NEW YEAR WEEKDAYS THREAD: New Year Day Final Trend P 26. Happy New Year.

[cdsacken]

Dude if we think this bad just think about 2020. Box office is crumbling it's over threads everywhere. 

[Legion Again]

39 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

It is a dark time for THE RISE OF SKYWALKER. Although

the THE LAST JEDI 2nd weekend has been destroyed, Near end of

Holidays have driven the Star Wars fan base to their worst box office fears.

 

From the vault of box office tracking system comScore, a group of trackers led by JEDI 

JAT has bring the early Monday numbers. The meltdowns on arrival of numbers are to follow.

 

The evil lords of anti-Star Wars cult, obsessed with downfall of franchise, have dispatched thousands of

trollers into the far reaches of internet….

     
 

 

[Noctis]

2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Pretty solid performance by Jumanji, considering the flukey huge performance by the previous movie. 

Honestly, Jumanji 3's run is astonishing given how it was tracking the weeks before its release. As far as I'm concerned, anything over $250m is a big win. $300m is a huge win.

 

Make Jumanji 4 the final film and I'm sure it can even increase.

[redfirebird2008]

Just now, Noctis said:

Honestly, Jumanji 3's run is astonishing given how it was tracking the weeks before its release. As far as I'm concerned, anything over $250m is a big win. $300m is a huge win.

 

Make Jumanji 4 the final film and I'm sure it can even increase.

 

Agreed. $700M domestic combined for these two movies is pretty insane. Sony could not have predicted/hoped for those kind of numbers before the 2017 movie's release. 

[#ED]

45 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

It is a dark time for THE RISE OF SKYWALKER. Although

the THE LAST JEDI 2nd weekend has been destroyed, Near end of

Holidays have driven the Star Wars fan base to their worst box office fears.

 

From the vault of box office tracking system comScore, a group of trackers led by JEDI 

JAT has bring the early Monday numbers. The meltdowns on arrival of numbers are to follow.

 

The evil lords of anti-Star Wars cult, obsessed with downfall of franchise, have dispatched thousands of

trollers into the far reaches of internet….

<iframe width="1152" height="698" src="http://play.starwars.com/html5/starwars_crawlcreator/?cid=null" frameborder="0" scrolling="no"></iframe>

 

[TwoMisfits]

1 minute ago, Noctis said:

Honestly, Jumanji 3's run is astonishing given how it was tracking the weeks before its release. As far as I'm concerned, anything over $250m is a big win. $300m is a huge win.

 

Make Jumanji 4 the final film and I'm sure it can even increase.

Just goes to show - patience is a virtue...

 

And I should put in for my Nostradamus card for 2020 sometime later, since my pre-open $50M+ OW and $300M+ DOM finish is looking pretty spot on right now...

 

I can forgive some of my past bigger box office misses for the year if I nailed this one:)...in fact, I can retire fully from predicting:)...

[MrGlass2]

5 minutes ago, Noctis said:

Honestly, Jumanji 3's run is astonishing given how it was tracking the weeks before its release. As far as I'm concerned, anything over $250m is a big win. $300m is a huge win.

 

Make Jumanji 4 the final film and I'm sure it can even increase.

Jumanji3 is certainly doing better than the doom $400-500M WW predictions after the opening day in China.

 

Hyping a finale doesn't always work, and Sony doesn't have a ton of successful "franchises". They will keep the Jumanjiverse going as long as it is profitable.

Edited December 30, 2019 by MrGlass2

[cdsacken]

5 minutes ago, Noctis said:

Honestly, Jumanji 3's run is astonishing given how it was tracking the weeks before its release. As far as I'm concerned, anything over $250m is a big win. $300m is a huge win.

 

Make Jumanji 4 the final film and I'm sure it can even increase.

I mean this one will have dropped hard from the first. We'll see but yes anywhere near 300 is fantastic and very profitable.

[charlie Jatinder]

1 minute ago, redfirebird2008 said:

 

Agreed. $700M domestic combined for these two movies is pretty insane. Sony could not have predicted/hoped for those kind of numbers before the 2017 movie's release. 

After 1st trailer of WTJ, I pretty much hated it but with next spots and trailer it felt pretty ok $100-150mn. $400mn was beyond the wildest dreams.

 

One thing though, I expected $200mn in China, ended up just $75mn.

Spoiler

 

Spoiler

 

 

[Lordmandeep]

40 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:

Wonder if those knucklehead reporters will compare it to TLJ's daily numbers now, lol

 

 

Fake news is not the media telling fake stuff

 

It is frankly taking facts to push a false narrative. 

[charlie Jatinder]

11 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Frozen 2 Crossed $800mn overseas. $807mn+

 

Probable dailies

Spoiler

 

