+17%	+50%	118	$517	$877,311	19
-	(-)	Midway	Lionsgate	$45,900	+18%	+28%	142	$323	$56,278,720	54
-	(-)	Playing with Fire	Paramount Pi…	$42,000	+5%	+32%	188	$223	$44,150,929	54
-	(-)	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	Walt Disney	$29,000	-21%	+52%	155	$187	$113,294,043	75
-	(-)	Just Mercy	Warner Bros.	$23,000	+21%		4	$5,750	$269,072	7
-	(-)	No Safe Spaces	Atlas Distri…	$2,898	-20%	+6%	14	$207	$1,159,359	68
-	(-)	En Brazos de un Asesino	Lionsgate	$340	-57%	-20%	18	$19	$422,335	26

 

I got confused by this year new year's eve. Many movies aren't dropping on NYE, which is kind if unusual trend.I guess actual New year bump will be minimal. 

 

Many people just to like to see movie on Tuesday.  

[Bart Allen]

9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Maybe 550m. 

MY GOD!

[Madhuvan]

9 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Maybe 550m. 

Nowhere. 

[Madhuvan]

B+ cinemascore has started kicking in. I can't believe some people still thought this movie has better wom than TLJ. 

 

 

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

B+ cinemascore has started kicking in. I can't believe some people still thought this movie has better wom than TLJ. 

 

 

But but 86% RT Audience Score! 

 

Thanks everyone and Legend Scott for answering my 600M question. 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

45 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Isn't 30 from 7.5 really optimistic. I was thinking more like 3.33x Thursday for weekend.

used 9.4(+25%)+12.2(+30%)+7.2(-41%)=28.8

Fri , Sat 2013

agree that could be optimistic.

 

going lower,

9.0(+20%)+11.3(+25%)+6.7(-42%)=27.0

[druv10]

7 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

B+ cinemascore has started kicking in. I can't believe some people still thought this movie has better wom than TLJ. 

 

 

To be fair, both Force Awakens and TLJ had "A" CS. Legs weren't remotely even.

[John Marston]

7 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

B+ cinemascore has started kicking in. I can't believe some people still thought this movie has better wom than TLJ. 

 

 

I also can’t believe people Actually thought it would pass TLJ from

the beginning with some even making comparisons to Endgame..

[SnokesLegs]

29 minutes ago, Bart Allen said:

So where will it land at the international box-office then?

1. Avengers: Endgame $1.9 billion
2. The Lion King $1.1 billion
3. Frozen II $796 million
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home $741 million
5. Joker $727 million
6. Ne Zha Zhi Mo Tong Jiang Shi $705 million
7. Captain Marvel $701 million
8. Aladdin $695 million
9. Liu Lang Di Qiu $694 million
10. Toy Story 4 $639 million

 

17 minutes ago, Bart Allen said:

MY GOD!

Come on now, you knew the answer to that before you even hit submit reply, drop the faux surprise.

[Bart Allen]

7 minutes ago, SnokesLegs said:

 

Come on now, you knew the answer to that before you even hit submit reply, drop the faux surprise.

Whatever helps you sleep at night ~

 

Wasn't expecting it to potentially be lower than Toy Story 4 ~

[La Binoche]

How is 1917 doing at the box office? I liked it quite a bit and found the "gimmick" additive - it made everything so tense and suspenseful. 

[SnokesLegs]

1 minute ago, Bart Allen said:

Whatever helps you sleep at night ~

 

Wasn't expecting it to potentially be lower than Toy Story 4 ~

If you’ve been following the films performance over the last few weeks (which I know you have), you would know that it’s not getting near £600 million internationally.

[a2k]

35 minutes ago, misafeco said:

Scott Mendelson Box Office Expert Has Spoken! 

 

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottmendelson/2020/12/31/star-wars-box-office-rise-of-skywalker-wont-top-last-jedi/#761036c351c7

The Force Awakens earned $143 million in its first Mon-Thurs frame and then fell just 21.7% for $112 million over its next Mon-Thurs frame before the end of the holiday season. It also earned 3.5x its Monday gross over that second Mon-Thurs frame, which would in this case give Rise of Skywalker a 14-day total of $416 million domestic heading into its third weekend. That will be way behind the $464 million 14-day cume of Star Wars: The Last Jedi but well ahead of the $375 million 14-day cume of Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. So, barring a miracle, it’s all-but-impossible that Rise of Skywalker will earn as much in North America ($620 million) as The Last Jedi.

denial 620

anger 550

bargaining 532

depression 500

acceptance 485