Date	Day	Gross	% +/- YD / LW*		GTD	Week	Change
20 Nov 2019	Wed	$6.75			$6.75
21 Nov 2019	Thu	$11.60			$18.35
22 Nov 2019	Fri	$40.80			$59.15
23 Nov 2019	Sat	$91.18	123.48%		$150.33
24 Nov 2019	Sun	$78.78	-13.60%		$229.11	$210.76
25 Nov 2019	Mon	$18.29	-76.78%		$247.40
26 Nov 2019	Tue	$15.45	-15.53%		$262.85
27 Nov 2019	Wed	$16.43	6.34%		$279.28
28 Nov 2019	Thu	$15.72	-4.32%		$295.00	$276.65
29 Nov 2019	Fri	$26.22	66.79%	-35.74%	$321.22
30 Nov 2019	Sat	$68.58	161.56%	-24.79%	$389.80
1 Dec 2019	Sun	$63.55	-7.33%	-19.33%	$453.35	$158.35	-24.87%
2 Dec 2019	Mon	$12.85	-79.78%	-29.74%	$466.20
3 Dec 2019	Tue	$10.63	-17.28%	-31.20%	$476.83
4 Dec 2019	Wed	$10.57	-0.56%	-35.67%	$487.40
5 Dec 2019	Thu	$9.01	-14.76%	-42.68%	$496.41	$201.41	-27.20%
6 Dec 2019	Fri	$13.29	47.50%	-49.31%	$509.70
7 Dec 2019	Sat	$38.15	187.06%	-44.37%	$547.85
8 Dec 2019	Sun	$35.97	-5.71%	-43.40%	$583.82	$87.41	-44.80%
9 Dec 2019	Mon	$8.55	-76.23%	-33.46%	$592.37
10 Dec 2019	Tue	$6.92	-19.06%	-34.90%	$599.29
11 Dec 2019	Wed	$7.01	1.30%	-33.68%	$606.30
12 Dec 2019	Thu	$6.27	-10.56%	-30.41%	$612.57	$116.16	-42.33%
13 Dec 2019	Fri	$8.58	36.76%	-35.48%	$621.15
14 Dec 2019	Sat	$23.57	174.87%	-38.22%	$644.72
15 Dec 2019	Sun	$21.89	-7.13%	-39.14%	$666.61	$54.04	-38.18%
16 Dec 2019	Mon	$5.64	-74.23%	-34.04%	$672.25
17 Dec 2019	Tue	$5.74	1.77%	-17.05%	$677.99
18 Dec 2019	Wed	$5.41	-5.75%	-22.82%	$683.40
19 Dec 2019	Thu	$4.35	-19.59%	-30.62%	$687.75	$75.18	-35.28%
20 Dec 2019	Fri	$5.13	17.93%	-40.17%	$692.88
21 Dec 2019	Sat	$13.43	161.79%	-43.02%	$706.31
22 Dec 2019	Sun	$13.54	0.82%	-38.15%	$719.85	$32.10	-40.59%
23 Dec 2019	Mon	$7.01	-48.23%	24.29%	$726.86
24 Dec 2019	Tue	$6.76	-3.57%	17.77%	$733.62
25 Dec 2019	Wed	$11.34	67.75%	109.61%	$744.96
26 Dec 2019	Thu	$11.81	4.14%	171.49%	$756.77	$69.02	-8.19%
27 Dec 2019	Fri	$11.33	-4.06%	120.86%	$768.10
28 Dec 2019	Sat	$14.98	32.22%	11.54%	$783.08
29 Dec 2019	Sun	$14.53	-3.00%	7.31%	$797.61	$40.84	27.23%
30 Dec 2019	Mon	$9.70	-33.24%	38.37%	$807.31

 

 

 

Edited December 30, 2019 by Jedi Jat

[Noctis]

6 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

I mean this one will have dropped hard from the first. We'll see but yes anywhere near 300 is fantastic and very profitable.

It's set to do over 80% of the first film's WW gross....not really dropping hard in my book.

[cdsacken]

3 minutes ago, Noctis said:

It's set to do over 80% of the first film's WW gross....not really dropping hard in my book.

It dropped hard domestically. If it falls 180 million WW it's a relatively big drop ww, big in USA.

Edited December 30, 2019 by cdsacken

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, Noctis said:

It's set to do over 80% of the first film's WW gross....not really dropping hard in my book.

IT1-2 & JW1-2 drop would have given 260

NATM1-2 285

HP1-2 333

DP1-2 355 (ignoring DP2 PG-13)

 

At 310 it will have held closer to HP2 than NATM2 which is great.

Edited December 30, 2019 by a2k

[Menor the Destroyer]

30 minutes ago, a2k said:

TROS

 

Mon	30 Dec 19	14.3	-32.1%	376.6
Tue	31 Dec 19	12.3	-13.7%	388.9
Wed	1 Jan 20	16.0	30.1%	404.9
Thu	2 Jan 20	8.0	-50.0%	412.9	50.6
Fri	3 Jan 20	10.0	25.0%	422.9
Sat	4 Jan 20	13.5	35.0%	436.4
Sun	5 Jan 20	8.0	-40.7%	444.4	31.5	-56.6%

 

2x 31.5 gives 507 dom

 

Not sure it will hold that well post holiday (given that its earlier in the run so drops should be harder) but I agree with the numbers for the coming week.

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, Menor said:

Not sure it will hold that well post holiday (given that its earlier in the run so drops should be harder) but I agree with the numbers for the coming week.

Hobbit2 added just 1.86x it's Jan3-5 weekend to the cume on way to an overall 3.5x multi. So can easily see under 2x for TROS. With those numbers and weekend will need 1.75x the weekend more for 500 dom. At least that's a good shot unless this week comes in under expectations or like @TwoMisfits points, Fri won't be boosted lucrative deals.

Edited December 30, 2019 by a2k

[Brainbug]

@Jedi Jat thanks for giving me one of the most genuine laughs this year. It was a good day when you joined the forums.

[Darth Lehnsherr]

I think with future Jumanji movies we'll see more stability with its grosses as long as they keep the same release dates as the previous two. 

[cdsacken]

I suspect massive drops coming after this week for all of them. Either way it will be setup pretty. It earned loads when it needed too and it's still a few days to earn a lot more. 

 

Frickin Frozen 2 is finally coming to my 1 screen theater...on Jan 31st. Will be fun to see rewatch. Never thought I would be able to see frozen 2, Jumanji and star wars all a couple months.

Edited December 30, 2019 by cdsacken

[John Marston]

Jumanji’s success shows you can make a sequel

To

anything. No doubt Space Jam2 was greenlit and probably  another Ghostbusters because if Jumanji